By: scarlos (Diary)  |  November 21st at 02:53 AM  | 

I noticed no one’s produced a direct comparison of the 2010 and 2008 CNN Exit polls, to see where the swing was the largest/smallest, so I decided to create one.  I used the House totals, and only picked out categories with direct comparisons.  The totals may not represent equal shifts due to voters not responding to certain questions and by changes in the compositions of | Read More »

By: scarlos (Diary)  |  June 3rd at 02:14 PM  | 

While Checking through Gallup’s latest Weekly polling summary, i came across something rather interesting in their demographic breakdowns.  They polled that Obama’s approval rating over the week averaged 46%, with 93% support among Blacks, 39% support among whites, and 63% support among non-whites. http://www.gallup.com/poll/139337/Obama-Weekly-Approval-Average-Dips-New-Low.aspx Now, assuming that Gallup’s polling sample is about 13% Black (national average), then that means Obama’s support among the 87% of | Read More »

By: scarlos (Diary)  |  August 17th at 05:03 PM  | 

Here is the Georgia map: Southern Georgia: Northern Georgia: Here are some close-ups Savannah Area: Macon Area: Atlanta Area: Overall: It should give a solid 10-4-0 Spread (10 Republicans, 4 Democrats, 0 Swings), with all 4 Democratic districts being African-American Majority ones. To break it down by Area, we go 6-3 in the Atlanta Metro Area, 2-0 in the rest of Northern Georgia, and 2-1 | Read More »

By: scarlos (Diary)  |  August 15th at 12:57 AM  | 

The 2010 census is approaching, and with it the 2011 redistricting process. As Swamp Yankee has mentioned the Online Left is eagerly drawing their own prospective maps to try to maximize their potential gain from the process, though the Online Right doesn’t seem to be nearly as eager. So, I’ve decided to start drawing some 2010 district maps, hopefully for all 43 states that use | Read More »