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Sarah Palin: What was once so promising, has now marginalized herself into a political tease

Harsh?  Not really.  The ship has already sailed but she has lead her supporters on for too long.  Ace pretty much nails it:

Remember, she’s going to give you an “adult conversation,” rich in detail, unlike other poltiicians, who speak in “vague generalities.”

This speech was said to be two things, and hinted to a third.

First, it was supposed to be a “major announcement.” If there was a major announcement here, I missed it entirely.

Second, it was supposed to be a “full-throated defense of the Tea Party.” It wasn’t. It was platitudes and bromides sprinkled with flattering the crowd.

What would a “full-throated (and “major”) defense of the Tea Party” sound like? Well, for one, I’d think it should be persuasive to non-Tea Partiers. For another, I think it would be thoughtful, rather than off-the-cuff standard flatteries. For a third, I think it should be novel or new.

I could imagine a good speech about the Tea Party. I could imagine a speech going all the way back to the Town Halls during and after the Revolutionary War, when citizens were actually engaged in what their government and their country would be. I could imagine a speech detailing the patriotic conscientiousness of making sure that what was won by blood should not be lost by disregard.

And I could imagine such a speech noting that for decades, American citizens had largely abandoned this commitment to engagement with their own political fates, and a Media-Government Elite filled the vacuum, and over time, became less and less connected with the citizens they were supposedly serving.

And I could imagine a speech then noting that this Elite, having gotten cozy deciding the fate of the nation, reacts hysterically and angrily when citizens decide they want to take back their God-given right to decide the course of human events for themselves, viciously attacking Americans who had the audacity to say “We’re taking our responsibilities as citizens seriously again, after too long leaving it them to you, those who craved power and assumed it and now cry like stuck animals when we attempt to take back what was always ours.”

Maybe you don’t think that’s good. Maybe that strikes you as pedestrian and done to death.

But if you’re going to claim a “full throated defense of the Tea Party,” shouldn’t there be something beyond the typical praise of the “workin’ man” and the standard-issue statements that we’re the ones who actually produce wealth?

That stuff is true. But it’s unremarkable. Certainly it fails to live up to the advance billing.

Third, what was implied was that Palin would make an announcement about her candidacy. She hinted about this “See you on September 3rd!,” a campaign-like commercial promised.

And she never said publicly, “Although I am giving a policy speech, I will not be making any kind of declaration on September 3rd.” Such a statement was leaked by “sources close to the governor,” but is there something “unconservative” about simply making one’s plans known?

So that other people don’t waste their time?

Instead, after the encouragement of interest, and the cultivation of speculation about what that “major announcement” might be, it was a very standard-issue and not-particularly-important or novel stump speech.

Some might find this sort of coyness and games-playing “brilliant” or the like. I don’t.

Some may claim she “played a trick on the media.” Yes, the media. And everyone else too.

Tough words on someone I really like, but true nonetheless.  In retrospect, I wish she had stayed on as governor in Alaska, fight through the frivolous lawsuits regarding ethics that libs were filing against her, keep her mouth shut instead of complaining about media bias, and put some seasoning on her record as governor.  Too late for that now.  Playing these games are just going to drive her negatives up more.  Better to endorse and be actively involved in helping congressional and presidential candidates in the 2012 elections if she wants to salvage her rapidly shrinking political relevance.

COMMENTS

  • izoneguy

    Jedediah Bila, Michelle Malkin & Pamela Geller

    • Scope

      for her appearance today, if she was. Does anyone have that info? During the rally they kept announcing Palin stuff for sale which I would think she would get some sort of royalties on.

      • rightwingmom52

        When Herman Cain spoke at our local GOP fundraiser, he had a table set up – bumper stickers, pins, etc.

        • Vegas_Rick

          Only Sarah gets bashed for it.

          • Scope

            and any monies earned from those sales aren’t going to fundraising for any candidacy. It all just goes into her personal bank account. There is a huge difference.

          • Vegas_Rick

            Do you have inside information. Do you KNOW it’s not going to her PAC to fund other campaigns? Do you KNOW that she’s not going to declare as a candidate?

            You don’t KNOW anything about the proceeds.

          • Vegas_Rick

            Do you even KNOW that she’s the one selling the stuff?

          • Scope

            It can be going to her PAC to fund other candidates, but, those monies cannot be transferred to a campaign for the presidency, if she decides to run. Do you believe that those donors all know that those donations are going to other candidates, or to pay for her speeches or staff. I would venture a “guess” that many think it is going to go for a run for the presidency, and will be very angry if she doesn’t run, which I still believe she will not.

          • Vegas_Rick

            They just wanted the button or bumper sticker. But it is really a simple question to ask before the purchase. Where will these funds go? If there were a legal disclosure requirement, I’ll bet it was met.

          • acat

            There’s no requirement to disclose bupkis, except to the IRS.

            Mew

          • Scope

            They don’t have to disclose any of the financial transactions with respect to how much they may be paying to Palin to use what may be a trademarked image. No way Palin is just allowing her image to be used by just anyone.

          • aesthete

            I see no reason to condemn Palin. She draws the crowd, they draw the checks: that’s how it works. If the crowdgoers aren’t yet aware that she’s a political tease and DOA when it comes to higher office, that’s their problem.

        • Scope

          and I see his sales as a fundraising activity. Palin isn’t running, and she isn’t fundraising for a run for the office. Isn’t there a valid difference?

    • Scope

      A point by point rebuttal to Jedidiah Bila’s pro-Palin article. Some interesting points on Levin’s support of Palin also.

      • Flagstaff

        as they say on TV. Verrrrrry interesting. And sad.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    If Palin was going to be the main Romney challenger … Romney would be our nominee.

    From the Ace comments:
    “Who’s being pranked here?”
    “who’s forcing you to follow ms. grizzly?”

    My response to that: Palin’s numbers and interest has peaked. People HAVE turned her off. I saw her April 15th speech in Madison with great interest. Great speech. Thought she might run … but she never did … The “will-she / wont-she” question has jumped the shark. Any announcement of a run will be a setup for a run as ilfated as Fred Thompsons, any non-announcement will be a non-news, expected item.

    It is in the end cruel on some level of Sarah Palin to string along her supporters and deny them the opportunity to support the best REAL candidates. Either she is doing a media prank or she lives in a bubble where she can be a quasi-candidate who doesnt play by the rules. Neither is a path to either a nomination or respect.

    PostScript: Thank goodness Perry is running. Palin would have been a trainwreck general election nominee. At this point, she wont get nominated.

    • APA Guy

      The bottom-line regarding Sarah Palin is this: She can’t beat Obama in a general election. She can’t stand on a stake and beat him in a debate…she can’t win over swing voters…she has NO crossover appeal…and she is probably the most unlikeable person (save Hillary Clinton) to run for president in my lifetime.

      We have a really good conservative candidate leading the pack right now. He has the credentials and policy positions to whip Obama in the general. Let’s not let this opportunity to take the country back pass simply because some within the party WISH Sarah Palin could be president. It isn’t happening…not now…not ever.

      • APA Guy

        Sorry about that, folks.

    • Flagstaff

      I predicted Sarah would run. A few weeks ago, I repeated that prediction.

      Something has happened in the meantime that makes it seem unlikely now. Don’t know what it is, but it does seem the time has passed. Maybe a dose of reality set in.

      I agree with APA Guy, “She can?t stand on a stake [or a stage] and beat him in a debate,” and she isn’t really the candidate who “should” win (the nomination), to steal a quote from Nikki Haley. As much as I like her, and even considering that I think she’s improved her game a lot in the past few months, I sincerely hope she stays out.

  • Scope

    because it fits my thinking exactly-

    “I don’t know how it helps to have Sarah Palin? running around pissing into the tent of declared candidates every chance she gets, and in so doing writing Barack Obama’s general-election campaign ads for him. Whichever of the Big Three primary candidates one supports, Sarah? has been there to lob passive-aggressive bombs at him/her while refusing to declare her own intentions either way.

    This only divides and embitters conservatives, and Sarah? knows this, but she also knows that she personally profits from being the Ultimate Conservative Rogue. So the only thing to conclude is that for her, the “Country First” crap went out the window a long time ago.”

    • Vegas_Rick

      and I didn’t hear a single violation of the 12th commandment.

      • Vegas_Rick

        or is it the 11th commandment? can’t remember.

        • Scope

          Early in the speech Palin talked about the elite crony capitalists, and the long time politicians, which is being intrepreted by those covering the speech as a “veiled” attack against Perry. She in fact did talk in a language which included both R’s and D’s for many years being responsible for the destruction that we are witnessing in Washington.

          My question has been, why then did she agree to run on the same ticket as the Crony John McCain. She said that everyone needs to watch what donors are supporting the GOP candidates, as they will owe those donors back, but, why did she have no problem with all that when she was thrust onto the national stage by the long time crony politician McCain? Then she participated in paying him back with campaigning and fundraising for McCain’s 2010 re-election campaign. So far, I haven’t seen any Palin supporter address those questions, and they are valid. Has she flip flopped on her original positions?

          • Vegas_Rick

            and dog whistles were the paranoia of the left. Whe she says: Rick Perry this, or Mitt Rmoney that, I’ll take this kind of griping seriously.

            Look, I think she should fish or cut bait too. But she owes me no explanations.

            As for the McCain campaign, apparently loyalty means nothing.

          • Vegas_Rick

            She couldn’t possibly have been refering to Solyndra and Obama when speaking of crony capitalism. Now could she? Or GE and Obama. Or high speed rail and Obama.

            No, of course not.

    • aesthete

      Everything that I’ve heard from her regarding other candidates has been on-target: Romney’s healthcare bill, for example, is just as bad as Obama’s health care initiative. Thing is, her record isn’t sunshine and sparkles, either.

  • Vegas_Rick

    and promises? Not Sarah.

    • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

      by not being more clear about her intentions. She is giving them either false hopes or signs of an incompetent campaign. IMHO, its the former, as Sarah is neither dumb nor incompetent, but rather is milking her high-profile status without actually disclosing her decision. that’s stringing people along, the oldest media attention-getting trick in the book. Overdoing this schtick is self-marginalizing after a time.

      • Vegas_Rick

        For over an hour, by the way. I didn’t see much disappointment

        • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

          Look, I’d look (and be) thrilled to shake her hands and meet her too.

          Thats not the point. you are claiming the Palin fans are just fine with her current rope-a-dope non-candidacy? Palin supporters don’t care if she runs or not?

          • Jack_Savage

            Because most Palin supporters are far more concerned with what happens to this country than whether she runs or not. I am pretty well convinced that she will do what she thinks is more helpful. If that is to run, fine, if not, fine. We understand that she is not interested in dancing to the tune of others, including her supporters.

            While I am here, nice title of the piece, don’t you think? I can almost hear Beevis and Butthead – “Sarah Palin is a “tease”….hee hee…..hee hee….”

          • Vegas_Rick

            I agree that her ultimate decision will be based on what she believes to best for the country. And it will be made in her own time.

          • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

            There’s little reason for her to run if even her supporters dont really care if she runs or not.

            “I am pretty well convinced that she will do what she thinks is more helpful”
            As would any would-be candidate.

            “most Palin supporters are far more concerned with what happens to this country than whether she runs or not. ”

            ALL OF US are far more concerned with what happens to this country than whether one candidate runs or not. We should never get obsessed over any one personality, the conservative movement needs an army of leaders, not a single hero.

            The question is whether there is a big gaping hole in the GOP field without her. Your answers suggest ‘not’ as you are fine with a non-candidacy.

  • Scope

    for any other candidate, whether she runs or doesn’t, can now be considered the same kiss of death to a campaign that Obama brings to those Democrats he endorses and campaigns for. It is a terrible shame that Palin has decided to take the route of money making co-opting a strong conservative message.

    What’s that saying about the emperor having no clothes?

    • onemovoter

      And will get burned if she keeps this “stringing along” shtick going.

      The chorus of those calling for Palin to “piss or get off the pot” will get louder and louder. I really hope Sarah finally makes her intentions so she doesn’t lose more of those who generally follow her. I know she has good political instincts, but it seems they are not leading her lately.

      When I listened to her speech, I could swear I was hearing a combination of Perry, Romney, Cain, Bachmann, and even a little Huntsman maybe. Thing is Palin is really on the same page as most of the GOP is, but for some reason is trying to stay outside the fray.

      I was waiting to see if she would come out for someone perhaps, but she just dragged it on. Perhaps NH will be different.

      • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

        ” chorus of those calling for Palin to ?piss or get off the pot? will get louder and louder. ”

        It’s beyond that, now with Perry leading strongly, even if she does run, it wont go well for her. Shark has been jumped on that, the voters are beyond it already. She should have announced on July 4th or sooner. Instead, she waited, voters drifted, Perry took off, and we have a better alternative: Perry has higher +ives and much much lower negatives with the GOP base, he fits the Tea Party/conservative points well enough. And if you dont like Perry, there is Bachmann. Polls consistently show Palin less electable vs Obama than Bachmann, Perry, Romney, and even RonPaul.

        She would have to fight to regain support, and her speech, while a great stump, does nothing to change that dynamic.

        Playing king-maker will be a better role for her at this point, rather than a FredThompson-like “it seemed like a good idea at the time” failed candidacy.

        • Scope

          saying they are only for poll dancers or skiers, or some such thing, indicates that she is well aware that her numbers are in negative territory. I think she said something about not paying attention to those numbers, but, did in fact address them. If she were not concerned about polls, why even bring them up in her prepared speech.

  • conservativecurmudgeon

    It is an option. Whatever.

    I have thought, and continue to think, her non-campaign may be a very shrewd thing, should she run or not. And most Americans are not the type to knit wool over which candidates get in, and when. Most people can barely name who the Vice President is, let alone who the candidates are on the hustings in Iowa.

    REMEMBER: Sarah Palin will get her head ripped off the minute she declares she’s running. SO, it may be very beneficial for her if every other conservative Republican running has already had THEIR heads ripped off well in advance. The convention is a long way away.

    • victoria_29

      LOL here is a thought for you. I personally hope she jumps in the last day she legally can, Sept 30. And here is why, your own little argument, as a Perry supporter I love it. The longer she waits the closer it is to the primary date. Your right everyone else has already been through the wringer. And voters have a very short attention span. All those negatives of Palin’s by her late jumping in, & there is millions of negatives & her poll numbers are already dropping will be right there is front of voters the right by primary day. Yep, your right, great strategy. Do you think most voters even know or are going to remember the attacks that Geller made for example on Rick Perry 6 months from now? nah, but they will sure remember the most recent ones.

  • azaeroprof

    Look, I want her to make a decision soon. I’m ready to go full-bore for her if she runs, or go full-bore for Perry if she doesn’t. The sooner the better. But she doesn’t owe me any timeline.

    If you filter away all of the chatter from the idiot media pundit class, or from the pundits here at RedState (many of whom have a thinly-veiled or not-so-veiled disdain for her to begin with), and just look at what has come out of Palin’s mouth/twitter/facebook, it’s really very simple. She has been consistent all along. She has said she is considering a run, and the only specific timeline she has given is the end of September. Every other interpretation, including of today’s speech, is something that was transposed onto her actions by others. Every time she utters a breath, farts, or belches, other people begin to gin up expectations for some kind of announcement. And again, many on “our side” play right into the media’s hands on this.

    It could well be that the end of September is too late. Before Perry’s entrance and ascension, I would have said it wasn’t. Now it may be. She is accused of being a “tease”. This is baloney. She is trying to maintain public interest in a potential candidacy, so that she doesn’t have to recreate it if she does run. That is exactly what ANY potential candidate should be (have been) doing prior to an announcement. Except when Palin does it, it’s a bad thing.

    • acat

      It gives Perry time to be “tried by fire” in the debates, and in the media by Rove and his ilk. (and, of course, online by Luap Nor, but .. who cares?)

      Should Perry stumble, she can easily drop a few more possible hints and draw attention away from him. (Given that the MSM is still trying to figure out how to hit Perry on the eighteen things and .. maybe one other .. Palin is fulfilling this role right now.

      Should Perry support collapse, she can step in and try to be “the anti-Romney”. I don’t think she would succeed, but .. who knows?

      Mew

  • Common_Cents

    If you are wanting her to be a candidate then I’m sure you are getting impatient.

    Palin is a good ambassador, speaking to regular Americans. She has done more for conservatism and the tea party than anyone, whether she practiced it faithfully or not. She deserves credit for that.

    As a candidate? Meh. I’d definitely support her if she got the nomination but I think her strength is rallying support. We need many more like her inspiring American’s to take a stand.

  • aesthete

    Whether she decides to run or not, Palin is a non-factor at this point. Besides the fact that Palin has a real image problem even among the conservative base (to say nothing of independents and moderate/conservative Dems), most conservatives who like her do not feel strongly or act on this like of Palin. For her part, Palin appears to believe that doing the same ol’, same ol’ — speaking in generalities, attacking the media and other conservative bugaboos, being a conservative media darling, and retaining her image as a hard-right personality — is in her best interest. This tells me that she is either a) not going to run, and continue in her current role, or b) that she’s acting on terrible advice.

    There is a motivated cadre equivalent to Ron Paul’s supporters in group size and intensity, it is true. For the most part though? The conservative movement has passed her by. They’re past the point of being tired of the schtick: at this point, they’re unaware of the schtick. Palin will continue to be a wishlist candidate, and she might try her hand at running for McCain or Kyl’s seat (hopefully the former rather than the latter). The mainstream influence conferred by the Presidency, however, is no longer attainable for her: people just aren’t animated by her one way or another anymore. Rather than scream about Palin, most people are content to politely decline discussion of her and her prospects for higher office. I imagine that if Barack Obama had gained notoriety in ’06, a similar phenomena would have taken place on the left. The novelty is gone, and nothing’s going to get it back.

    • azaeroprof

      about someone who is, despite not being a declared candidate, polling in third place in GOP primary polls. And unless I miss my guess, if she were to declare, could very well be in 2nd place or very close based on these numbers.

      She does have some serious obstacles to overcome, both to the nomination and to the general election, but to say that she would be a non-factor if she were to jump in the race is probably wishful thinking on your part. You could argue that her entry would be good or bad for the party, but she would be a major player either way.

      • Scope

        It has been reported by the Palin camp that Palin will make a decision by the end of September. According to Carl Cameron, if he has any idea, that date is now being pushed back to early October.

        Suppose over the next month of debates, that a clear front runner is coming forward, and the voters are getting excited and are jumping on his/her bandwagon. Would you go with unifying the voters and getting strongly behind that candidate? or will you still be waiting for Palin to make up her mind?

        In Palin’s words, she likes to “shake things up.” At what point will her shaking things up become a liability for her, and for the Republican nominee, if in October she still hasn’t made up her mind.

        I guess what I am asking is when will you go with another candidate, if Palin just keeps shaking things up. When will enough be enough?

        • azaeroprof

          And even I probably have a ‘drop dead’ date. I’d probably give her a little wiggle room on the end of September date. The timing and choreography of an announcement have to be just right, so even if she were thinking exactly 9/30, it could go up to one week either way.

          A lot of my answer to your question depends on Perry himself. Right now, though I am ready to jump on his bandwagon if Palin doesn’t run, I’m not convinced enough to jump on his bandwagon absent her decision. Maybe by the end of September, I may feel differently.

          My general philosophy on primary races is that I’ve seen too many general election disasters when decisions were based largely on general election ‘electability’. McCain and Dole, in particular, are two high-profile examples, but I’ve seen several more at local and state levels. I believe that in a primary, one should support the person they feel they most agree with philosophically and would be the best person for the job. That is why I am sticking with her despite the fact that a strong argument could be made that Perry is more ‘electable’ in the general.

          But as I have written here previously (in my diary ‘A Tale of Two Palins’, I was going to link it here but RS won’t let me find the link to it. You can see it by looking at my previous diaries at my profile), I simply don’t believe that Palin is quite as ‘unelectable’ as some would argue or as polls may indicate at this time. (In fact, Rasmussen has her only down 12 to Obama, and she is about as weak right now as she has ever been and would be much stronger if she ran a good enough campaign to win the nomination.) In fact, my assessment is that she would have at least as good a chance at winning the general as Romney would, and probably better than any of the remaining candidates. Opinions may vary, but that’s mine.
          That’s probably more answer than you were looking for! :)

          • http://www.gmsplace.com/ civil truth

            It’s neil [at] redstate.com (substitute @ for [at]).

            The links from your list of posts to the individual posts appear to be broken, but articles are still visible. Very strange. Neil will need to sort it out.

            I have no problem linking from my list of posts page.

          • azaeroprof

            Will do.

          • azaeroprof
      • aesthete

        just realistic. The same applies to plenty of pols who I would like to see as President (Guiliani and Daniels, to name two at random). Palin may still have an ability to *impact* the race, yes, but she has lost the ability to control just how she will impact it, and to what extent. Moreover, her star is really starting to fade, and she will lose her current goodwill if her entering the race causes Romney or another moderate to win, or if it is perceived to harm a conservative challenger with better chances than hers. Just as Guiliani has *influence*, but will never get to the heights he reached when he was mayor in the 90s and during 9/11, so too Palin has lost the moment, and hasn’t been successful in regaining it. It is entirely possible that she isn’t interested in that sort of mainstream attention, and that she is satisfied with her flock. If so, then good for her; I have no problem with anyone capitalizing on their image or other attributes. (IMO, her actions make the most sense when examined in that context.) If her goal is to parley her current status into something more mainstream or influential, then she has failed miserably, and should sit back and consider her missteps rather than go full speed ahead into another failure. My impression of her is of someone who’s shrewd; if that’s the case, then I doubt that she will make a serious run for the Presidency.