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What is in a primary choice?

All through 2010 we were told to vote our consciences and stick to our principles. We were told to rise up against the establishment and rock the boat, even if the results provided someone who was relatively unelectable to the rest of the body of voters.

The call to shake things up was correct one. The result a record number of freshman, many who have never held office, were elected to do the people’s bidding in Congress.

Fast forward to this year’s Republican presidential primary season. We are being given a set of choices once more. A set of alternative futures if you will.  With the field sill in flux most of us are still mulling over who we may support.

Should people again stick by their convictions and vote for whomever they wish, or should people be “smart” about their vote?

If we apply last year’s standar then people should vote for whomever without much thought of the over all implications of where their vote may lead to winning. That was me in 2008. I was one of the 3100 votes for Fred Thompson.

Of course John McCain went forward to win the nomination after the Missouri primary. It could be argued that those of us who voted for Guiliani, Thompson and Ron Paul could have voted for Romney or Huckabee then. In fact I was told by a number of people I wasted my vote because Thompson already closed up shop.

Perhaps, but it was a vote I am proud of and would not change.

Which brings us today. My esteemed colleague and friend Erick Erickson wrote an interesting column regarding the possible entry of Rick Perry into the presidential race.

In the piece, Erick proposes that if Perry were to enter the race it might further dilute the consevative vote – giving Romney a sizeable (and potentially insurmountable) lead.

If we grant Erick’s proposal then it begs a whole series of questions revolving around who conservatives might line rally to and if that person would be the right candidate in the first place.

If we were to take more conservative candidates – Bachman, Cain, Pawlenty, Santorm and throw Perry into the mix I would ask which is best qualified and can speak to the issues?

The truth is there is only one way to find out, and that is to run a primary.

The other unspoken truth is that the race can and will change radically over the next few months. If memory servers me correctly Guiliani was leading the race at this time in 2008 with Fred Thompson right on his heals.

As a result when I am asked to give up a potential candidate I have been following since the summer of 2009 before they even set foot into the arena I become a bit skeptical.

Yes, the logic is sound. Its just the historical reference and gut check which doesnt ring true.

In all honesty, Republicans are still searching for their voices and a leader. Of the voices I’ve heard only two make the stand up and pay attention. Of those two, only one has executive experience and a proven record at producing jobs and beating back this economy with freedom and liberty which we cherrish.

That leader is Rick Perry. It is why if he were to jump into the race I could not abandon him. I would be abandoning my self.

Of course first things first. Rick Perry would need to announce.

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COMMENTS

  • gregorysstewart

    Perry will certainly erode support for Romney. Of course he will. That is because Perry is a better candidate than Romney.

    At the end of the day, Romney is a satisfactory answer to the question: What happened to our economy. He is certainly better than Obama by a mile, but his business proof goes to the winter Olympics and needs to dance around Romneycare and needs to forget that when Romney was governor, we were in boom times.

    Perry is a brilliant answer to the same question. Texas added four seats to their congressional delegation while he was governor. No other state did better than half that.

    Perry’s state has provided half the job growth for the entire country, and he did that during the exact same trying times that has left Obama with nothing but the tired bleat that its all Bush’s fault.

    In addition, Perry will be the only first tier southern candidate in an election where Republicans will need to take all the south’s electoral votes.

    • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

      Pro tip: Republicans do not move in lockstep. Someone who likes Romney isn’t necessarily going to like Perry more.

      • Paul Seale

        After all, I thought we were taking back the GOP.

        My bigger question is whether or not there is a candidate being protected. Is this a shot across the bow of a pontential Perry candidacy. If so, why? Perry has the best record of anyone running in the race. (bias included in statement)

        The way I would hope to see things is if Perry enters and sucks a lot of the oxygen out – causing a lot of the other candidates to drop off as conservatives would circle the wagon around Perry.

        Of course, whats worse, is that we end up splintered after the primary as a us versus them mentality arises – leaving half of us at home refusing to vote for the other half.

        Net result: Obama wins.

        Think that wont happen? It did in the past in both 2006 and 2008.

        In any event, there is one way to find out – and that is for Perry to run.

        • Remington_Steele

          There is a reason GOP candidates often have to run twice. Neil’s right, and I think it’s based more on experience than assumptions.

          Let’s say Perry jumps in and every conservative can now rejoice caused we’re saved. Maybe that’s the case for politically active people and activists, but Perry is just another governor who is going to suck the spotlight of media for months while the vetting process goes on about every little detail in Rick’s life. The spin doctors will ensue and he will have to defend himself for months.

          Romney is not Vader nor the Emperor to many GOP voters, he definitely is to many conservatives. As Perry sucks the oxygen out of the media room, it will hit Cain, Bachmann and TPaw much more than Romney who can afford oxygen canisters.

          This is the process that Rick is about to jump into. Erick is right because this process is not new, it’s not rocket science and as Neil says Republicans don’t move in lockstep. Perry may win, but it will be on the missteps of others as long as he has no major ones himself. This horse race is just starting.

          • Paul Seale

            Then what? If you follow the logic then other conservatives must drop out of the race in hopes of circling the wagon around a single individual.

            No thank you.

            In all honesty none of the current candidates make me excited and want to go out and vote for them. Period.

            To demand that other potential candidates (like Perry) drop out or not enter for the sake of whomever is bothers me. A lot.

          • Remington_Steele

            I don’t follow the logic. Contests have so many events that occur, anything could happen. As with any horse race, a horse can stumble. Romney could mess up. In the GOP, most folks who seriously want the presidency know they’ll probably be in it for two contests at least.

            I don’t even think Santorum should jump out yet. He should let it roll as long as he can.