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Son of Waxman-Markey: Its implied horror is all too real.

The future economic outlook, as the result of a government mandated “green” economy, is nothing short of horrific. When added to the current administration’s irresponsible fiscal policies, and coupled with a full frontal-assault against our domestic energy producers, the recipe for disaster is complete. The current economic recession will soon seem like a walk in the park compared to the fiscal nightmare which lies ahead.

The Heritage Foundation has published an excellent analysis, which projects the economic impact resulting from Waxman-Markey, and separates myth from reality.

About those “green” jobs touted by President Obama… It’s virtually impossible to create a positive atmosphere that promotes job growth while the economy is suffering through a $9.6 trillion decline in GDP. Waxman-Markey is no exception.

– Compared to no cap and trade, real GDP losses increase an additional $2 trillion, from $7.4 trillion under the original draft to $9.6 trillion under the new draft;
– Compared to no cap and trade, average unemployment increases an additional 261,000 jobs, from 844,000 lost jobs under the original draft to 1,105,000 lost jobs under the new draft; and
– Peak-year unemployment losses rise by 500,000 jobs, from 2 million under the original draft to 2.5 million under the new draft.

Though the proposed legislation would have little impact on world temperatures, it is a massive energy tax in disguise that promises job losses, income cuts, and a sharp left turn toward big government.

Let this sink in a minute… As opposed to no cap-and-trade, average unemployment will increase an additional 1,105,000 jobs as the result of the government mandated “green” economy.

The damage caused by this punitive tax and massive government redistribution will be real and tangible, and it won’t stop with job losses. Waxman-Markey is projected to adversely impact a broad spectrum of the economy as reflected by these leading indicators and real-life scenarios.

As President Obama pointed out, cap and trade can work only when energy prices “skyrocket.” To force consumer-energy cutbacks, the prices need to rise to painful levels. This paper’s analysis shows the results of this strategy. By 2035:

– The typical family of four will see its direct energy costs rise by over $1,500 per year.
– Pain at the electric meter will cause consumers to reduce electricity consumption by 36 percent. Even with this cutback, the electric bill for a family of four will be $754 more that year and $12,200 more in total from 2012 to 2035.
– The higher gasoline prices will have forced households to cut consumption by 15 percent, but a family of four will still pay $596 more that year and $7,500 more between 2012 and 2035.
– In total, for the years 2012-2035, a family of four will see its direct energy costs rise by $22,800. These inflation-adjusted numbers do not include the indirect energy costs consumers will pay as producers are forced to raise the price of their products to reflect the higher costs of production. Nor does the $22,800 include the higher expenditure for such things as more energy-efficient cars and appliances or the disutility of driving smaller, less safe vehicles or the discomfort of using less heating and cooling.
– As the economy adjusts to shrinking GDP and rising energy prices, employment will take a big hit. On average, employment is lower by 1,105,000 jobs. In some years cap and trade reduces employment by nearly 2.5 million jobs.
– The negative economic impacts accumulate, and the national debt is no exception: Waxman-Markey will drive up the national debt 29 percent by 2035. This is 26 percent above what it would be without the legislation and represents an additional $29,150 per person, or $116,600 for a family of four. To reiterate, these burdens come after adjusting for inflation and are in addition to the $450,000 per family of federal debt that will accrue over this period even without cap and trade.

Using the IPCC’s projections, which reflect the implementation of cap-and-trade based on Kyoto and European models, the mitigating effect on global temperature going forward is negligible at best, 0.05° C. by 2050 and 0.2° C. by 2100.

It is not possible for President Obama and Speaker Pelosi to justify inflicting this level of financial pain, a crippling tax-burden and lasting economic hardship on the American family for an insignificant change in global temperature that may never actually happen.

The only justification for cap-and-trade that makes any sense: Progressives, like President Obama and Speaker Pelosi, believe they’ve found a massive new revenue stream that will enable the largest expansion of the federal government in history.

However, just like all of the Liberal/Progressive programs that have come before and failed, cap-and-trade is subject to the law of unintended consequences. But, unlike the countless failures of the past, cap-and-trade threatens to kill the goose and condemn the US economy to a prolonged depression. The global implications of failure are of nightmarish proportion, and responsibility for the ensuing global financial crisis will land squarely on the shoulders of President Obama, Speaker Pelosi and all those who voted for Waxman-Markey.

We’ll call this completely manufactured crisis: “The Nightmare on Pennsylvania Avenue.”

It’s a fitting epitath for a lame-duck president.

COMMENTS

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com David Hinz

    The typical family of four will see its direct energy costs rise by over $1,500 per year.

    It is important to remember that this number, as well as all the other numbers in that Heritage report are in today’s dollars.

    Let us not forget that this administrations reckless spending and policies will result in hyper-inflation causing all of those numbers to skyrocket along with prices of everything else.

    If the Carter Administration is any kind of blueprint — and it would appear to be — that family of four won’t be paying an extra $754 for energy, but possibly $3000-$4000 more.*

    *[women and minority hardest hit]

    • rbdwiggins

      For the years 2012-2035

      These inflation-adjusted numbers do not include the indirect energy costs consumers will pay as producers are forced to raise the price of their products to reflect the higher costs of production.”

      The indirect energy costs are the unknown.

      It’s not possible to quantify how much more consumers will be forced to pay for “energy efficient” goods and services.

      I believe the Heritage Foundation addressed the areas where sufficient data was available and they could be confident about their conclusions. Unfortunately, such practices tend to produce results that are far too conservative.

      • http://theminorityreportblog.com David Hinz

        The Heritage Foundation must use conservative numbers to be credible. But, as a great statesman once said, “Nobody expects the Spanish Inquisition!”**

        Nobody could expect Carter-like double-digit inflation — unless of course, one looks at the policies of the Carter Administration and the policies of the Obama Administration and interpolates the fact that President Obama is President Carter without the sweater — but there is every reason to expect that double-digit inflation to happen.

        **Monty Python

        • rbdwiggins

          There’s just too many unknowns.

          …this paper’s analysis looks at only the cost of a simple cap-and-trade approach. Consequently, the economic impact estimates reported here will likely be lower than the economic cost of cap and trade hobbled further by mandates.

          Baseline Assumptions

          To establish a benchmark against which to measure the impact of Waxman-Markey, this paper assumes an economic recovery from the current recession and the subsequent smooth type of economic growth that all major economic forecasts must make. A more rapid economic recovery would make the costs of meeting the CO2 restrictions even greater.

          One of the unknowns is not inflation. The federal government can’t print and dump nearly $2 Trillion into the economy without the economy seeking to correct the imbalance. Although, the followers of Keynes must believe it’s possible, because they keep doing just that.

          Sadly, they never seem to revisit history and learn from past mistakes.

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  • http://www.the41stvote.org rcov092

    it is nothing more than the last desparate attempt to stave off the collapse of the Democrat ponzi scheme called Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid. They no longer worry about CO2, none of them will live long enough to have CO2 actually impact their election (ONLY thing they care about), but SS, that is another story.

    An AActuarial hydrogen bomb larger than This

    http://www.metacafe.com/watch/63493/biggest_h_bomb_detonation/

    They cannot forestall the collapse without a huge, never ending revenue stream and they have to hide it, lest we find out what it really is.

    Couple the revenue fromCap & Trade with rationing of care and they can stave it off until the new “population” policies they will create in the model of China and hope to sweat out the Demographics. Alas, anyone with any sense knows that is all a fools rush. It will collapse at some point no moatter what without dramatic refroms to transition AWAY for the broken Democrat model. A complete transformation towards personal responsibility.

    For me this means taking regulation and insurance out of the market until a cataastophich threshold is met. Insurance above that threshold by private insurers and HSA’s for everyone. Retirement to be taken care of in a private, madated system similar to Peru’s.

    It has gotten so insane that critics in labor unions in the US want to block the Peru Free Trade Agreement unless they convert their retirement system to the same ponzi scheme we have. ( http://www.bilaterals.org/article.php3?id_article=8711 )

    Cap & Trade is a MASSIVE TAX ON GLOBAL WARMING- THAT DOES NOT EXIST (so Democrats can maintain the charade). Stop the MASSIVE GLOBAL WARMING TAX http://the41stvote.org/wp/2009/05/featured-9/

  • rbdwiggins

    Waxman-Markey is not a tax on Global Warming. It is a tax on energy production and consumption, CO2 in particular.

    Climate Change is the new mantra. Anthropogenic Global Warming is no longer a credible argument (The earth has been cooling since 1998.).

    CO2 has been classified as a pollutant. That’s the justification for implementing cap-and-trade.

  • rbdwiggins

    Reply directed to rcov092.