A Final Look At The Minnesota Races

    With four days to go, let’s run down the outlook in Minnesota one more time.  I’ll do them in an order that can only make sense to a mind as disorganized as mine.  :-) – Obviously Safe Democrat seats:  MN -04 (Betty McCollum) and MN-05 (Keith Ellison).  One would like to think that the ethically-challenged Ellison could be beaten, but it’s just too Democratic a | Read More »

    The 90-50 Formula For House Swing Projection

    Like most of you here, I’ve kept a watch on Neil Stevens’ Swing-O-Meter and his various poll-based projections. (Always a worthwhile read, Neil.) And like many of you, I also have enjoyed watching more and more names mount and shift right on Cook’s Political Report. Being a numbers guy myself, I thought it would be fun to create my own gauge for what kind of | Read More »

    The REAL Minnesota House Race To Watch

    For such a contentious year and such a politically odd state as Minnesota, it is not sporting a great deal of competitive house races this year.  There are two safe Republican seats:  John Kline (MN-02) and Erik Paulsen (MN-03).  On the other side, there are four seemingly safe Democrat seats:  Betty McCollum (MN-04), Keith Ellison (MN-05), Collin Peterson (MN-07) and Jim Oberstar (MN-08). The race | Read More »

    Post-Primary Look At Minnesota Races

    With the primaries completed, let’s take another look at those Minnesota races… MN-GOV: Current Governor Tim Pawlenty leaves after two terms. Former U.S. Senator Mark Dayton won the DFL (Democratic-Farmer-Labor — Minnesota’s version of the Democrats) primary, while State Rep. Tom Emmer had no serious challenger on the Republican side. Tom Horner will represent the Independence Party. Minnesota has always been a rather contrarian state | Read More »

    Updated Look at 2010 MN Races

    An updated look at the Minnesota races: Governor: Incumbent Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty is not running for re-election. Oddly, despite the fact that Minnesota has not voted Republican in a Presidential race since 1972 (yes, we even voted for Mondale in 1984, though probably mostly out of pity), Minnesota has also not had a Democratic Governor since Rudy Perpich was defeated in 1990. This year | Read More »

    Tags:

    Impersonating SE-779: MN Race Breakdowns

    Having enjoyed SE-779’s breakdowns of various state races, I figured I’d contribute with my own analysis of my home state of Minnesota. Governor: Incumbent Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty is not running for re-election. Oddly, despite the fact that Minnesota has not voted Republican in a Presidential race since 1972 (yes, we even voted for Mondale in 1984, though probably mostly out of pity), Minnesota has | Read More »