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The Nominating Process Is Rigged

Cross-posted at Unified Patriots
Jay Cost has written an excellent article at the Weekly Standard, Morning Jay: The Nomination Rules Are Rigged Against Grassroots Conservatives. I encourage you to read the entire article. The title may appear to be just another piece whining and groaning about results, but there is a different message in this one. The message is that conservatives are not active Precinct Committee members in the local Republican Party. The fix is not to write a blog complaining about the situation. The fix is to become a PC and have the power to elect the state committee members who can change the state Republican party rules in favor of the conservatives.
Here is an excerpt from the Jay Cost article.

The lefty do-gooders who spearheaded the reforms of the 1970s thought that they were saving the parties from the machine hacks, but in fact they threw out the baby with the bathwater. They effectively destroyed the party at the grassroots level, and handed the nominating power over to candidates, strategists, donors, the news media, and ill informed voters who dominate the primaries. The biggest losers in this scheme were the kinds of committed citizens who took the time to participate in local party affairs, and on the GOP side that inevitably meant the conservatives.

Here we get to the core flaw in selecting party nominees via primaries. I have written before that without competition between the political parties, we cannot really count on voters to make good decisions; it is the battle between the Democrats and Republicans that forces the electorate to focus on real problems and the partisan differences on how to solve them. Primaries are intra-party contests and thus do not offer that kind of clarification process. Hence, we have poorly informed voters backing a candidate because they like him or her more.

But wait, it gets worse!

Self-identified conservatives tend to be a majority of most primary electorates, so one would think that, even with the limits of primaries, you’d still get a quality conservative nominee. But that isn’t necessarily the case in a three-way race. That’s the final, huge problem with the primaries. They do not build consensus, which ultimately would require the assent of the conservative side of the GOP. Instead, they create a game similar to the show Survivor – “outwit, outplay, outlast.”

If you are a moderate Republican – e.g. Bob Dole or John McCain – you don’t need to win a majority of the conservative vote. You just need to do well enough among moderate Republicans so that you win more votes than your conservative opponents. Then, you simply wait for the media and the party establishment to pressure your conservative challengers into dropping out.

Personally, I believe a game similar to American Idol has been created for the primary process. If you are not too stoned to text message, then your American idol vote counts. The completely overboard openness in the primaries is just about the same.

I also believe there needs to be a distinction made between the general election and the primary election. The ill informed voter in the general election can participate because the political party primary process has done its due diligence to winnow down the choices that are on the ballot. There will always be an opportunity for mischief and mistakes. No process is ever perfect, but it was a better process when the committed citizens who made the time available to participate in local party had the leverage now removed by reforms. It’s not gone forever. Conservatives must fill the empty PC slots and undo the damage that has been done.

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COMMENTS

  • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

    By definition, we have the process ordained by the real grassroots, i.e. those that got involved at the local level.

    We need to replace and/or overwhelm the existing grassroots with more conservative grassroots and change the process to a more closed process that reflects the actual sentiment of a majority of the voters, whether they be defined as “grassroots” or not.

    But no matter what process we have a party re the nomination process and party infrastructure, the media will still exist that gives conservatives anal exams and the campaign finance laws will still exist that favors independent contractors that can raise money from others in small amounts over party machines. No amount of PCs will produce the courage one needs to stand up to the drive-bys and campaign finance laws can only be changed by Congress, not the parties.

    It enrages me that Iowa and NH get to winnow the field first, but what is most disappointing to me are the quality of the candidates we have in the first place, in terms of campaign skills of conservatives. The most reliable conservatives we had, i.e. Perry and Bachmann (and even Huntsman for some) were the worst at campaigning which includes the debates.

    I get the point of the Cost article and I favor others becoming a precinct committeeman (like I did at the behest of Unified Patriots, Cold Warrior, Ron Robinson et al) and join me in trying to change the system to favor conservative grassroots over time. But the people who have built the current system are THE majority of the grassroots as we speak.

    Grassroots doesn’t mean conservative. It means who shows up BEFORE elections.

    More later and great report pilgrim.. GC highly reccos.

    • http://www.unifiedpatriots.com/ pilgrim

      I agree with you that in the 1970?s the local GOP gave away the leverage they had to the media and so many uninformed and unaffiliated voters in the primary process. Something similar has been going on for quite a while in our federal government. The US House and US Senate gave away to faceless bureaucrats in federal agencies like NLRB and EPA and HSA the power to create new laws, rules, and regulations with no approval and votes in the Congress at all.
      We the People will have to send to DC courageous warriors to undo this damage.

      • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

        Yes, close the primaries and caucuses; have states more representative of conservatives go first; change campaign finance laws to comport with the First Amendment’s no law abridging free speech and thus allow rich donors to finance candidates as Reagan was financed; and have conservatives become reporters and own more media so there is the threat of anal exams for liberals and moderates to fear and to refute the lies of liberals against conservatives.

        But even after we do all that, we will have to have conservative candidates with courage that will still be willing to suffer fools and too many fried chicken dinners to run in the first place and that won’t succumb to Beltway fever 48 hours after they get to DC.

        And even before that, I question whether there are enough non-victim dependent addicts to Big Government left to form a majority even with one man with courage to lead them. I hope so.

        The real battle thus, must be at an even earlier level: conservatives must take over public schools from k-12 to universities and Hollywood while we’re at it.

      • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

        The people who are active now are the moderates and the establishment types, by definition. If conservatives were active they would be making the rules.

        Even in Congress, the votes of the members have been to liberal when they weren’t letting regulators make the rules. The statutes themselves are flawed because conservatives haven’t been conservative once they get to Dc and play along to get along. Cowards let bureaucrats do damage, but the damage in the first instance are the statutes themselves whether it be the environment or ObamaCare etc.

        It is not that70s reforms are so much of the problem as it is conservative laziness and/or that we may be outnumbered anyway. I doubt its the latter, but we will never know unless we try.

        When Coolidge and Reagan are the only conservatives elected in 100 years, its more than just 70s rules that are the problem..

        It is us.

        • lineholder

          And it isn’t just in the context of politics either. Conservatives yell and scream at the top of our lungs about how horrible various things are, such as education. But have we put our minds together to come up with alternatives? We have when it comes politics…via the precinct comitteeman program. But in other areas…not so much

          Did you see the EEOC memo from earlier this week? That for employers to require a high school diploma for a employment could be violating the rights of people who have disabilities, and that the EEOC is considering implementing some sort of action that would require employers to PROVE that an employer needs a high school diploma to succeed in a specific job?

          Anyone want to take a guess at how many people will drop out, saying to themselves “well, I don’t really need it to get a job”? And what will this do to our ability to be competitive in world trade markets?

        • Change Jar Conservative

          We do need to take over the state parties, but we also need to have a coherent plan written and ready to go once we do.

  • cheetah2

    Are you saying that a caucus type of primary is better? This is of great interest to me since my state, Washington, has just reverted from a primary election to a caucus for financial reasons. I plan to get involved in my caucus not just for this presidential election but for the long haul. I want to see far more true conservative influence in the Republican Party.

    • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

      But before we get to the question of a caucus or a primary, conservatives have to get involved BEFORE that in local precinct elections for precinct officers. Those are elected by majority vote and in many instances would have no opposition. The conservative warm bodies simply need to get informed at the local level and SHOW UP, ie as in half of life is in simply showing up.

    • http://www.unifiedpatriots.com/ pilgrim

      In the 1970′s they began ceding away their leverage. It does not matter if it is a primary or a caucus if you let anyone show up on the day of the primary election to cast a vote for the party nominee. The only people who should vote in a Republican primary election are Republicans. Historically turnout in primary election is low, and I am fine with low primary election turnout. The primary or caucus election should serve as a completely different exercise than a general election.

      • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

        exactly

  • Common_Cents

    In order to deal with the situation we have now where there is one establishment candidate, and several others splitting up the rest. What if we had some sort of run off system where we revote until a candidate gets over 50% or some majority %. Or revote, continually dropping off the lower candidates until there are 3 or 2, then have a final vote. That allows the splintered factions the ability to roll up and consolidate strength.

  • Melody Warbington (rwm52)

    Glad you posted this which reinforces the call to arms (figuratively speaking, of course) by Cold Warrior and others. Turning things around will take a few election cycles, and no doubt there will be some push back. Since it won’t happen overnight, folks will need to be reminded and encouraged to stay involved in the process.

    I’ve seen a lot of blame aimed at the tea party movement lately, but let’s give credit where credit is due. There are a lot more people educating themselves, getting involved and organizing because of the TPM. We need to keep that momentum and interest alive.

  • http://www.theprecinctproject.wordpress.com ColdWarrior

    The message is that conservatives are not active Precinct Committee members in the local Republican Party. The fix is not to write a blog complaining about the situation. The fix is to become a PC and have the power to elect the state committee members who can change the state Republican party rules in favor of the conservatives.

    Conservatives must fill the empty PC slots and undo the damage that has been done.

    Thank you again,

    ColdWarrior

  • keepourrepublic

    pilgram’s diary got me to post about an idea for primary reform that I’ve been thinking about:

    http://www.redstate.com/keepourrepublic/2012/01/07/how-to-make-primaries-favor-conservative-candidates/

  • http://boldcolor.blogspot.com/ Paula

    During last spring’s primary I was talking to a candidate who was running for a statewide office in Ohio. The state GOP mafia was running roughshod over him and I asked him why, in the midst of the Tea Party insurgence, we couldn’t seem to change anything. He looked me in the eye and said, “Conservatives don’t give.”

    Of course, he didn’t mean that conservatives aren’t generous. They are. They give much, much more to charities and their churches than liberals do. But that generosity doesn’t generally extend to political candidates. And when you consider that the Left has forced union dues…the RINOs have Wall Street and trial lawyers and other special interests…it’s hard for conservatives to compete, dollar for dollar.

    That said, I believe in grassroots activism. But if it’s going to succeed, it’s going to have to be done smarter. We are going to have to harness technology the way Obama and the Left does. We are nowhere close to that now. Door-to-door is important and must still be done, but we must also go after the youth vote as well. They’re not going to listen to robo-calls or read the mailers. They want text messages and a quality website and Twitter presence. Are our candidates doing that? Do any of our candidates have text alerts? I’m on the mailing list for several candidates and none have asked me to sign up for them, so I’m guessing not. (Or maybe no one cares about Ohio yet.)(Not an excuse..ask me for my number…early and often!)

    There’s a lot to like about Santorum, but his website is really, really crappy. I realize money is an issue, but surely, there must be someone in the conservative movement – a Santorum supporter – who would be willing to donate their services to create a quality website for the guy. This isn’t rocket science. I mean, not exactly (coming from someone with just enough html to be dangerous). : )

    It must be a multi-faceted approach. PC’s, when you can (Ohio doesn’t work that way), money, traditional grassroots campaigning, technology. All of the above.

    • http://www.unifiedpatriots.com/ pilgrim

      I’m not sure if what you are saying is anything more than anecdotal about giving by conservatives. The other point about appealing for more turnout by youths in the primary is not what I see as the problem. If the youth turnout in the Republican primary and caucus elections is low, then the more uninformed are not participating in the nominating process. The nominating process is a different exercise than the general election. Here’s to the backroom smoke-filled deals that we used to have in the nomination process. It worked better than what we’ve got now.

      • http://www.nighttwister.com NightTwister

        Some conservatives are giving to other candidates.

      • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

        are best suited to general elections, AFTER we have chosen a nominee. What conservatives need to do better is recruiting more and better candidates with campaign skills in addition to being conservative on the issues and with a proven executive-type track record; and getting out the conservative base in primaries. What the smoke-filled rooms did was consolidate around a nominee in many ways, some of which were more tied to the old campaign laws that allowed for more money from large donors. But conservatives do need to consolidate earlier around one of our own if they are “worthy”. The primary/caucus nomination process requires a strategy to rig the system for our cause! amen….smile

  • nancysabet

    and inspiration elicited by any other candidate but Perry? THREE SONGS FOR PERRY COMING TO Y-TUBE
    Carolina by Morning
    His Boots Were Made for Walkin’
    Perry Woman