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Election Projection predicts Scott Brown to win on Tuesday.

By: RealQuiet (Diary)  |  January 17th, 2010 at 05:16 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

Election Projection is a liberal poll watcher if memory serves me correctly.  (Update:  It looks like they are not after reading more of their posts.)  They are now predicting Scott Brown to win on Tuesday.  The last statement sums up the disbelief that is starting to permeate in Democrat circles: 

Election Projection has followed suit – who can argue with all the polling data giving Brown a slight to convincing lead – and now projects Brown to win the election on Tuesday.  I repeat, simply because I never dreamed I’d post these words.  Election Projection now projects Republican Scott Brown will win the Massachusetts senate seat formerly held by the late Senator Edward Kennedy in the special election on Tuesday, January 19, 2010.

This looks to be a political earthquake on a scale that I have never seen in my lifetime.  I believe Scott Brown will win the race by 4-10 points.  All the projection models are predicting a solid to convincing win for Scott Brown.  Latest poll from the Merriman Group released today puts Brown up 10.  (H/T Hedgehog Report).

Unbelievable!!!

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  • rubicon01

    OK, I too have read the stories & I too have felt the giddy excitement of possibility. Realist that I am, I did not permit myself to even think Brown might just pull off an upset, since I suspected there would be backroom antics that made sure the Democrat won & Brown lost. I suspected Democrats would never permit Teddy’s seat to go to a Republican.
    All this being said, I also suspect a setup.
    Lets be real folks. If Brown can win, its a political landslide, no matter what the final vote tally turns out to be. If Brown can win, Democrats will have to go into full retreat mode as such a victory would be a total & huge repudiation of Obama’s agenda of redistribution & taxes & bigger government with draconian regulation.
    Et tu brute, comes to mind.
    BUT!!!!!!!! This report on the poll by Election Projection may also be an attempt to convince Republicans & Independents that they need not turn out to vote since its sooooo in the bag for Brown.
    Not that some pols would try to pull off a little distortion of reality so their candidate would garner more votes of their party members who do come out. Nah! They would never do such a thing!
    Right? Right!!??? Well, right?!

  • http://www.mysimplehomegarden.com tbaleno

    As long as we stay focused on helping Brown get people to the polls and vote we have a good chance.

    I agree with you about the distractions of polls and how some might use them to manipulate people in to voting or not voting for their candidate. So we just have to put this stuff out of our head and get the job done to the best of our abilities tomorrow.

  • http://www.the41stvote.org rcov092

    http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/