http://minx.cc/?post=281780

Tough as this was for Kristol’s promoters, he might still have survived as a columnist had it not been for an attitude of casual and reflexive disloyalty he publicly displayed towards The Times itself. A good example came in an appearance with Jon Stewart on The Daily Show on October 30. Here’s the way Editor and Publisher described it:

“Appearing once again on The Daily Show, Bill Kristol, Jon Stewart’s favorite whipping boy (‘Bill Kristol, aren’t you ever right?’), on Thursday night defended the McCain-Palin ticket, at one point informing the show’s host that he was getting his news from suspect sources. ‘You’re reading The New York Times too much,’ he declared. ‘Bill, you WORK for The New York Times!’ Stewart pointed out.”

That, apparently, was the last straw for the Gray Lady.

I got this in an email from my cousin, I am sure it’s been floating around the internet & probably most have read this, But it is still GREAT!!!

Dear All

An Obituary printed in the London Times.

Interesting and sadly true.
‘Today we mourn the passing of a beloved
old friend, “Common Sense”, who has been
with us for many years. No one knows for
sure how old he was, since his birth records
were long ago lost in bureaucratic red tape.
He will be remembered as having cultivated
such valuable lessons as:

Knowing when to come in out of the rain;
why the early bird gets the worm; Life isn’t
always fair; and maybe it was my fault.

Common Sense lived by simple, sound financial
policies (don’t spend more than you can earn)
and reliable strategies (adults, not children,
are in charge).

His health began to deteriorate rapidly when
well-intentioned but overbearing regulations were
set in place. Reports of a 6-year-old boy charged
with sexual harassment for kissing a classmate;
teens suspended from school for using mouth
wash after lunch; and a teacher fired for
reprimanding an unruly student, only worsened
his condition.

Common Sense lost ground when parents
attacked teachers for doing the job that they
themselves had failed to do in disciplining
their unruly children.

It declined even further when schools were
required to get parental consent to administer
sun lotion or an Aspirin to a student; but could
not inform parents when a student became
pregnant and wanted to have an abortion.

Common Sense lost the will to live as the
churches became businesses; and criminals
received better treatment than their victims.

Common Sense took a beating when you
couldn’t defend yourself from a burglar in your
own home and the burglar could sue you
for assault.

Common Sense finally gave up the will to live,
after a woman failed to realise that a steaming
cup of coffee was hot. She spilled a little in her
lap, and was promptly awarded a huge settlement .

Common Sense was preceded in death, by his
parents, Truth and Trust. His wife, Discretion,
his daughter, Responsibility, his son, Reason.

He is survived by his 4 stepbrothers;
I Know My Rights; I Want It Now; Someone Else
Is To Blame; I’m A Victim.

Not many attended his funeral because so few
realised he was gone.
If you still remember him, pass this on. If not, join
the majority and do nothing.

e-font:minor-bidi;}

I had my RH Carpal Tunnel release surgery today, It was Endoscopic so probably faster healing time, But it hurts like crazy right now so this is all I will do, THANKS FOR ALL YOUR WELL WISHES & SUGGESTIONS

THANKS EVERYONE AGAIN !!!!!!!!!!  I will continue to read as always & be back posting when I  can

PaRep

I am Not going to be posting much, But I will continue to read everyday

50% to 41% Barr 2% Nader1%

Pa. M51% to O38%

Minnesota M45% to O44% just went ahead

This from Caller Karl on the Quinn & Rose Morning Show & he is a R insider in Ohio

http://tinyurl.com/67x5gb

Not much to the article but PLEASE click the Link & nread

I have said and will say again, that the opinion polls this year are simply wrong. They have fiddled with weighting and wording and various pieces of the demographics to create a false impression. You can either believe them or not, but as I have shown in the numbers for weeks now, believing the polls would be naïve at the very least.

But if the polls have been so biased, one may reasonably ask why that is so. I myself have commended groups like Gallup for a very professional job over many years, and even though I strongly disagree with the conclusions published by groups like CBS News, I applaud their open way of reporting at least some of the significant internal data. In fact, it is CBS News which reveals how this bias is operating, and how even well-intentioned pollsters can make major blunders in their assumptions.

North Carolina – 2004 DRI split was 39%/40%/21%, 2006 was 39%/40%/21%
SUSA in 2008 is using 42%/37%/18%

Virginia – 2004 DRI split was 35%/39%/26%, 2006 was 36%/39%/26%
SUSA in 2008 is using 39%/30%/25%

Pennsylvania – 2004 DRI split was 41%/39%/20%, 2006 was 43%/38%/19%
SUSA in 2008 is using 54%/35%/10%

Read More →

I wondered about the way the polls came out in the past week. Maybe I’m just a suspicious type, but from what I could tell, a lot of voters had made up their minds before the conventions, and while I think Sarah Palin is going to make a big difference in the election, I did not expect a lot of voters to come over right away; I figure they want to find out more, first. The reason I say this, is that I found it strange to see poll numbers change so quickly. At least part of the answer, I found, was that the results were spun by fooling around with the weighting.

http://tinyurl.com/4b9zvc

I have spent a great deal of time analyzing faulty procedures in the national political polls for the presidential race this year. I have noted proofs of invalidity and the significance of party affiliation weighting in the published claims of such polls. But a number of people have observed that Barack Obama is also leading in a number of state polls, and they quite reasonably ask if those polls are valid or not. The chief difficulties in the state polls, are the facts that there are so many polling groups performing state polling (Real Clear Politics has reports from 49 different polling groups on state polls for the presidential race), there are different demographic norms for each state, and whatever is skewing the national polls is likely to be influencing reported state results as well. But while the past does not guarantee the future, I did find some interesting points in the 2004 state polls.

Not every polling group which is publishing polls this year also polled and published in 2004. And many of the polling groups are limited to only a few states, or just one. The Field Poll, for example, is only concerned with California. So I limited my analysis to nine major polling groups which conducted state polls in a large number of states in 2004. I was looking for polls which released polls just prior to the election, and which also released polls during the first two weeks of October of 2004. The results of that examination are presented here. I hope you will find them illuminating.

CNN conducted polls in 6 states just before the 2004 election. Of those 6 polls, in 4 state polls the published support for Bush was off by 3 points or more, as many as 5 points wrong. In 2 states Bush’s support was over-estimated, in 4 states his support was under-estimated. In 4 state polls the published support for Kerry was off by 3 points or more, as many as 6 points wrong. In 3 states Kerry’s support was over-estimated, in 3 states his support was under-estimated. The margin between the candidates was off from actual election results by 3 points or more 5 times, off by 5 points or more in 5 states.

CNN conducted polls in 11 states during the first two weeks of October 2004. of those 11 polls, in 4 states support for Bush was off by 3 points or more, as many as 4 points wrong. In 2 states Bush’s support was over-estimated, in 7 states his support was under-estimated, In 6 state polls the published support for Kerry was off by 3 points or more, as many as 6 points wrong. In 2 states Kerry’s support was over-estimated, in 9 states his support was under-estimated. The margin between the candidates was off from actual election results by 3 points or more 9 times, off by 5 points or more in 3 states.

http://tinyurl.com/4cuxtq

http://tinyurl.com/474wvb

This brings me to Rasmussen. In an earlier article, I rather harshly said that Rasmussen was in it for the money. I have always asked the questions recommended by the NPCC/AAPOR, and in doing so I have noticed how some major polls refuse to answer important questions. I learned a long time ago that if you had enough information, you could work out the mechanics of most major conclusions. I found Gallup, AP-Ipsos, and CBS News very open about their methodology and the internal data of their polls.

First, even the invalid daily tracking polls take their results from three days of polling, which means the first poll with full post-debate reaction will not be released until Monday. And I have to warn you that the polls will not reflect an immediate valid effect

http://tinyurl.com/52rpxu

From DJ Drummond at Wizbang.com On the polls & the “Weight Promblems” & other things

This just getting ridiculous

http://www.comcast.net/articles/news-general/20080928/The.Racial.Divide/

http://patriotroom.com/?p=2291

http://election08.cs.uiuc.edu/

http://www.youtube.com/swf/l.swf?swf=http%3A//s.ytimg.com/yt/swf/cps-vfl56220.swf&videoid=qpzHQPC1uI&rel=1&eurl=http%3A//littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog/&iurl=http%3A//i2.ytimg.com/vi/qpzHQPC1uI/default.jpg&t=OEgsToPDskLHJodZwIdNdhZwDPcqX3Sd&usegetvideoinfo=1&load_modules=1

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0908/13658.html

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0908/13658.html

http://wizbangblog.com/content/2008/09/19/how-liberal-trolls-are-working-to-get-mccain-elected-president.php

http://terryfrank.net/?p=3591

http://minx.cc/?post=273765