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By 2030 Population to Start Dropping Like a Rock

According to a UN 2009 revised population forecast, world population will peak at around 7 billion in 2030, and begin to fall. How can that be? In 1980, world population was forecast to be significantly higher by 2030.

Many plagues and Epidemics have culled population from the earliest times. The worst were the Plague of Justinian(Byzantine Empire/541542 AD), Black Death(1347), Great Plague(1665), oriental Bubonic Plague(1894), Spanish Flu(1918), and HIV/AIDS(1985—).

But the worst population killer is the epidemic that will not be controlled. We have done this to ourselves. It is chemical/artificial fertility control.

In UNdata | record view | Total fertility rate (children per woman) by 2030, we see that the world’s medium variant will be 2.21 (children per woman). The low variant will be 1.72, with 2.10 being the minimum replacement rate for replacing population. Evidence is mounting that the low variant (1.72 children per woman) is the proper choice, but will still be too high.

Typical variables such as birth control, arbortifacient use (RU-486, abortion pill, Ella, etc…), age of parents, and abortion of babies during any trimester, directly affect population. It’s been documented for years that materials such as depo-provera (breakthrough ovulation 40-60% of the time), Norplant (b/t ovulation 50-65%), and the IUD (b/t ovulation 100%) [Abortion Debate Forum - You Have Probably Had An Abortion Without ...] kill young babies.

Outside variables also affect population numbers, such as same-sex marriage, sterilization, reduced egg production, AIDS/HIV, and elimination of DDT (resulting in millions of deaths each year). With fewer eggs, one has fewer possibilities of conceiving with the partner.  With same-sex marriage, there’s the impossibility of conceiving with the partner. With sterilization, the impossibility of conceiving with anyone.  With the lack of DDT to kill or repel malaria-infected mosquitoes, or with HIV/AIDS, there’s fewer partners to conceive with.

Now, a new study covering the last 30 years reveals sex-selection abortions in India were as high as 12 million girls. Girls killed specifically because of their gender in a society that wants boys over girls [The Exploding Population: World Population and its Impact].

According to Professor Prabhat Jha (Center for Global Health Research/Toronto/Canada), the abortions have increased over the last 10 years. By 2030, UN predicts India’s fertility rate (medium variant) will be 1.96, and (low variant), 1.46.

In China, they vigorously pursue their one-child policy ["Illegal" Babies Abducted by Chinese Population Control Officials ...]. Violators have sometimes been subjected to coerced abortions or, after birth of a child, have been forced to pay substantial fines, and have been sterilized. For China, UN predicts a medium variant of 1.85,  and a low variant of 1.35.  Both variants, for both countries (two largest populations) are well below replacement rates.

Now we hear about the “man” being a co-conspirator of declining population. In Out for the count: Why levels of sperm in men are falling , the Independent explains why men’s sperm count has dropped over 27% in the last 8 years. A good portion is directly due to the hormone estrogen. There has been a lot of interest in chemicals in the environment, especially those that can mimic female sex hormones (i.e., oestrogenic chemicals).

This chemical is typically ‘peed’ out of a woman when she takes the “pill” for birth control. Most water treatment plants don’t remove the estrogen from drinking water. One in seven couples are now classified as infertile, and the ‘male’ can be responsible if he has a low sperm count.

Even though a baby small enough to be chemically aborted can be flushed down the toilet, it’s still a life at the earliest stages. It is calculated between 7-12 million/year newly conceived children are killed by chemical abortions in the womb. [Abortion Debate Forum - You Have Probably Had An Abortion Without Knowing It] [http://ehealthforum.com/health/topic20209.html#ixzz1LV9S15tD]

In Does the Birth Control Pill Cause Abortions? Reviewed by Jed Stuber, we know the BCP can cause abortions by making the uterus inhospitable to implantation.

It’s estimated at least 30 million souls are aborted and killed worldwide every year. It’s numbing to calculate the number of deliberate infant deaths since abortions and oral contraception pill’s (OCP’s) began to be used. Even the UN does not reveal the difficulty for world population to change their sexual mores, and thus alter worldwide fertility rates.

Once the population gets to zero-growth, it will spiral downward. Any growth will be negatively affected by all past population reduction techniques. Existing sexual practices such as abortions, use of the pill, and other abortifacients will be almost impossible to stop. At this point, population decline will become detrimental.

Chemical/surgical abortions and OCP’s, are the one-two punch for eliminating world population. Few will care, as they will not be alive when a dying population is known. It seems as the UN has met their goal of reduced population growth, and have turned a ‘blind’ eye to the ensuing consequences.

Maybe Someone is trying to tell us something with existing man-made sexual techniques, and chemicals in the wrong places. Maybe some of us don’t even believe in a ‘Someone’.

Likely the human race probably won’t be completely destroyed—yet. But quality of life will be significantly knocked down. And that would be almost as bad in 2030.

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Kevin Roeten can be reached at roetenks@charter.net.

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COMMENTS

  • jeffreywturner

    are you primarily referring to the problems experienced when you have too many retirees consuming resources and not enough working-age people to provide them?

    • lineholder

      for a course I’m taking. Estimates are that by 2030, the ratio of 19-year-olds to 65-year-olds will be 1:1. It was very thought-provoking and stirred a lot of questions in my mind.

      China has the same pattern of female infanticide within its society that you’ve mentioned here for India. The male-to-female ratio in China is now 1.2:1 (if I remember correctly). What’s more, after 30 years of a one-child policy, China is now facing a generation where a lot of younger citizens are voluntarily choosing to go childless.

      Russian males have been dying at a relatively young age for years on end now, mostly due to alcoholism-related illnesses. Males in particular just never recovered psychologically from the damage that was done during the years of communism.. Alcoholism became a very prevalent “escape” mechanism, and certain behavioral patterns have been carried over into the following generations.

      As to the hormones, I’ve also read that the hormones put into food, particularly meat, can influence male estrogen levels. How much of a factor that plays in the situation, I really don’t know.

      But the most significant factor of all is exactly what you have stated…abortion, whether voluntary or involuntary. And literally every government across the globe condones it.

    • YnotNOW

      largely because of locking wives behind walls with nothing to do but conceive and raise kids.
      If we don’t become a culture of life instead of a culture of death, the death-cult of Islam will dominate the world.

    • wennejunk

      But I would also think in terms of…Detroit…on a worldwide scale.

      Not enough people living in various regions to support the infrastructure, so your lowered tax base cannot support the systems roads and bridges (and housing) that was built for the larger populations.

  • Ausonius

    With both India and China selecting for males, that could be a recipe for violence both inside and outside of their countries. The lack of at least a nearly equal feminine influence on such a society may be deleterious: traditionally a bubble of males has meant trouble for a population.

    We see the brutality tolerated by the male-dominant Islamic world, at least among the radicals who treat women as property.

    I am not so sure about the “chemical” explanation about the decrease: how is it that Islamic families are still “multiplying like rabbits” as “YnotNOW” mentions? Especially when they are drinking the same water, at least in developed countries where they have emigrated to, and eating at least some of the same food?

    Abortions and birth-control pills would seem to be the main culprits.

  • conservativecurmudgeon

    Average age in the US at Obama’s inauguration: 44.

    Average age in the Gaza Strip: 19. Average are in Paris: 45.

    The cradle-to-grave welfare state of the advanced democracies has shut down the cradle, and we are gentrifying with lightning speed. Statistics do not lie. Western civilization is facing an existential threat, and you’ve pointed out one of the greatest aspects of this threat we face. Great job.