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Obama beating Palin, Romney, and Huckabee

Granted, it is still too early to announce who will be running for the Republican Presidential nominee, but the following poll speaks volumes about who we better put up to beat Obama.

In hypothetical head-to-head matchups Obama tops each of the Republican candidates tested, although in the case of former Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney , it’s by just 1 percentage point (41-40 percent). In January, Obama led by 12 percentage points (47-35 percent).

Obama has a 43-40 percent edge over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee , and an even wider advantage over New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (42-30 percent), former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (45-37 percent), and former Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin (48-35 percent).

Now what can we gather from this poll, a ton. We are dead in the middle of a country wide awakening and voter anger. Yet with all the feelings about Obama, his policies, and the democratic party, he still beats the darlings of the republican party in a head to head contest. This information should wake us up and show us that the country is not looking to our darlings to get us out of this mess, they are looking for a vibrant and strongly conservative with no baggage to come to the rescue. The people in this country are not interested in another McCain or a big named Republican to take over, they want a true leader to stand in the gap for us all.

Now this information may seem irrelevant at this moment, but the next part of the poll is even more telling. This part shows the massive decline in those who would re-elect Obama, yet if we put up the wrong person, he wins.

poll released Friday shows that 54 percent of voters say they would vote for someone else rather than re-electing Obama if the presidential election were held today. That’s up from 47 percent in a January poll and 31 percent in April 2009.

Thirty-nine percent would vote to re-elect the president now, down from 43 percent in January. That’s a dramatic drop from the 52 percent who felt that way in April, at his term’s 100-day mark.

Among Democrats, the overall number who would re-elect the president has dropped to 75 percent, down from 87 percent at the beginning of his term. And there is an even more significant decline in the number of Democrats who say they would “definitely” vote to re-elect Obama — from 69 percent near the start of his term to 41 percent now.

There’s a similar falloff in support among those who voted for Obama in the 2008 election. In the new poll, 40 percent of 2008 Obama voters say they would “definitely” vote to re-elect him, down from 64 percent in April 2009.

Among independents, 32 percent would vote to re-elect Obama, down from a high of 43 percent in April 2009. Meanwhile 57 percent of independents say they would vote for someone else — twice as many as the 28 percent who felt that way near the start of his term.

This is very telling. A vast majority in this country would not vote for Obama if he was on the ticket this year, but at the same time, would not vote for the current front runners of the republican party. In my own opinion this means that they are angry at politicians in general, but more so at the Democratic party. But it also means that if we send the wrong one to face Obama, he will serve an additional 4 years in office.

The president tops an unnamed candidate from the Tea Party movement by 11 points (43-32 percent), which is a much narrower spread than earlier this year when Obama’s advantage was 25 points (48-23 percent).

What about if an independent candidate makes it a three-way race? Obama gets 40 percent to Palin’s 28 percent, with independent candidate New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg capturing 18 percent.

It’s a tighter race if it includes Hillary Clinton as the independent candidate. In that hypothetical matchup, Obama would receive 30 percent, Palin 29 percent and Clinton 27 percent.

Once again the poll shows that even as Obama is down in every poll, he still beats our darlings even in  a three way race. This is horrible news unless we wake up and stop trying to force our regurgitated icons on the people. They are angry and it is to our advantage, but if we want their votes, we have to give them what they want. And that is a true leader who has a proven track record of small government, lower taxes, cutting spending, and who is a conservative through and through. I say this because across this country we have seen the voters demands and the insurgence of conservative winners. Even in the most liberal areas, it is the more moderate republicans who are edging out the liberal ones.

I do not know nor will I pretend to know who we need to put up for President, especially this early. But the one thing I am for sure about is we better not screw this one up. Put up the wrong one just because we like them, we will lose and there is no doubt about that. The people want change, but not the change the old ruling class of the democrats or the republicans have offered for years. And it seems that Palin, Huckabee, Romney and many others have become the unwanted as a leader of this great country. It is time to focus our efforts on getting the DeMint types of our party ready to run the big race or else we better get use to two words, President Obama.

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/100110_fox_news_poll.pdf

COMMENTS

  • Scope

    is the one that shows that 54% of the people would vote for someone other than BO. Also, Pelosi has an approval rating of 13%, which is less favorable than even the hated (fairly or not) BP. Those numbers are significant when considering the coming 2010 mid-terms. Also, throw in there that 43% of those polled, consider the media to be too Liberal. I also keep hearing that the number of pick-ups for the Republicans this November just keeps increasing, even with some of the most cautious people with their crystal balls. There is still much focus and concentration, and hard work needed for November.

    As to the 2012 presidential elections, I hope that at least some of those R’s you mentioned check their egos (and their checkbooks) at the door, so to speak, and don’t crowd the stage with a bunch of moderate has beens. I have no desire to speculate as to what Republicans may run, but, I have no opinion, until the stage is set.

    When you consider that BO announced his Presidential run on Jan. 16, 2007, and, Hillary Clinton announced her candidacy on Jan. 20, 2007, almost a full two years before the election, that may mean that Jan. 2011, will be the start of the 2012 runs, particularly if Hillary decides to challenge BO, or even some other wayward Democrat, that refuses to risk the gains they’ve made in BO’s last 20 months. That is only a little more than 3 months away. We are hearing some names now like Thune, Pawlenty, Daniels, and possibly Christie. He told Cavuto “no way”, but, Hillary said no way when running for the Senate, and, then jumped in. I hope there are some alternative choices from the names that have been bandied about. I think you are absolutely correct in that we must have a “real conservative” choice. Then again, what happens in 2012 will be heavily dependent upon what the Republican majority in both/either house does over the next two years. That is a make or break deal for the future of the USA. My personal choice at this point is hands down Jim DeMint, if he would accept the mission.

  • SirGladiator

    I remember early in 2007 it already seemed like things could get bleak for us, but the good news was our front runners were beating their front runners, specificly Guliani and McCain were both beating Hillary and Obama. So all we had to do is make sure to nominate one of our more liberal guys, and hope they nominated Hillary or Obama, and all would be great…..yeah, that didn’t quite work out so well. The bottom line is its way too early for numbers like that to matter, the only relevant ones at all are the ones that say how people don’t really want to vote to re-elect Obama. It doesn’t really matter who we nominate, they’ll be a very heavy favorite to win if the economy is anywhere near this bad in 2012. Whether we nominate somebody nobody’s ever heard of, or one of the folks in this poll who would supposedly lose to him.

    Of course the most likely candidate to win right now is Govenror Palin, her poll numbers are a bit low right now because of the liberal media, but once she gets out there and campaigns and shows the folks that the liberal media was lying about her not being smart, and that in fact she’s far smarter than Obama, her numbers will go back to where they used to be before the lies and smears, huge favorables, and she will win in a landslide, probably even bigger than Reagan over Carter. But for now let’s focus on 2010, we’ve got a House and Senate to win!

  • chihank

    I don’t put much stock in 2012 polls. Its like NFL preseason.

    Case in point, back in 2006, Dick Morris was on Hannity constantly shilling for Condi Rice for President. Morris said Hillary is unstoppable and the only person who can beat Hillary is Condi Rice.

  • chihank

    I don’t put much stock in 2012 polls. Its like NFL preseason.

    Case in point, back in 2006, Dick Morris was on Hannity constantly shilling for Condi Rice for President. Morris said Hillary is unstoppable and the only person who can beat Hillary is Condi Rice.

  • rabidcaveman

    First things first. Always.

    Our groundwork HAS to be laid in the House, and the Senate, before we can do anything about the WH. Look what happened in ’94-’00!!
    We had control, and even with the “smarmy, son-of-a-salesman(to quote Ann Coulter) in the WH, we quietly became great again!

    Now I know, Obama won’t lean center, if we take the House, and the Senate. That was Clinton’s deal. He knew America was, and is, a great country. Obama doesn’t care about anyone but himself.
    Even this far out, we can’t know who to put on the GOP wagon for the WH.
    We have to pray to God, inform people, GOTV, to do what needs to be done right now.

    • remnant60
      • Common_Cents

        Stick to our guns and keep cleaning up DC, have some back bone and principles and the right person will step up.

        Leaders don’t create movements, movements create leaders.

        Christie? A guy like him would freakin mop the floor with Odrama. One debate, ONE is all it would take.

        One interesting thing is that Bloomberg is a wild card. Golly gee, no wonder there are rumors that Obama wants to tap him as next treasury secretary. Obama is always scheming. Keep your friends close, and your enemies(potential opponents) closer (in your admin until you can throw them under the bus).

        • LisaDe
  • ktsub

    That poll is worth the same as a can of soda (maybe less).

    Now let’s Get-Out-The-Vote…early voting starts soon. Sign up to make calls from home, walk blocks…call your local candidates office to find out what to do.

  • powertothepeople

    as the voting that happens in a few days has little to do with this poll. And it is not the only poll that shows nearly the same results.

    But you are correct that we still have work to do between now and November and the fight is not completed yet. And like many on here, I am quite active in my states politics and looking to expand soon. Maybe in 2 years or at max 4, I will be posting my pleas for support on my bid here in RedState.

  • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

    this is a completely meaningless exercise. At this time before the 08 election BO wasn’t even on polling list.

    Polls this far out are a waste of time. There are no issues to consider and it’s nothing more than an exercise in name rec. Heck, nine months before McCain beat JD by 24 people were getting worked up because of a poll that showed JD within 2.

  • Remington_Steele

    is of less worth than a can of soda and more worth than this poll and your resulting conclusion. To say a fresh face is a must have for 2012 from a poll 2 years out and with a statistical tie between Obumer vs Romney or vs Huck is silly.

    We all want the perfect candidate that’s electable, but then reality hits that any race comes down to the folks that are willing to run. Let’s all increase the pool of great candidates by having a successful Nov 2nd with plenty of conservative Govenorship wins. Then, we’ll talk 2016. 2012 is just going to be messy no matter what new faces show up.

  • http://electionsanalysis.blog.com paint_it_red

    Someone will come out of the woodwork. Could be Mitch Daniels, maybe Bobby Jindal, maybe Paul Ryan, Bob McDonnell, Huntsman, or a Thune. The VP bench could include any of those as well, or a Gov. Christie, Mike Pence, or Coburn. The bench is a lot deeper than last time.

    Palin will play kingmaker to some degree. She is a force among tea party activists and the new conservative feminism. She absorbs a lot of hits from the media and draws their ire, which is all to the good because they have that much less venom to throw at the others. Guys like Romney, Giuliani, and Huckabee are better suited to a Senate seat, a Cabinet post, or in the case of the latter, perhaps a party chairmanship.

  • powertothepeople

    and made it clear that I had no clue who would be running at this point. But the under lying issue with the poll is this:

    All the names on the poll are quite recognizable.

    People are very angry right now yet still can not pull the lever for the ones listed showing they are not just mad at Obama, but the republican leadership as well.

    They want change, not more old faces from our party.

    The run for president starts November 3rd/ Within 6 months or so from that date we will have a pretty good idea who is the front for our party. By the year or so mark, we will know who the top 3 are, and in 18 months from that date, we will have a pretty good idea who will win or at least the two it will come down to.

    I understand much can change. The economy can pull a deeper nosedive and the people could become even more angry to the point we could put up Joe the Plumber up and he would beat Obama. The economy could pull a miracle on a short term basis 1 year from now and the people buy into the Obama made it happen argument. Clinton could run on a third party ticket or Obama could say he will not seek a 2nd term.

    I understand the variables, and I understand any of the above listed could become a nation wide darling. The entire point is that right now the country is scared and mad, as angry as they have ever been, are disgusted with the Obama direction, want him gone, yet if we put up the wrong person and the election was today, he wins. Go two years out, the same will apply. Even if it gets much worse, if we put up a looser, he becomes a winner.

    Palin may take the country by storm in the next year and may be the right one 2 years from now, but that is not the point. It is a simple reminder that while people are mad, we have to put up the right people at all times now and in 2 years. People right now are calling for the above listed to run and proclaiming they can and even will win. Going on populace opinion right now, having them be our winner would be a loss for our team. And I say that going on polls that show Obama has reached an all time low.

  • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

    Michael Steele’s job.

    Huckabee needs to either stay at Fox or go back to preaching. Never again in elective office or in a position to influence elective office.