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Blood in the water: Christine O’Donnell may have runaway momentum in Delaware

(H/T Hedgehog Report, dforston at Redstate)

Something smolders in the deep in the party of conservatives.

It has been widely assumed that Chris Coons had Christine O’Donnell dead, buried, and forgotten.  In my latest Senate update yesterday I was anxious to see a poll out of Delaware for the following reasons:

  1. Chris Coons reversing course and saying he would support extending the Bush tax cuts.  I was puzzled by this statement.  After all, this guy has the reputation of an audacious tax raiser who nearly bankrupted New Haven County.
  2. A huge endorsement from Pete DuPont who is a GOP political giant in Delaware and part of the most powerful political family in Delaware.
  3. Conservative pollsters who have Christine O’Donnell within 6 in Delaware.  dforston of Redstate in a very recent post showed the Tea Party Express and the conservative pollster The Conservative Journal having Christine O’Donnell within 6 of Coons.
  4. This visits of President Obama in Delaware.  Huh?

Now this bombshell from Hillbuzz:

Yesterday, a poll went around showing Christine O’Donnell just five points behind Commie Coons in Delaware’s Senate race. This SORT OF explains the weird amount of time the White House has been spending in a slam dunk blue state.

But, Democrats are ferociously attacking CoD as hard as they attacked Scott Brown in Massachusetts.  If she is so far behind, what is the point in beating up on this woman?

This is anecdotal, but I think I know why they are doing this…just like with Hottie McAwesome there are internals showing O’Donnell ahead.

Today I talked to a friend from Team Hillary who is a big Dem fundraiser. He told me that for the last week or so the DNC has been at DEFCON 1 leaning HARD on the rainmakers because they are terrified of a CoD win in Delaware.

The problem is some internal poll that apparently shows that a high percentage of Democrats early voting are voting straight ticket Republican instead…they are Democrats voting against Democrats.

I am still registered Democrat here in Chicago and I voted straight ticket Republican except for Tom Dart for Sheriff because I know and like him.  Other than that, it was all Republican.  But, in terms of early voting stats, I was a Democrat early vote on paper.

The media is not factoring people like me into the equation.
On the other side of the aisle, I can’t imagine many, if any, Republicans voting Democrat.

So someone at the DNC came up with a formula that takes all of this into account…and when THAT formula is applied to the Delaware race, CoD is ahead.

And that terrified the DNC enough to send the SOS to the big money guys like my friend for a Hail Mary pass.

“They are terrified of her winning”, my friend said. “Scott Brown terrified”.

And I add: these people have all been at this so long they don’t get this freaked out over nothing.

Now naturally I like to play the skeptic here.  However, all these factors that I have been seeing in Delaware at a minimum suggest that something IS DEFINITELY NOT right in Delaware as far as the Democrats are concerned.  My instincts sense something major is happening in Delaware.  I mean, if Chris Coons had such an enormous lead, the Democrats wouldn’t be investing so much time and money in Delaware one would think.  Christine O’Donnell has had some incredible fundraising and her campaign has really been hitting the airwaves and is up to speed now.  Remember this is the exact way she closed and ran over Mike Castle on the way to the GOP nomination.  She has the help of the Tea Party but anyone who lives in this region and can volunteer to make calls and expand O’Donnell’s ground game in Delaware would certainly not be wasting their efforts.  Also, making calls in Pennsylvania, Virginia, Ohio, and West Virginia, and New York (lots of winnable congressional races there) would be very helpful as well.

Off topic, a tremendous amount of great polling for the GOP today in the Senate and House races.  Check them out!  The real eye openers are the House races in ID-1, CA-20, KY-3 and NY-20.

Erick, Moe, Neil, ANYBODY dig up their sources to see what is happening in Delaware.  Is this fool’s gold or is it real?

The theme I have been seeing around the conservative blogosphere and is quickly catching on as the 2010 theme:

Be the wave.  Vote November 2nd.

COMMENTS

  • AceInTX

    and smell a rat….

    maybe it’s black helicopter theory…but I can’t help but wonder

    • RealQuiet

      Maybe they wanted it that way because if the other side sensed something was up, it would get the conservatives very excited indeed and they couldn’t afford to have the question asked “Is Christine O’Donnell going to win?”

  • froster

    Who’s the pollster? Is it an internal?

    And I’m talking about the second poll you talk about.

    The first one is the poll from The Tea Party Express.

    Obviously O’Donnell is closing, as you note about Democrats investing in this state, and I think that her momentum can carry her through next Tuesday.

    • RealQuiet

      Not an internal pollster but it is conservative. The Conservative Journal.

      http://twitter.com/TCJournalUpdate

      Their polling isn’t that out of whack. Today’s polling has Angle up 5, Raese up 6, Rossi is tied, O’Donnell within 6, and Fiorina up 3. They use random samples of 1000 likely voters. MOE is plus or minus 4.

      • IJB

        I’m sure he can give you the details.

        But all of these numbers from them look a little too rosy to my eye…

        • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

          TCJ Research is an amateur outfit learning as they go.

          Maybe one day they’ll polish it all up and get useful, but they’re not quite there yet.

          • RealQuiet

            That’s why I asked if this was fool’s gold or not. Guess we’ll have to wait and see when SurveyUSA or Rasmussen comes out with some new polling.

  • Scope

    Seems he’s actually hurt the candidates he has stumped for. He’s going to be in VA-05-Charlottesville on Friday for Perriello. Perriello has been running away from his Pelosi/Obama votes, and literally has tried to make the Republican look like the incumbent, but, standing on the stage next to Obama, it will solidify his support for the Obama agenda, that he has been denying. It’s all over the airwaves that Perriello is Obama’s favorite Congressman. LOL.

    Hopefully the same phenomenon is happening with Coons. Maybe those polls aren’t so questionable. We shall see.