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Repeal Obamacare? White House in 2012? Keep Eye on Chicago Mayor’s Race

The first African-American woman elected to the United States Senate, Senator Carol Mosely Braun is running for Mayor of Chicago.  She’s a Democrat.  Hispanic insider and former Chief of Staff to Mayor Daley Gary Chico is running for Mayor of Chicago.  He is a Democrat.  And, famously, former Bill Clinton fundraiser and advisor, Chicago Congressman and Chief of Staff to President Obama Rahm Emanuel is running for Mayor.

First, let me tell you that Chicago politics are a fascinating bloodsport.  While we may, as a matter of principle, be disgusted by much of the activity and behavior undertaken in the pursuit of office by some, it’s still fun to watch.  Let’s be honest.  Absent a high profile, wealthy, independent, Republican running in this non-partisan and likely crowded primary it will be a Democratic game.  And though you may be surprised to hear it, there will be spirited, reasonable and responsible comments made in pursuit of this office and some real discussion about what is best for the great city and it’s residents.  Enough of them to fit in a thimble. But, the rest will be like a version of the Jerry Springer show which until very recently was actually filmed in Chicago.

It’s begun.  The headlines in the Chicago Sun-Times screamed at me with the big picture of a grimacing President Obama, a small shot of a scholarly looking Carol Mosely Braun in her reading glasses and large looming headline that proclaimed “Braun’s [take] on Obama’s Shellacking: IT WAS RAHM’S FAULT.”

The article, written by the talented and professional Lynn Sweet of the Sun-Times included Braun’s criticism of Rahm’s role in the recent failures of Democrats in the mid-term elections. Rahm Emanuel was called out by a liberal Democrat of some note for “cutting and running” on the President.  He was criticized for his handling of the “Stupak affair” and abortion during the health care debate.  He was criticized for negotiating only to the right on health care and never to the left.  He was criticized for recruiting candidates for office when he chaired the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee who were less than pure pro-choice candidates.

And, of course, Emanuel was roundly criticized by both Braun and Chico for leaving Chicago to attend a fundraiser hosted by his brother Ari Emanuel, the super-agent to the stars in Hollywood and co-hosted by some big name Hollywood players.  It’s great theater.  Some of the accusations will be true.  Because most consider Emanuel the frontrunner, he will be attacked by fellow Democrats for anything and everything that went wrong with the first two years of the Obama administration.

If you’re interested in exposing some of these tidbits or revealing the duplicity or leftist leanings of the Obama administration, you best pay attention.  The smart candidates for the GOP nomination (and potentially the Democratic nomination) for President in 2012 should be paying attention.  I’ll give you an example.  Braun spokesperson Renee Ferguson singled out the negotiating and concessions to Bart Stupak on abortion in order to pass health care reform.  Well, conservative pro-life activists have pretty much identified the concessions as meaningless and indicated that Stupak sold out the pro-life movement. Emanuel is biting his tongue now.  But if any of these attacks draw blood and his numbers slip as a result, he won’t have that luxury.  He could come out and say the Stupak “concession” was meaningless and not worth the paper it was written on.  Congressional Republicans and Presidential candidates might be interested in such an admission.  It could draw a rebuke from the White House. And obviously both the White House and Emanuel have a lot of powerful (and wealthy) friends with interests in shutting this kind of debate down. And maybe others (Hillary or Republicans) who might like to see it continue.

Prominent Chicago Tribune columnist John Kass wrote a piece on the morning after the election titled “Prepare for the Battering Rahm.”  This is going to get good and it will be ever in a few months.  Just keep watching.  That’s all I’m saying.

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COMMENTS

  • positiveenerg

    It will be interesting, Mew. And you are correct in recognizing that the players all have different motives and everyone has a price. As I’ve explained to friends around the country … Rahm can raise a lot of money but there is a limit to what you can do on TV or in the mail. It’s all “street money” and donating a million here and there to this ward organization or that ward organization. And Chico getting a job and Moseley Braun hoping for the same.

    That’s what makes it fascinating. If Reverend/Senator Meeks enters the race as expected, it will get interesting. He pushes Moseley Braun right out of the way (IMO). He’s a true believer and independent-minded. I don’t think Rahm would want Moseley Braun anywhere NEAR an Emanuel administration and not sure that Meeks would want to be part of one. He wants respect and action on his issues (mainly education).

    My best models for “players” going back home to run were Mitch Daniels and Haley Barbour. Both good guys. Both big time stars that could have tried to go home and run on their “I’m a DC big shot” reputations and I can buy a lot of TV ads and try to win. How many cabinet secretaries went home to run for US Senate (or were sent home to run by the Party) and expected to be placed into high office? You were Secretary of what? Many lose and are arrogant and lazy.

    Rahm is working it like Mitch and Haley did. So far. He’s doing all he needs to do to raise money (as is Ari the uber agent) but to his credit he’s visting diners all day and standing at busy EL stops shaking hands. And that is not something that comes easy or naturally to him.

    Rahm Emanuel has the skill set and pragmatism to POTENTIALLY succeed as Mayor. His ability to eventually amass power and become a strong Mayor … is less scary than someone like Moseley Braun and a lot of other rumored candidates. We’ll see.

    Thanks for reading and commenting.

    • wonkish1

      Surprisingly, Rahm is probably the farthest to the right we can hope for in a mayor of Chicago.

      I’m okay with someone like him . While his book is kind of a joke at least he realizes that the standard left wing solutions to problems are complete junk.

      It is possible that Rahm could become rack up the performance of someone like Mayor Bloomberg.

      As scary as it sounds, I think the only republican voters in Chicago should probably line up and vote for Rahm because that is the best they are probably going to get.

  • acat

    You’ve listed most of the players. There is, believe it or not, a Republican Party in Chicago .. but they don’t really matter. The Greens probably get more votes inside the city limits.

    Chicago is a great city for local politics because, unlike say Detroit, Chicago didn’t break up the “ethnic” neighborhoods – there’s still Greektown, the Polish neighborhoods, etc. etc. Every group vying to preserve their own, and almost all of ‘em Democrats.

    One way to read this is that Rahm isn’t going to do well – he’s brash, he’s abrasive, he’s not “hizzonner” material – otherwise you wouldn’t see Mosley-Braun and Chico entering the race.

    This is Chicago, though – Mosley-Braun has a lot of baggage for Rahm to throw back at her. I don’t think she’s a serious candidate, I think she’s there to give the anti-Rahm forces someone else to look at for a while, but someone who can be defeated, and then appointed to run the CTA or something.

    Chico is probably the flipside story – he’s not there to make Rahm look good, he’s there to try to negotiate a better deal. He stays in the race for a while, attracts the Hispanic vote, and then – after Rahm agrees to name him head of the CHA or something – he drops out and throws his support behind Rahm.

    This is the Chicago Way – politics as theater and negotiation, all at once.

    Mew