It’s the end of the world as we know it (it’s time I had some time alone)
It’s the end of the world as we know it (it’s time I had some time alone)
It’s the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine (it’s time I had some time alone)
- R.E.M “It’s The End of The World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine) Lyrics. (HT: Lyrics007)
Perhaps we are all fortunate that Walter M. Miller, Jr. wrote A Canticle For Leibowitz before the era of Global Warming Chic. He, Neville Shute, and all the fine Rock Singers who jammed at the No Nukes Concert, seemed to believe there wasn’t a silver lining around the mushroom shaped cloud of a nuclear holocaust that didn’t consist of Strontium-90.
Now, our scientific overlords inform us that if you just pop a few nukes, somewhere far away from where Dr. Genius parks her SUV, it may not be a total suckage field. Nothing quite reverses the Demon Global Warming like a nice, billowing cloud of carbonaceous aerosols. These particles, known in Atmospheric Science literature as Black Carbon, could potentially exert a downward forcing effect on global temperature by blocking incoming insolation.
In small quantities, these aerosols are seen as having a positive forcing effect. They heat the air by storing and reemitting heat from the sun and by coating reflective surfaces on the ground. But what happens if you produce a quantity described by Carl Sagan as “Billions and Billions and Billions?”
In 1983, Sagan, Richard Turco and a large number of other researchers examined what would happen if the USSR and the United States detonated a combined explosive capacity ranging from 5,000 to 10,000 megatons. This resulted in a paper entitled “Global Atmospheric Consequences of Nuclear War.” This research paper introduced a new term to the scientific discussion of catastrophe – Nuclear Winter.
One synopsis of the Nuclear Winter hypothesis holds that a 10,000 megaton discharge of atomic weaponry would “accomplish” the following:
The conditions of semidarkness, killing frosts, and subfreezing temperatures, combined with high doses of radiation from nuclear fallout, would interrupt plant photosynthesis and could thus destroy much of the Earth’s vegetation and animal life. The extreme cold, high radiation levels, and the widespread destruction of industrial, medical, and transportation infrastructures along with food supplies and crops would trigger a massive death toll from starvation, exposure, and disease.
Nuclear Winter consisted of a hypothesis tested with a model. Thus, rigorous-minded people will dispute the validity of the conclusions in the aforementioned paper. In fairness to the authors, nobody still in their tree would actually call up the Pentagon and ask them to test this puppy out in the name of good, accurate science. However, real-world events have partially mimicked Nuclear Winter on a much smaller scale.
From 12 to 15 June 1990, Mt. Pinatubo erupted in the Philippines. The United States Geological Survey writes the following regarding this catastrophic natural disaster.
…the volcano exploded in a cataclysmic eruption that ejected more than 1 cubic mile (5 cubic kilometers) of material. The ash cloud from this climactic eruption rose 22 miles (35 kilometers) into the air. At lower altitudes, the ash was blown in all directions by the intense cyclonic winds of a coincidentally occurring typhoon, and winds at higher altitudes blew the ash southwestward. A blanket of volcanic ash (sand- and silt-size grains of volcanic minerals and glass) and larger pumice lapilli (frothy pebbles) blanketed the countryside. Fine ash fell as far away as the Indian Ocean, and satellites tracked the ash cloud several times around the globe….Nearly 20 million tons of sulfur dioxide were injected into the stratosphere in Pinatubo’s 1991 eruptions, and dispersal of this gas cloud around the world caused global temperatures to drop temporarily (1991 through 1993) by about 1°F (0.5°C)
So guess what some sick and benighted members scientific establishment have obliquely proposed to solve our Global Warming Crisis? I like to describe it as Nuclear War’s NFL Pre-season. We’ll keep Peyton Manning on the bench and proceed as follows.
To see what climate effects such a regional nuclear conflict might have, scientists from NASA and other institutions modeled a war involving a hundred Hiroshima-level bombs, each packing the equivalent of 15,000 tons of TNT—just 0.03 percent of the world’s current nuclear arsenal.
In return for this small, short-term investment in thermonuclear HVAC, we get the following “pay-off:”
After a regional nuclear war, though, average global temperatures would drop by 2.25 degrees F (1.25 degrees C) for two to three years afterward, the models suggest. At the extreme, the tropics, Europe, Asia, and Alaska would cool by 5.4 to 7.2 degrees F (3 to 4 degrees C), according to the models. Parts of the Arctic and Antarctic would actually warm a bit, due to shifted wind and ocean-circulation patterns, the researchers said. After ten years, average global temperatures would still be 0.9 degree F (0.5 degree C) lower than before the nuclear war, the models predict.
(National Geographic)
As long as were just proposing an undercard bout rather than the next installment of Ward Vs. Gatti, National Geographic doesn’t seem to sweat the whole unintended consequences category. Being the Ops. Research type that I am; I decided to nerd around a bit in the negative externalities. They seemed to suggest India versus Pakistan as a possible conflict that generates the right volume of smoke and ash. So I decided to look up what sort of targets the two opponents would seek to flash-fry.
Mombai has 13.8 Million People, Delhi has 12.6 Million and Bangalore and Kolkata top out a shade over 5 million each. Assuming the Pakistani attack generates 50% KIAs in each of these for cities, we get around 18M worth of instantaneous carbon sequestrations.
If India inflicts similar damage on the top four Pakistani cities, we would experience about 12M units of human CO2 emitter reductions. And not to bug these scientific wonder-kids in the middle of dinner, but what I’ve just described involves an hypothesized 30 million deaths. It required the Good ‘Ol US of A about 25 years of Roe V. Wade abortions to generate the same despicable level of casually sadistic genocide. So much for American Exceptionalism.
People have a lingering, false impression that environmental activists actually like the continued existence of human beings. To suggest that India and Pakistan could do us all a favor and cool the planet for a few years if they unleashed hell across their contentious mutual border lays this assertion utterly to nines. Not all environmentalists are genuinely evil, but like the population activists that encourage you not to breed, they are certainly not interested in mankind’s commonweal.
Steve Maley
Caleb Howe
Jeff Emanuel
Can we finally junk the notion that
pashley1411 Monday, February 28th at 3:09PM EDT (link)scientists are somehow above us all and acting in all our best interests? They are acting in their own best, short-term interest; wages, research money, notoriety, journal citations. Same dynamic as motivates a movie star or sidewalk preacher.
That's a bit harsh.
Repair_Man_Jack (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 3:14PM EDT (link)But not entirely unfair. There is a “star” system in science that corrupts it’s idealistic search for the truth.
Mr. Obama is pretending that an economic “recovery” is underway when he knows damn well that the banking system is just blowing smoke up the shredded *** of what’s left of that economy – James Howard Kunstler
The Climate
Daniel Horowitz (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 3:28PM EDT (link)scientists are similar to the health scientists who come out with conflicting studies every few weeks regarding food and exercise. The major problem is that they lack any accountability and thus are not deterred by the facts. We need more state AG’s like Cuccinelli who will demand accountability from state university studies.
Hang on - you're missing the point here.
Steve Summers Monday, February 28th at 3:56PM EDT (link)We sane people (i.e., non-liberals) all realize that it’s not impossible that there COULD be a global-warming effect of more CO2 in the atmosphere (although personally I subscribe to the “it’s nonsense” camp). But we also realize that it IS impossible for humanity to “solve the problem” (if there is one) by scaling back our CO2 emissions to the per capita level they were at when we all burned candles for light and chopped wood to heat our one room log cabins (and incidentally lived to be 45 if we were lucky.) In fact, that won’t work either because even if we reduce the amount we’re ADDING, all we’ll do is SLOW the growth – not reverse it. To reverse it, we have to stop adding ANY AT ALL and also find ways to pull some of it out.
The only SANE thing to do is to keep increasing our energy supplies so we can remain a modern, technical civilization, in order to retain our ability to invent new ways generate more non-carbon-based energy as it becomes economically practical. Meanwhile, if it turns out that “global warming” DOES happen, and its consequences are actually negative (another “fact” that’s very disputable), then we might need to invent ways to temporarily reverse the effect.
If all it takes is detonating a few nukes in strategically located places where there aren’t any inhabitants (or perhaps places like Washington DC, where there would be only a few hundred innocent victims (note to homeland security – this is a JOKE – see that phrase “innocent victims?” it implies that the rest of the victims in Washington DC (the politicians) wouldn’t actually be “innocent”. See? A joke. OK, maybe not that funny, but not a serious threat to actual people, so leave me alone.)
Anyway, if all we need to do is detonate a few nukes in harmless places (really far away from Washington DC, in the actual proposal here), and solve the warming problem for 2-3 years, that’s an inexpensive, sustainable, reverse-able method that would be FAR superior to impoverishing the entire planet and having about 5.5 billion people die of starvation because they can’t afford to buy the food we can’t grow enough of without diesel fuel.
I do agree though that a “little war” between India and Pakistan wouldn’t be a great idea.
I just re-read the national Geographic Article.
Repair_Man_Jack (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 4:04PM EDT (link)http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2011/02/110223-nuclear-war-winter-global-warming-environment-science-climate-change/
At no point do they talk about where we “should” detonate the weapons. I like your sarcastic humor, but the type of people that write this sort of “suggestion” just wouldn’t get the joke…
Mr. Obama is pretending that an economic “recovery” is underway when he knows damn well that the banking system is just blowing smoke up the shredded *** of what’s left of that economy – James Howard Kunstler
"inexpensive, sustainable, reverse-able method"
wennejunk (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 6:47PM EDT (link)Not to mention the ‘perfect’ solution for what nations can do with their pesky, unneeded nukes.
There are only two kinds of people in the end: those who say to God, ‘Thy will be done,’ and those to whom God says, in the end, ‘Thy will be done.’ -C. S. Lewis
Who needs the Onion with stories like these?
NickDeringer (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 4:03PM EDT (link)So we can’t have power plants in US that don’t explode, but we can detonate nuclear devices in the open atmosphere?
NickDeringer
Well, we already knew they were good for
Death_of_the_Donkey (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 4:07PM EDT (link)digging canals and such, why shouldn’t they be able to cool us down every so often.
Just Stand A Wee Bit Askew From The Plume...
Repair_Man_Jack (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 4:10PM EDT (link)and hang on to something when the breeze whips up…It’s better than lemonade on a hot August Day in Alabama.
And they haven’t even gotten into the urban renewal applications…
Mr. Obama is pretending that an economic “recovery” is underway when he knows damn well that the banking system is just blowing smoke up the shredded *** of what’s left of that economy – James Howard Kunstler
Talk about not thinking this through...
petrarch Monday, February 28th at 4:21PM EDT (link)If they really believed this, then the solution to the millennia-old problems of the Middle East AND the “global warming” crisis immediately presents itself.
That they don’t make the obvious connection and kindergartner would see, indicates how totally unserious that article is. At the very least you’d expect them to address the moral issues in some sort of cost-benefit way – regardless of how you’d feel about their analysis, which no doubt would be morally appalling.
For the life of me, though, I can’t imagine what they’re trying to accomplish – just getting talked about maybe? Bizarre.
Scragged – Conservative Online Opinion Magazine
As John Paul Sartre SARCASTICALLY Implied
Repair_Man_Jack (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 4:25PM EDT (link)“There is no need for read hot pokers – Hell is other people.”
I also believe you are right about the entire “Look at me!!! aspect of this article.”
You’ve got to shock the bourgeois, if you want to sell any art.
Mr. Obama is pretending that an economic “recovery” is underway when he knows damn well that the banking system is just blowing smoke up the shredded *** of what’s left of that economy – James Howard Kunstler
Nevil Shute should not be on your list
Berean (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 4:21PM EDT (link)He was hardly a leftist.
On the Beach was never intended as a leftist treatise, but rather as a psychological novel on the premise of “what if the entire world had six months to live”?
Shute himself noted the scenario was scientifically impossible, and was a critic of socialism. Unfortunately leftists hijacked the book for their own purposes.
Trying each day to spread the Gospel
I'd Have To Know More About Shute
Repair_Man_Jack (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 4:28PM EDT (link)to evaluate that. I’ve read On The Beach and enjoyed it. Also, I wasn’t implying he had Reds under his bed, but rather that he understood that maybe pushing the button could have unpleasant consequences. Ronald Reagan had that figured out. (See SDI).
Mr. Obama is pretending that an economic “recovery” is underway when he knows damn well that the banking system is just blowing smoke up the shredded *** of what’s left of that economy – James Howard Kunstler
Wait, wait...
juumanistra (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 4:38PM EDT (link)So it’s now *kosher* to detonate atomic weapons within the atmosphere in contravention of the PTBT if it’s to save the world from anthropegenic global warming? Obviously it must be! NatGeo said so! And it’s not like a prestigious magazine like National Geographic would sully its reputation by publishing pablum that implicitly says an Indo-Pakistani nuclear war would be a good thing.
It’s clear that the only way to save Mother Earth is via ground-launching of Orions. Going to take a lot of them, though, because those pulse-units are horribly inefficient at kicking up dust. On the other hand: Titan or bust!
So This Doesn't Have to Be The End For AA Atlantis....(nt)
Repair_Man_Jack (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 4:46PM EDT (link)Mr. Obama is pretending that an economic “recovery” is underway when he knows damn well that the banking system is just blowing smoke up the shredded *** of what’s left of that economy – James Howard Kunstler
NatGeo BURNS global warming out of town
jamesonx Monday, February 28th at 8:13PM EDT (link)I both subscribe to and enjoy reading National Geographic. So, you can imagine my shock when RMJ informs us that this magazine was supporting the following insane position:
My interest piqued, I read the article itself. And, probably unsurprisingly, found that neither National Geographic nor the scientists quoted support nuclear war as a solution to global warming. Now, I can agree that the buzzword-driven title “Small Nuclear War Could Reverse Global Warming for Years” is unfortunately chosen. But the content of the article is unequivocal, and can speak for itself:
If there is a takeaway from this piece, it is rather well-stated by the close of the article itself:
And isn’t that a meaningful message? Doesn’t that drive home the point that the US can’t just ignore nukes in Iran, North Korea and Pakistan, even if those countries can’t nuke the US itself? There was a story worth seeing in this article, but it sure wasn’t the one being “reported” here.
Yes, Yes, The Title and The Article...
Repair_Man_Jack (Diary) Monday, February 28th at 8:29PM EDT (link)And the authors of Freakonomics didn’t really mean that abortions were a method of crime abatement, but that’s what they wrote in their abstract.
Another bunch of guys didn’t really mean that Geghis Kahn was a wonderful human being because he killed enough people to lower the Earth’s temperature for a century.
Yet another bunch of people at Oxford University didn’t really mean to say that abortions were less likely to cause mortality than live child births, but that’s what showed up in the headlines.
The sad truth about most scientific literature is that 90% of its readers peruse the title and then the abstract of the paper. If the title or the abstract of the paper states that nuclear wars or the conquests of the Mongolian horde were good for planetary temperatures, that’s what the 90% audience walks away with.
If the abstract of a paper published by Harvard University reads that aborting kids prevents future crime, that’s what the audience walks away with. If the title of an Oxford University Hospital paper reads abortions cause fewer mortalities than live childbirths, guess what message just got sent to 90% of the audience.
People spend more time ont he abstract of a paper than they will on any other individual section of the write-up. They know that’s what most of the world will see. This message “Small Nuclear War Could Reverse Global Warming for Years” was carefully and studiously chosen. The message sent was deliberate.
Mr. Obama is pretending that an economic “recovery” is underway when he knows damn well that the banking system is just blowing smoke up the shredded *** of what’s left of that economy – James Howard Kunstler
Just to clarify
jamesonx Monday, February 28th at 9:51PM EDT (link)I’m probably being dense here, but I’m having a hard time squaring your circle.
To be precise: Is it true that when you say “This message … was carefully and studiously chosen [and] deliberate” you are, in fact, suggesting that National Geographic magazine is advocating for a nuclear war, perhaps between India and Pakistan, as a net-positive method of addressing global warming?
Even when the text of the article casts the outcome of such a war in a decidedly negative, if not apocalyptic, light?
Subliminal Messaging
politicallydisgusted Tuesday, March 1st at 8:32PM EDT (link)It’s just that, subliminal messaging, except it gets right in your face where you CAN’T see it. It is prominent yet obscure. Most, probably do not pay enough attention to get anything else from it.
Or something like that. ???
Religion
genehowe Tuesday, March 1st at 9:12AM EDT (link)The National Geographic has been a ‘promoter” of their ‘religion’ since their very first issue. They have been upfront as the official experts on evolution by
promoting that man evolved from monkeys..this has been their ‘thread’
since first issue. To believe this is denial of God.
Since beginning of man, air that is breathed has a constant 21% oxygen,
that we inhale and exhale as carbon dioxide that then is recycled through
plants returning that same 21% again to keep us alive. Who is really in
control of our world? gene howe
The environmental brainiacs
doncorleone Tuesday, March 1st at 9:21AM EDT (link)In f.d.r.’s adm. wrote that farmers should till up as much of their farmland as possible, to release additional c02 into the atmosphere, to promote rainfall. The result was the “dustbowl”. Listening to a group of people (the environmental sector of the scientific community), who have been abjectly wrong, and for a very long time now, is disastrous, now matter what context they’re writing in.
If you dont like Radiation, you could...
yoyo (Diary) Tuesday, March 1st at 10:53AM EDT (link)Just have NASA use the retired Space Shuttles as rocket motors to drive and steer a couple asteroids our way.
Just “land” one remotely on said asteroid, attach it somehow, light the engines, and drive it home!
http://impact.ese.ic.ac.uk/cgi-bin/crater.cgi?dist=200&distanceUnits=2&diam=900&diameterUnits=1&pdens=&pdens_select=8000&vel=20&velocityUnits=1&theta=75&wdepth=&wdepthUnits=1&tdens=2500
As long as no one lives within 200 miles, a 900 Meter iron asteroid would do just fine! And NO radioactivity to contend with! And it does something useful with the retired shuttles!
It is a liberal “win-win-win!”
Nemo me impune lacesset
“No one will provoke me with impunity!”
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Pukin’ Dogs – The Fighting 143
Sans Reproache
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The ‘yoyo’ replaced my cigarettes January 22, 2006….
What if Mother Nature augments the bomb
doubledok Tuesday, March 1st at 11:32AM EDT (link)with an ill-timed volcanic eruption? (Pesky earth-science unpredictability)
OOOPS! Overkill (literally)
Though not thoroughly studied by me because I am unqualified in the area of expertise – It seems that when the world economies have ripped-off their citizenry enough that there is no productive method of recovery, they resort to massive de-population to restore balance. WWI, Russina Revolution, WWII, a series of smaller skirmishes as Korea, Viet Nam, Iraq, Afghanistan, serial Southern Hemisphere revolutionary purges, . . .
Also decrying tragedy while capitalizing on incidental genocides like Bangladesh and other food crises, civil wars, legal abortion, disease outbreaks, jihad, terror attacks, drug violence,. . .
I see Obamacare a another small step to engage mini-executions by rationing care to expensive utilizers and those who, in the government model, are surplus or antagonistic, to the administrations totalitarian agenda.
I doubt that most political, union, or industrial leaders are fundamentally different. Few as balatant as Libya, N. Korea, or Sudan, but subtle executioners in their wielding of power.
Unions demand others suffer to support their undeserved lavishness. Hazardous processes leave toxic residue proportional to the per-unit value of their product while government turns a blind eye in exchange for adequate lobbyist graft – and people suffer and die.
Representatives get lifetime pensions & salaries for a part-time, two-year stint as lapdogs to lobbyists. Foreign aid gets filtered through military and political corruption amounting to $200 for a box of Cheerios. Defense contractors and NIH recipients wallow in doldrums of ineptitude to tell us that the believers in VooDoo really believe in VooDoo? Governement workers add to the cost of getting anything done and reduce the likelihood the government operation of anything will produce results.
But I rant.
Wow, talk about big picture thinking!
silkywiley Tuesday, March 1st at 12:54PM EDT (link)Not necessarily a rant, and an interesting take. I sometimes see things in just this way too.
Our pesky little scientists often remind me of the Pandora’s Box tale.
And the environmentalists have a decidedly anti-human bent.
China has reaped the unintended consequences of forced abortion and population control in that they now have an overabundance of young males without mates, a very unstable population. Nature seems to have wonderful self correcting gender balance.
What population control people generally fail to point out is that all biological systems have an arch of increase and then decline. Biological systems are self regulating. Humanity is not exempt. I have read a few articles on the instability of human DNA. Insects, Lizards, crockodiles, and those have rock hard DNA, note the continuation of the form. Human DNA in its current form is about 200,000 years old, and it is fragile and breaks down easily and then recombines in order to maintain an ability to reproduce, however there is a limit to the recombinant capacity and some males in the population have actually reached that point and are sterile. This could ultimately lead to a complete mutation into a new form of human, hopefully a higher model. The instability is possibly responsible for the higher intelligence and consciousness of humans, in that they have evolved to self-consciousness at around the age of 3 in most humans. Animals live in simple consciousness. Humans appear to have an expanding potential for super consciousness, which is also displayed in the species. Whether the species will evolve to a higher model appears possible from other faculties it has developed in consciousness. At higher intelligence and higher consciousness, human do not spend so much of their time reproducing. As humans evolve, population will shrink. Self solving overpopulation delimmas.
Another blind scientific bent is that of economic models wherein populations must increase for prosperity. This is only a modern model in communism and socialism. And obviously not sustainable. Actually the better models, were thrift, inheritance, family structures, etc. which worked very well for centuries. More assets, less population to share assets with. Human society advanced rapidly after the black plague for this very reason.
Therefore, whether it is God or Nature, best to let it take it course. Anytime these scientists start mucking around, unintended negative consequence come knocking. Human overpopulation is likely self-containing. The world climate seems to be self-corrrecting. Global warming theory is a nice way for groups to gain power and wealth, nothing humans can do about global warming if it is true. The history of the world shows far more period of cold and ice ages, let’s enjoy our relative human supporting period of warmth. Every 100 years there is an entire new population. Such short lifetimes, amazing what one can accomplish if so desired.
Forgive my memory flaws, its been a long time since I researched these issues. I was around for Erlickman (sp) and all those supposed bright boys. I got suspicious and did a lot of thinking and research, made me stand in awe of God and his creation.
Now that is my rant.
I wrote this 13 months ago
myron_j_poltroonian Tuesday, March 1st at 1:46PM EDT (link)Okay, o.k.: I can’t resist; I hate to be a “Soggy Covering”, but the greatest contributor to “Global Warming” is – “Clouds” – even contrails from aircraft. They trap heat and don’t allow for a normal atmospheric heat exchange to occur (which is a “Bad Thing”). Except, of course, when they are caused by thermonuclear devices (an anathema to the environmentalist members of the “Limp Left”). Then they cause “Nuclear Winter” (which is also a “Bad Thing”). See? You can “Have your cake and eat it too”. So, with all due respect that “The Gloved One” deserves: “Just eat It – eat it, eat it … .”
Population......
genehowe Wednesday, March 2nd at 8:55AM EDT (link)In 1950, 50 Bushel Corn per Acre was good….today the average per
Acre is around 150-200. (Who do you think is in control?)
Do you not think that at the same time we don’t really make the man responsible for the seed he has planted .then any man that won’t or can’t support his off-spring, be ‘fixed’, so he doesn’t continue to keep ‘spreading’ his seed and be irresponsible. (would eliminate the abortion mills and
‘welfare’ mothers, generation after generations of ‘takers’, a side
benefit would be less crime and less need of more jail cells, for those
born and not really taken care of by a stable family.