congress

    A Final Look At The Minnesota Races

    By: qsclues (Diary)  |  October 29th at 10:02 PM  | 

    With four days to go, let’s run down the outlook in Minnesota one more time.  I’ll do them in an order that can only make sense to a mind as disorganized as mine.  :-) – Obviously Safe Democrat seats:  MN -04 (Betty McCollum) and MN-05 (Keith Ellison).  One would like to think that the ethically-challenged Ellison could be beaten, but it’s just too Democratic a | Read More »

    The 90-50 Formula For House Swing Projection

    By: qsclues (Diary)  |  October 23rd at 02:09 PM  | 

    Like most of you here, I’ve kept a watch on Neil Stevens’ Swing-O-Meter and his various poll-based projections. (Always a worthwhile read, Neil.) And like many of you, I also have enjoyed watching more and more names mount and shift right on Cook’s Political Report. Being a numbers guy myself, I thought it would be fun to create my own gauge for what kind of | Read More »

    Impersonating SE-779: MN Race Breakdowns

    By: qsclues (Diary)  |  January 31st at 05:35 PM  | 

    Having enjoyed SE-779’s breakdowns of various state races, I figured I’d contribute with my own analysis of my home state of Minnesota. Governor: Incumbent Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty is not running for re-election. Oddly, despite the fact that Minnesota has not voted Republican in a Presidential race since 1972 (yes, we even voted for Mondale in 1984, though probably mostly out of pity), Minnesota has | Read More »