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6 Million 586 Thousand Reasons to Doubt Obama Recovery

There is great excitement among liberals and the media (ah but I repeat myself) about the drop in the unemployment rate. I could try to explain the differences in how unemployment is caluculated now compared to the past or how people leaving the work force can make the unemployment rate go down but that makes most people’s head spin.

Here is a simple way to know what is going on in our economy. Unemployment numbers used to focus only on people 25 or older who were looking for full time work because these represented people who were most likely supporting a household.

Using this criteria: In 2007, the number of people 25 or older working full time was a little over 110 million. Today, there are only 104 million people working full time even though our population has grown. This is a drop in full time employment of 6 million 586 thousand jobs .

While these employment numbers are better than they were in January, this month’s numbers are awful. There were 204,000 fewer people working full time jobs compared to last month.

On the plus side, the announced number of 8.6% may create a false optimism that might spur employment. It is false optimism because the unemployment rate only went down because people left the work force. (as someone said “if you shoot the unemployed, the unemployment number will go down” and when people leave the work force the same thing happens.)

So raise a toast to these “great” numbers liberals. There are over 6 million people who have reason to doubt.

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COMMENTS

  • papabear

    We need to focus on the important numbers. The MSM is really spinning this awful labor report: “Jobs: Good Headline, Better Details”. This came from the NYT – I refuse to link to them. Bottom line? Pure spin

  • quill67

    I thought this post would get more attention—alas Presidential politics is more fun. If the drop of 204,000 full time jobs for those 25 or older is as bad an indicator as I fear it may be, this issue will not go away.

    However, Republicans need to prepared for a further drop in official “unemployment rate” because people can’t be unemployed forever and they soon will have to accept whatever job they can. Expect a futher rise in part time employment and further number of people dropping out of the workforce. I do not know but I want to research whether these are mostly men who are now stay at home dads or stay at home wait for retirement men.