The June 22 Primary is fast approaching, Here are the states that are hosting Primaries:

North Carolina: Polls close here at 8 PM EDT. Here are the races to watch:

NC-SEN DEM Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after Secretary of State Elaine Marshall and State Senator Cal Cunningham failed to clear 40%. I have no dog in this race. I see Marshall prevailing 56-44.

NC-08 GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after Businessman Tim D’Annunzio and former Sportscaster Harold Johson failed to clear 40%. I have no dog in this race. I see D’Annunzio prevailing 54-46.

NC-13 GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after Insurance Agent Bill Randall and Magazine Publisher Bernie Reeves failed to clear 40%. I have no dog in this race. I see Randall prevailing 51-49.

South Carolina: Polls close here at 7 PM EDT. Here are the races to watch:

SC-GOV GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after State Representative Nikki Haley and Congressman Gresham Barrett failed to clear 50%. I am all in for Barrett. Sadly, I see Haley prevailing 59-41.

SC-01 GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after State Representative Tim Scott and Charleston County Commissioner Paul Thurmond failed to clear 50%. I have no dog in this race. I see Scott prevailing 57-43.

SC-03 GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after State Representative Jeff Duncan and Pastor Richard Cash failed to clear 50%. I’m all in for Cash. I see Cash prevailing 52.5-47.5.

SC-04 GOP Primary: This race is in a runoff after Congressman Bob Inglis and Spartanburg County Solicitor Trey Gowdy failed to clear 50%. I have no dog in this race. I see Gowdy prevailing 54-46.

SC-06 GOP Primary: This race is in a runoff after Businesswoman Nancy Harrelson and Reserve Deputy Sheriff Jim Pratt failed to clear 50%. I have no dog in this race. I see Pratt prevailing 60-40.

Utah: Polls close here at 10 PM EDT. Here are the races to watch:

UT-SEN GOP Primary: After failing to clear 60% of the vote at the State Convention, Businessman Tim Bridgewater and former Gubernatorial Aide Mike Lee will face each other in the Primary. I’m all in for Bridgewater. I see Bridgewater prevailing 58-42.

UT-02 DEM Primary: After failing to clear 60% of the vote at the State Convention, Congressman Jim Matheson and retired Teacher Claudia Wright will face each other in the Primary. I have no dog in this race. I see Wright prevailing 51-49.

Your thoughts are welcome.

Here are my predictions for today’s Primaries:

AL-GOV GOP Primary:

Byrne 34%
Moore 31%
James 26%
Bentley 5%
Johnson 3%
Potts 1%
Taylor 1%

AL-GOV GOP Runoff:

Byrne 54%
Moore 46%

AL-GOV DEM Primary:

Davis 55%
Sparks 45%

I see Byrne beating Davis 53-47.

AL-LT GOV GOP Primary:

Ivey 65%
Erwin 28%
Ponder 7%

I see Incumbent Democrat Jim Folsom Jr. beating Ivey 54-46.

AL-AG GOP Primary:

King 64%
Strange 36%

AL-AG DEM Primary:

Perkins 55%
Anderson 36%
Nicrosi 9%

I see this race as a TOSSUP.

AL-State Treasurer GOP Primary:

Wallace Jr. 68%
Boozer 32%

AL-State Treasurer DEM Primary:

Grimsley 73%
Sherer 27%

I see Wallace Jr. beating Grimsley 57-43.

AL-Agriculture Commissioner GOP Primary:

McMillan 58%
Grace 35%
Peterson 8%

I see Democratic challenger Glen Zorn beating McMillan 56-44.

AL-SEN GOP Primary:

Shelby 87%
Moser 13%

AL-SEN DEM Primary:

Barnes 79%
De Moore 21%

I see Shelby beating Barnes 74-26.

AL-02 GOP Primary:

Barber 45%
Roby 38%
Bell 13%
McKinney III 4%

AL-02 GOP Runoff:

Barer 53%
Roby 47%

I see Barber beating Incumbent Democrat Bobby Bright 52-48.

AL-05 GOP Primary:

Brooks 51%
Griffith 42%
Phillip 7%

AL-05 DEM Primary:

Shepard 47%
Raby 44%
Howie 8%
Maker 1%

AL-05 DEM Runoff:

Shepard 51%
Raby 49%

I see Brooks beating Shepard 55-45.

AL-06 GOP Primary:

Bachus 81%
Cooke 19%

AL-07 GOP Primary:

Waller 50%
Salter 41%
Hendrickson 6%
Chamberlain 3%

AL-07 DEM Primary:

Hilliard Jr. 49%
Smoot 40%
Sewell 10%
Bozeman 1%

AL-07 DEM Runoff:

Hilliard Jr. 57%
Smoot 43%

I see Hilliard Jr. defeating Waller 69-31.

MS-01 GOP Primary:

Nunnelee 48%
Ross 39%
McGlowan 13%

MS-01 GOP Runoff:

Nunnelee 58%
Ross 42%

I see Nunnelee beating Incumbent Democrat Travis Childers 50-47.

MS-02 GOP Primary:

Cook 60%
Marcy 31%
Bailey 9%

I see Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson beating Cook 66-33.

MS-03 DEM Primary:

Gill 63%
O’Hara 29%
Jackson 8%

I see Incumbent Republican Gregg Harper beating Gill 71-27.

MS-04 GOP Primary:

Palazzo 62%
Tegerdine 38%

I see Palazzo beating Incumbent Democrat Gene Taylor 49-48.

NM-GOV DEM Primary:

Denish 98%
Driggs 2%

NM-GOV GOP Primary:

Martinez 53%
Weh 39%
Domeneci Jr. 7%
Turner 1%

NM-LT GOV DEM Primary:

Campos 41%
Colon 37%
Rael 12%
Pino 7%
Lopez 3%

NM-LT GOV GOP Primary:

Cravens 50%
Sanchez 36%
Moore 11%
Damron 3%

I see Martinez/Cravens beating Denish/Campos 51-49.

NM-State Land Commissioner:

Cornelius 52%
Vassilopoulos 37%
Jackson 7%
Rush 4%

NM-02 GOP Primary:

Pearce 85%
Pirtle 15%

I see Pearce beating Incumbent Democrat Harry Teague 55-45.

NM-03 GOP Primary:

Mullins 59%
Kokesh 41%

I see Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Lujan beating Mullins 63-37.

Your thoughts.

Here are my predictions for the upcoming Primaries on May 18:

KY-SEN GOP Primary:

Paul 53%
Grayson 44%
Stephenson 2%
Martin and Scribner poll either at or below 1%.

KY-SEN DEM Primary:

Mongiardo 51%
Conway 45%
Price 3%
Buckmaster and Farmer poll either at or under 1%.

Paul beats Mongiardo 51-49 in the General.

KY-03 GOP Primary:

Lally 50%
Reetz 41%
Hausman 4%
Durbin 3%
Wicker 2%

Lally loses to Incumbent Democrat Yarmuth 53-47 in the General.

KY-05 DEM Primary:

Prince 59%
Holbert 35%
Stepp 6%

Prince loses to Incumbent Republican Rogers 69-31 in the General.

KY-06 GOP Primary:

Barr 48%
Kemper III 39%
Lockett 8%
Barnes 4%
Pendergrass 1%

Barr loses to Incumbent Democrat Chandler 55-45 in the General.

AR-SEN DEM Primary:

Halter 47%
Lincoln 44%
Morrison 9%

AR-SEN GOP Primary:

Boozman 47%
Baker 24%
Holt 19%
Hendren 7%
Coleman 2%
Alexander, Ramey, and Reynolds will poll either at or below 1%.

I see Boozman beating Halter 55-45 in the General.

AR-LT GOV GOP Primary:

Darr 68%
Copeland 32%

I see Democratic challenger Broadway beating Darr 58-42 in the General.

AR-SoS DEM Primary:

Wilcox 55%
O’Brien 31%
Tate 14%

I see Wilcox beating Republican challenger Martin 59-41 in the General.

AR-State Land Commissioner DEM Primary:

Davenport 76%
Bryant 13%
Berg 11%

I see Davenport beating Republican challenger Thurston 64-36 in the General.

AR-01 DEM Primary:

Bryles 30%
Causey 29%
Cook 28%
Wooldridge 7%
Ponder 5%
Green 1%

AR-01 GOP Primary:

Smith 58%
Crawford 42%

AR-01 DEM Runoff:

Bryles 54%
Causey 46%

I see Bryles defeating Smith 54-46 in the General.

AR-02 DEM Primary:

Wills 48%
Elliott 43%
Boling 7%
Kennedy 1%
Adams 1%

AR-02 GOP Primary:

Griffin 60%
Wallace 40%

AR-02 DEM Runoff:

Elliott 51%
Wills 49%

I see Griffin beating Elliott 52-48 in the General.

AR-03 GOP Primary:

Womack 44%
Bledsoe 29%
DeLay 16%
Maddox 7%
Matayo 2%
Skoch 1%
Lowry 1%

AR-03 GOP Runoff:

Womack 62%
Bledsoe 38%

I see Womack beating Democratic challenger David Whitaker 57-43 in the General.

AR-04 GOP Primary:

Gallas 65%
Rankin 35%

I see Incumbent Democrat Ross beating Gallas 56-41 in the General.

PA-GOV DEM Primary:

Onorato 46%
Hoeffel 27%
Wagner 21%
Williams 6%

PA-GOV GOP Primary:

Corbett 78%
Rohrer 22%

I see Corbett beating Onorato 57-43 in the General.

PA-LT GOV GOP Primary:

Beilert 23%
Metcalfe 21%
Cawley 18%
Kennedy 13%
Urban 9%
Pepper 7%
McCue 5%
Diamond 4%

PA-LT GOV DEM Primary:

Saidel 47%
Conklin 42%
Smith-Ribner 11%

I see the General Election as a TOSSUP.

PA-SEN DEM Primary:

Sestak 53%
Specter 46%
Vodvarka 1%

PA-SEN GOP Primary:

Toomey 83%
Lusisk 17%

I see the General Election as a TOSSUP.

PA-03 DEM Primary:

Dahlkemper 92%
Marin 8%

PA-03 GOP Primary:

Kelly 51%
Fisher 32%
Grabb 13%
Huber 2%
Moore 1%
Franz 1%

I see Kelly beating Incumbent Democrat Dahlkemper 51-48 in the General.

PA-04 GOP Primary:

Buchanan 59%
Rothfus 41%

I see Buchanan beating Incumbent Democrat Altmire 50-49 in the General.

PA-06 DEM Primary:

Pike 47%
Trivedi 30%
Sellers 23%

I see Incumbent Republican Gerlach beating Pike 51-49 in the General.

PA-07 DEM Primary:

Lentz 68%
Touey 26%
Conner 6%

I see Meehan beating Lentz 49-48 in the General.

PA-08 GOP Primary:

Fitzpatrick 53%
Jones 34%
Hoffman 8%
Carlineo 5%

I see Fitzpatrick beating Incumbent Democrat Murphy 52-48 in the General.

PA-10 GOP Primary:

Marino 47%
Derk 47%
Madeira 6%

After weeks of recounts, Marino wins by 1 vote.

I see Marino beating Incumbent Democrat Carney 50.1-49.6 in the General.

PA-12 DEM Primary:

O’Brien 46%
Kanjorski 45%
Kelly 9%

PA-11 GOP Primary:

Barletta 77%
Paige 23%

I see Barletta beating O’Brien 53-47 in the General.

PA-12 Special Election:

Burns(R) 52 %
Critz(D) 48 %

PA-12 DEM Primary:

Critz 54%
Bucchianeri 44%
Mackell 2%

PA-12 GOP Primary:

Burns 56%
Russell 44%

I see Burns winning a full term over Critz 54-44 in the General.

PA-13 GOP Primary:

Adcock 48%
Quinter 43%
Haughton 9%

I see Incumbent Democrat Schwartz beating Adcock 63-37 in the General.

PA-15 GOP Primary:

Dent 85%
Benol 15%

I see Dent beating Democratic challenger Callahan 55-43 in the General.

PA-17 DEM Primary:

Holden 56%
Dow Ford 44%

PA-17 GOP Primary:

Argall 55%
Griffith 33%
First 10%
Ryan 2%

I see Argall beating Incumbent Democrat Holden 50.5-49.5 in the General.

PA-19 GOP Primary:

Plaats 64%
Smeltzer 36%

I see Incumbent Republican Plaats beating Democratic challenger Sanders 67-33 in the General.

OR-GOV DEM Primary:

Kitzhaber 59%
Bradbury 36%
Wilson 4%
Obrist 1%

OR-GOV GOP Primary:

Dudley 35%
Alley 29%
Lim 16%
Sizemore 13%
Watkins 4%
Colvin 2%
Karr 1%
Cutright and Forthan will finish either at or below 1%.

I see Kitzhaber beating Dudley 55-44.

OR-State Treasurer DEM Primary:

Wheeler 57%
Metsger 43%

I see Incumbent Democrat Wheeler beating Republican challenger Telfer 58-42 in the General.

OR-SEN DEM Primary:

Wyden 92%
Hooker 5%
Goberman 3%

OR-SEN GOP Primary:

Huffman 30%
Stutzman 24%
Parker 19%
Waldron 14%
Later 9%
Woodland 3%
Dinkel 1%

I see Incumbent Democrat Wyden beating Huffman 60-37.

OR-01 DEM Primary:

Wu 79%
Robinson 21%

OR-01 GOP Primary:

Kuzmanich 41%
Cornilles 38%
Brodhead 12%
Keller 9%

I see Incumbent Democrat Wu beating Kuzmanich 56-39.

OR-03 DEM Primary:

Blumenauer 84%
Sweeney 16%

I see Incumbent Democrat Blumenauer beating Republican challenger Lopez 71-24.

OR-04 GOP Primary:

Robinson 63%
Germond 37%

OR-05 GOP Primary:

Bruun 77%
Thompson 23%

I see Bruun beating Incumbent Democrat Schrader 51-49

Your thoughts.

Tonight, there’s going to be Senate Primaries in NC, OH, and IN. Here’s my predictions for the races:

IN-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Evan Bayh is retiring. Congressman Brad Ellsworth is unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Bank Branch Manager Don Bates Jr., Plumbing Contractor Richard Behney, former US Senator Dan Coats, former Congressman John Hostettler, and State Senator Marlin Stutzman are in the hunt for the GOP nomination. I see Hostettler winning 39-36-23-1-1 over Coats, Stutzman, Behney, and Bates Jr.

NC-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr is running for re-election. Senator Burr, Asheboro City Councilman Eddie Burks, Electronics Store Owner Brad Jones, and former State Representative Larry Linney are in the hunt for the GOP nomination. Former State Senator Cal Cunningham, Accountant Susan Harris, Attorneys Kenneth Lewis and Marcus Williams, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, and Minister W. Ann Worthy are in the hunt for the Democratic nomination. I see Burr dominating Linney, Burks, and Jones 90-7-2-1. I see Marshall avoiding a runoff over Cunningham, Lewis, Williams, Harris, and Worthy 50-34-11-4 with Harris and Worthy polling at or below 1%.

OH-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator George Voinovich is retiring. Former Bush OMB Director Rob Portman is unopposed for the GOP nomination. Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner and Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher are in the hunt for the Democratic nomination. I see Fisher crushing Brunner 67-33.

Here’s a rundown of how I think the 2010 GA races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Republican Governor George “Sonny” Perdue is term-limited. On the Republican side, State Senators Jeff Chapman and Eric Johnson, Congressman Nathan Deal, former Secretary of State Karen Handel, Radio Station Owner Ray McBerry, State Insurance Commissioner John W. Oxendine, and Wal-Mart Employee Otis Putnam are in the running. On the Democratic side, Attorney General Thurbert Baker, former Governor Roy Barnes, Management Technical Consultant Bill Bolton, Ray City Mayor Carl Camon, Entrepreneur Randal Mangham, State House Minority Leader DuBose Porter, and former Labor Commissioner David Poythress are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Grady County Planning Commission Member John Monds. The Independents have unified behind Ray Boyd. Environmental Activist Sam Hay III is running as a write-in candidate. I expect Oxendine and Deal to make it into the Runoff. Oxendine will defeat Deal 59-41 in the Runoff. I expect Barnes to handily emerge 55-34-8-2-1 over Baker, Porter, Poythress, and Camon(Bolton and Mangham will poll below 1%). I see Oxendine prevailing over Barnes, Monds, and Boyd 52-43-4-1. GOP HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Cagle. On the Democratic side, Journalist Tricia Carpenter-McCracken and Businesswoman and wife of State House Minority Leader DuBose Porter Carol Porter. I see Porter emerging over McCracken and Sinkfield 76-24. I expect Cagle to trounce Porter 63-37. GOP HOLD.

Secretary of State: Appointed Incumbent Republican Secretary of State Brian Kemp will stand for election. On the Republican side, Kemp and Sandy Springs City Councilor Doug MacGinnitie are in the running. On the Democratic side, State Senator and 06′ nominee Gail Buckner, Attorney Gary Horlacher, Real Estate Saleswoman Georganna Sinkfield, Public Relations Executive Michael Mills, and Businesswoman Angela Moore are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Aeronautics Industry Analyst David Chastain. The GOP Primary is a complete tossup. I see Buckner, Horlacher, and Mills as the Democratic frontrunners. Whoever the GOP nominates will defeat whoever the Democrats nominate. Kemp 65-35 over Horlacher, Kemp 61-39 over Mills, Kemp 59-41 over Buckner, MacGinnitie 60-40 over Horlacher, MacGinnitie over Mills 58-42, or MacGinnitie over Buckner 55-45. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Thurbert Baker is running for Governor. On the Democratic side, former Dougherty Circuit District Attorney Ken Hodges and State Representative Rob Teilhet are in the running. On the Republican side, Cobb County Commission Chairman Sam Olens, State Senator Preston Smith, and former US Attorney Max Wood are in the running. I see Teilhet emerging over Hodges 65-35. The GOP Primary is a complete Tossup. Regardless of who wins the GOP Primary, the race is a TOSSUP.

State School Superintendent: Incumbent Republican State School Superintendent Kathy Cox is running for re-election. On the Republican side, Cox and School System Administrators John D. Barge and Richard Woods are in the running. On the Democratic side, University Administrator Beth Farokhi, Educator Sandra Cannon Scott, and Teachers Joe Martin and Brian Westlake are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Teacher Kira Willis. The GOP Primary is a complete Tossup. I see Farokhi prevailing over Westlake, Martin, and Scott 57-34-5-4. I see whoever the Republicans nominate defeating Farokhi. Cox 53-42-5, Barge 55-42-3, or woods 57-40-3. GOP HOLD.

State Agriculture Commissioner: Incumbent Democratic State Agriculture Commissioner Tommy Irvin is retiring. The Democrats have unified behind State Senator JB Powell. On the Republican side, Georgia Agribusiness Council President Gary Black and former USDA Official Darwin Carter are in the running. I see Black beating Carter 61-39. I see Black beating Powell 56-44. GOP GAIN.

State Insurance Commissioner: Incumbent Republican State Insurance Commissioner John W. Oxendine is running for Governor. On the Republican side, Attorney’s Rick Collum and Maria Sheffield, State Senators Seth Harp and Ralph Hudgens, State Representative Tom Knox, Insurance Brokers Dennis Cain, John Mamalakis, and Stephen D. Northington, and Health Benefits Consultant Gerry Purcell are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind former State Senator Mary Squires. I see Harp, Knox, Northington, and Purcell as the frontrunners for the GOP Primary. Whoever wins will beat Squires by a large margin. Harp 64-63, Knox 64-36, Northington 60-40, or Purcell 59.5-40.5. GOP HOLD.

State Labor Commissioner: Incumbent Democratic State Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond is running for the US Senate. On the Democratic side, Deputy Agriculture Commissioner Terry Coleman and Lobbyist Darryl Hicks. On the Republican side, State Representatives Mark Butler and Melvin Everson are in the running. Coleman will defeat Hicks 57-43. The GOP Primary is a tossup. I see the General as a TOSSUP.

Public Service Commission: Incumbent Republican Public Service Commissioner Bobby Baker is retiring. On the Republican side, Developer B. Joseph Brush, State Senators John Douglas and Jeff May, and Non-Profit Executive Tim Echols are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Government Affairs Consultant Keith Moffett. I see Douglas, May, and Echols as the GOP frontrunners. Whoever wins will handily defeat Moffett. Douglas 62-38, May 60-40, or Echols 58-42. GOP HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent Republican US Senator Johnny Isakson is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Isakson. On the Democratic side, former Rockdale County Commission Chief of Staff RJ Hadley and State Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Airline Pilot Chuck Donovan. I see Thurmond crushing Hadley 67-33. I see Isakson prevailing over Thurmond 53-47. GOP HOLD.

US Congress:

GA-01: Incumbent Republican Congressman Jack Kingston is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Kingston. The Democrats have unified behind Retired Farmer Oscar L. Harris II. I see Kingston defeating Harris 70-30. GOP HOLD.

GA-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Sanford Bishop is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Bishop. On the Republican side, President of Medical Supply Company Rick Allen, Retiree Lee Ferrell, and State Representative Mike Keown are in the running. I see Keown defeating Ferrell and Allen 58-31-11. I see Keown narrowly upending Bishop 52-48. GOP GAIN.

GA-03: Incumbent Republican Congressman Lynn Westmoreland is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Westmoreland. The Democrats have unified behind Educator Frank Saunders. The Independents have unified behind Alan Weaver. I see Westmoreland defeating Saunders and Weaver 68-31-1. GOP HOLD.

GA-04: Incumbent Hank “Guam” Johnson is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Johnson, former DeKalb County Commission Chairman Vernon Jones, and DeKalb County Commissioner Connie Stokes are in the running. On the Republican side, Publisher Victor Armendariz, Management Consultants Liz Carter and Cory Ruth and Airport Hangar Manager Larry Gause are in the running. I see Guam standing 67-21-12 over Stokes and Jones. I see Carter pausing Gause, Ruth, and Armendariz 57-36-5-2. Guam won’t be tipping over this cycle. He’ll stand against Carter 71-29. DEM HOLD.

GA-05: Incumbent Democratic Congressman John Lewis is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Lewis. On the Republican side, Attorney Fenn Little and Graphic Designer Kelly Nguyen are in the running. I see Little beating Nguyen 75-25. I see Lewis defeating Little 83-17. DEM HOLD.

GA-06: Incumbent Republican Congressman Tom Price is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Price. The Democrats have no candidates. GOP HOLD.

GA-07: Incumbent Republican Congressman John Linder is retiring. On the Republican side, State Representative Clay Cox, Gwinett County GOP Chairman Chuck Efstration, Real Estate Consultant Jef Fincher, Retiree Ronnie Grist, Minister Jody Hice, Human Resource Safety Manager Tom Kirby, CPA Tom Parrott, and Chief of Staff Rob Woodall are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Marketer Doug Heckman. I see Cox, Efstration, Kirby, and Woodall as the GOP frontrunners. Whoever wins will defeat Heckman. Cox 62-38, Efstration 60-40, Kirby and Woodall 58-42. GOP HOLD.

GA-08: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Marshall is running for re-election. The Demorats have unified behind Marshall. On the Republican side, Central Fellowship Christian Academy Dean Ken DeLoach, State Representative Austin Scott, and Nurse Diane Vann are in the running. I see Scott trumping DeLoach and Vann 63-29-8. I see Scott defeating Marshall 54-46. GOP GAIN.

GA-09: Former Republican Congressman Nathan Deal resigned on March 21, 2010. A Special Election will be held to see who fills out the remainder of his term. On the Republican side, Cardiologist Chris Cates, State Representatives Tom Graves and Bobby Reese, State Senator Lee Hawkins, retired Neurosurgeon Bert Loftman, former State Senator Bill Stephens, and Chickamauga City Councilman Steve Tarvin are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Hall County Democratic Chairman Mike Freeman for the Special Election, but no Democrats filed for the General Election. The Independents have unified behind Marketing Executive Eugene Moon. I see the Special and Primary Elections as a tossup between Graves, Hawkins, and Stephens. GOP HOLD.

GA-10: Incumbent Republican Congressman Paul Broun Jr. is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Broun. The Democrats have unified behind Consultant Russell Edwards. I see Broun defeating Edwards 72-28. GOP HOLD.

GA-11: Incumbent Republican Congressman Phil Gingrey is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Gingrey. The Democrats have no candidates. GOP HOLD.

GA-12: Incumbent Democratic Congressman John Barrow is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Barrow and former State Senator Regina Thomas are in the running. On the Republican side, Special Investigator Michael Horner, Project Manager Raymond McKinney, Aviation Executive Jeanne Seaver, and Thunderbolt Fire Chief Carl Smith are in the running. I see Barrow defeating Thomas 60-40. I see McKinney, Seaver, and Smith as the GOP frontrunners. I see Barrow winning over whoever the GOP nominates. Barrow 52-48 over Smith, 53-47 over McKinney, or 55-45 over Seaver. DEM HOLD.

GA-13: Incumbent Democratic Congressman David Scott is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Scott, Web Content and Graphic Designer Michael Frisbee, and Regional Manager Mike Murphy are in the running. On the Republican side, General Contractor Mike Crane, Salesman Hank R. Dudek, Small Business Owners Chip Flanagan and Rupert Parchment, Physician Deborah Honeycutt, and Restaurant Manager Dave Orr are in the running. I see Scott prevailing over Frisbee and Murphy 64-27-9. The GOP Primary is a tossup between Honeycutt and Parchment. Whoever wins the GOP Primary will lose to Scott. Scott 70-30 over Honeycutt, or Scott 61-39 over Parchment. DEM HOLD.

After long consideration, I have decided to endorse former Congressman John N. Hostettler for the Indiana Senate seat vacated by Evan Bayh, and here’s the issues and a list of his accomplishments in the House that bring me to my decision:

The Issues:

1. Taxes and Spending: Mr. Hostettler believes that it is not that the federal government taxes too little, it is that it spends too much. As a member of the House, Hostettler consistently voted for tax cuts including the creation of the child tax credit, lowering of capital gains rates and dividend tax rates, accelerated depreciation schedules and the phase out and outright elimination of the estate tax, and that fundamental tax reform is necessary to grow the economy and create long term job growth. He voted to repeal the Sixteenth Amendment to the Constitution, which authorized the income tax. He also believes that if all taxpaying Americans were compelled to write a check to the federal government for the taxes that are currently withheld, those same Americans would demand that Congress reduce spending and stop taking so much of their hard-earned income. If elected, he will work in the Senate to make permanent the tax cuts passed in 2001 and scheduled to sunset in 2011.

2. Health Care: Mr. Hostettler opposes the government takeover of the US health care system recently passed by Congress and signed into law by President Obama. He believes that Congress should allow for more competition and work to reduce health care costs by building on the success of Health Savings Accounts by making all health insurance premiums either deductible or a tax credit, creating Health Marts and Association Health Plans which allow individuals and families to negotiate collectively for health care services based on where they live and on their profession, religion, membership in an organization, etc., allowing health insurance plans to be purchased across state lines, and enacting tort reform, which will result in lower health care costs because medical professionals will not be compelled to practice “defensive medicine” which they do now for no other reason than to defend themselves in a potential lawsuit. If elected, Mr. Hostettler will work to repeal ObamaCare and work to bring our health care system out of the Federal Government’s grip.

3. Abortion: Mr. Hostettler is pro-life, period. He believes that we are endowed by our Creator with certain unalienable rights, and that first and most important of these God-given rights is the right to life. In Congress, Hostettler has voted for the Partial Birth Abortion Ban, the Mexico City Policy which prohibited the use of US taxpayer dollars for abortion and abortion counseling in foreign countries, and the Right to Life Act which would give legal protection to the unborn under the Fourteenth Amendment. As a result of this record, Mr. Hostettler’s election to the House of Representatives was consistently endorsed by the National Right to Life and Indiana Right to Life. If elected, he will not give his consent to a judicial nominee if he concludes that the nominee in question believes the constitution allows the destruction of innocent, unborn human life.

4. Marriage: Mr. Hostettler believes that marriage is between one man and one woman. In Congress, he co-sponsored and voted for the Defense of Marriage Act, the utilization of Congress’ authority under Article IV of the United States Constitution to regulate full faith and credit relationships and protects states that do not issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples from being compelled to recognize such licenses issued by states that do, and the Marriage Protection Act, the utilization of authority found in Article III to limit the appellate jurisdiction of the United States Supreme Court. If elected, he will introduce DOMA and MPA and push for their passage so that Indiana is not compelled by a federal court to recognize same-sex marriage licenses issued by another state.

5. Guns: Mr. Hostettler is a staunch defender of our Second Amendment Rights. He is a gun owner and hunter. As a Congressman, he voted to repeal the Clinton Gun Ban on semi-automatic firearms and magazines, led the effort to defund the Smith & Wesson agreement between that manufacturer and the Clinton Administration that would have given preferences to Smith & Wesson after its previous corporate leadership arranged a deal in order to get out of legal proceedings against the gun industry, led the effort to allow civilian airline pilots to carry firearms on board after the 9/11 tragedy was perpetrated by terrorists who were able to overpower pilots and fly airplanes into buildings and a rural field, and sponsored legislation to allow national reciprocity for conceal and carry of firearms. As a result of this record, Mr. Hostettler’s election to the U.S. House of Representatives was consistently endorsed by the National Rifle Association and Gun Owners of America. He will build on the above if he is elected.

6. Illegal Immigration: Mr. Hostettler opposed to amnesty that would grant legal status for the millions of aliens illegally in the United States. As a Congressman, he led the efforts to stop House consideration of the amnesty bill passed by the US Senate in 2006 and voted to build the fence along the southern border and to authorize military personnel to aid in securing the border from the massive influx of illicit drugs and potential movement of terrorists attempting to enter the country from Mexico. As a senator, he will lead the effort to oppose any attempt at amnesty, he will work to further strengthen our borders and give immigration law enforcement the resources and support they need as they protect us, and he will press the Executive Branch to aggressively enforce employer sanctions – in place since 1986 – and turn off the “jobs magnet” that attracts wave after wave of illegal migrants into the United States.

His Accomplishments:

1. In 1995, Mr. Hostettler successfully amended the District of Columbia Appropriations Bill to eliminate the “Domestic Partnership” policy of Washington.

2. In 1995, Mr. Hostettler voted for reinstatement of former President Ronald Reagan’s Mexico City Policy which prohibited the use of US taxpayer dollars for abortion and abortion counseling in foreign countries.

3. In 1996, Mr. Hostettler voted for the Defense of Marriage Act, which utilizes Congress’ authority under Article IV of the United States Constitution to regulate full faith and credit relationships and protects states that do not issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples from being compelled to recognize such licenses issued by states that do.

4. In 1998, Mr. Hostettler traveled to Moscow as part of a Congressional delegation to discuss US deployment of a national missile defense system with members of the Russian Duma.

5. In 2002, Mr. Hostettler was one of six GOP Members of the United States House of Representatives and one of three Conservative GOP Members to vote against the House resolution authorizing President George W. Bush to preemptively engage in military conflict with the nation of Iraq. At the time, in October 2002, Hostettler said the intelligence supporting the claim of a program of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq was “tenuous at best”.

6. In 2003, as Chairperson of the House Judiciary Subcommittee on Immigration, Border Security, and Claims, Mr. Hostettler successfully amended the Department of State reauthorization bill to require the State Department to regulate the use of consular cards of foreign nations in the US.

7. In 2003, Mr. Hostettler successfully amended the Commerce, State and Justice appropriations bill to discontinue funding of the enforcement of the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals ruling which called for the removal of the Ten Commandments from the Alabama State Supreme Court House placed there by Alabama State Chief Justice Roy Moore.

8. In 2003, Mr. Hostettler sponsored and voted for the Marriage Protection Act, which utilized authority found in Article III to limit the appellate jurisdiction of the United States Supreme Court.

9. In 2004, the House passed Mr. Hostettler’s Marriage Protection Act (MPA) which would make it illegal for federal courts from imposing Massachusetts same-sex marriage licenses on any other state.

10. In 2005, Mr. Hostettler voted against the unprecedented disaster relief package that Republicans pushed after Hurricane Katrina struck the Gulf Coast.

11. In 2006, Mr. Hostettler led the efforts to stop House consideration of the amnesty bill passed by the US Senate.

12. In 2006, the House passed Mr. Hostettler’s Public Expression of Religion Act (PERA) which would make forbidden federal courts from requiring defendants such as a Board of County Commissioners to pay a plaintiff’s lawyers, such as the ACLU, fees after the federal courts order the removal of a religious symbol such as the Ten Commandments from the County courthouse lawn.

And in 2008, he wrote a book titled “Nothing for the Nation: Who Got What Out of Iraq”, a book that has received positive reviews from Conservative minded people. What I just mentioned above makes him, IMO, the best qualified candidate for IN-SEN. However, this is just my opinion, and I’d like to hear yours in the comments.

After long consideration, I have decided to support Chuck Purgason for Missouri Senate. Here are the issues I base my support of Purgason on:
1. Balanced Budget: Purgason knows that the number one plank of the Republican Party platform is a balanced budget. But when the GOP was in charge with the President, House, and Senate, why was it not balanced? Spending increased under their leadership. What we had were politicians who said they were for a balanced budget but voted for budgets that put more debt on our families. He promises to not vote for a budget that is not balanced, offer amendments, and show leadership to bring fiscal sanity back to our nation’s capitol.

2. Earmarks: Purgason also knows that another plank in the Republican platform was no earmarks. How is budget of the United States balanced when 535 members of Congress are allowed to use our governments “credit card”? In our debtor nation, we must stop this runaway and unaccountable spending. Purgason pledges to not vote for any earmarks and work to reform this failed system.

3. Family Lobbyists: Purgason believes that family lobbyists are a conflict of interest. No member of his family is involved in any function of government other than being a working taxpayer who gets stuck paying bills lobbyists and politicians come up with.

4. Stimulus: Purgason believes that the TARP program opened the door for the process of government picking who survives and who dies in our free market system. Instead of protecting taxpayers hard earned dollars and allowing taxpayers to stimulate the economy by spending their money, the politicians put us more and more into debt by increasing government spending and involvement in our lives and free market system. He will vote against any spending measure put before the Senate if elected.

5. Campaign Funds for Bailed-out Companies: Purgason sees that an example of this monstrosity is Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. How can you use tax dollars to bail out those companies and then accept campaign contributions from them? He will do what it takes to put an end to this.

6. Out-of-State Fundraisers: After seeing the other candidates hosting fundraisers in places like Chicago, New York, Washington, and a lobster bake on a beach in Florida, Purgason pledges to hold no fundraisers outside the state of Missouri.

7. Term Limits: Purgason has served under term limits his whole career. In order for us to break the corrupt cycle of entrenched politicians, he pledges to serve only two terms as Missouri’s Senator.

Here’s my take on the 2010 Senate races 8 months out.

Retiring Incumbents:

CT-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Chris Dodd is retiring. On the Democratic side, Software Executive Merrick Alpert, Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, and former Greenwich First Selectman Roger Pearson are in the running. On the Republican side, former World Wrestling Entertainment CEO Linda McMahon, former Congressman Rob Simmons, and Euro Pacific Capital President Peter Shiff are in the running. I expect Blumenthal and Simmons to emerge from their respective Primaries. At this point, I rate this DEMOCRAT FAVORED.

DE-SEN: Appointed Democratic US Senator Ted Kaufman will not stand for election. The Democrats have unified behind behind New Castle County Executive Chris Coons. On the Republican side, Congressman Mike Castle, Political Consultant Christine O’Donnell, and Child Advocate Carlet Deetta Ward are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind School Mentoring Volunteer Wendy Jones. I see Castle handily emerging from his Primary. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

FL-SEN: Appointed Republican US Senator George LeMieux will not stand for election. On the Republican side, Mechanical Engineer Bob Coggans, Governor Charlie Crist, Attorney Linda Vasquez Littlefield, Thomas Mangum, Evangelist Gwyn McClellan, Attorney Belinda Noah, former Speaker of the Florida State House Marco Rubio, former New Hampshire US Senator Bob Smith, Businessman Shawn Teeters, and Physician Marion Thorpe Jr. are in the running. On the Democratic side, Pastor Tyrone Brown, North Miami Mayor Kevin Burns, former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferré, Raphael Herman, ’02 Okaloosa County School Board Candidate Chuck Lynch, Congressman Kendrick Meek, and Retired Postal Worker Lawrence Penpeck are in the running. The Constitution Party has unified behind Prison Ministry Group Founder Bernie DeCastro. The Libertarians have unified behind Business Account Manager Alex Snitker. The Veterans Party has unified behind Businessman Dennis Bradley. On the Independent side, Lewis Armstrong, Farmer Bobbie Bean, College Professor Piotr Blass, Pest Management Company Co-Owner Todd Oifer, and Accountant Dave Roberts are in the running. I expect Rubio and Meek to emerge from their Primaries, Rubio 57-38 over Crist and Meek 75-14-8 over Burns and Ferre. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

IL-SEN: Appointed Democratic US Senator Roland Burris will not stand for election. The Democrats nominated State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias. The Republicans nominated Congressman Mark Kirk. The Libertarians nominated Engineer Mike Labno. On the Independent side, Health Insurance Agency Owner John Blyth, Greenville City Councilor Will Boyd Jr., Attorney Michael Dorsey, Businessman Stan Jalga, Apostolic Minister Eric Wallace, and Bob Zadek are in the running. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

IN-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Evan Bayh is retiring. The Democrats have unified behind Congressman Brad Ellsworth. On the Republican side, Bank Branch Manager Don Bates Jr., Plumbing Contractor Richard Behney, former US Senator Dan Coats, former US Representative John Hostettler, and State Senator Marlin Stutzman are in the running. The Independents have unified behind 08′ Gubernatorial candidate Timothy Lee Frye. I see Hostettler emerging over Stutzman and Coats 45-29-26. At this point, I rate this LEANS REPUBLICAN.

KS-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Sam Brownback is running for Governor. On the Republican side, Congressmen Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt are in the running. On the Democratic side, Retired Communications Executive Charles Schollenberger and Attorney Stanley Wiles are in the running. I see Moran narrowly beating out Tiahrt and Schollenberger defeating Wiles in their respective Primaries. At this point, I rate this race SAFE REPUBLICAN.

KY-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Bunning is retiring. On the Republican side, Secretary of State Trey Grayson, Business Executive Bill Johnson, World War II Veteran Gurley Martin, Physician Rand Paul, Jon Scribner, and former State Superintendent of Public Instruction John Stephenson are in the running. On the Democratic side, Physician James Buckmaster, Attorney General Jack Conway, Lieutenant Governor Dan Mongiardo, former US Customs Agent Darlene Price, and Farmer Maurice Sweeney are in the running. The Independents have unified behind Convenience Store Operator John Long. I expect Paul and Conway to emerge from their Primaries. At this point, I rate this LEANS REPUBLICAN.

MO-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Christopher Bond is retiring. On the Republican side, Congressman Roy Blunt, Electrical Contractor Davis Conway, Iraq War Veteran Hector Maldonado, Car Salesman Mark Memoly, Database Technician Kristi Nichols, Architect Bob Praprotnik, State Senator Chuck Purgason, Police Officer James Schmidt, Marketer Deborah Solomon, and Repairman Mike Vontz are in the running. On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Robin Carnahan and retired Federal Employee Francis Vangeli are in the running. On the Constitution side, Businessman Jerry Beck and retired Furniture Maker Joe Martellaro are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Jonathan Dine. The Progressives have unified behind State Party Co-Chair Midge Potts. I see Blunt prevailing over Purgason 53-32 and Carnahan destroying Vangeli 96-4. At this point, I rate this LEANS REPUBLICAN.

ND-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Byron Dorgan is retiring. On the Republican side, Governor John Hoeven and Retired Navy Officer and Businessman Duane Sand are in the running. The Democrats side has no announced candidates to date, but State Senator and 08′ Gubernatorial nominee Tim Mathern is a potential candidate. I expect Hoeven to pound Sand in the Primary. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

NH-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Judd Gregg is retiring. On the Republican side, former State Representative Tom Alciere, former Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, Businessmen Jim Bender and Bill Binnie, and former State Board of Education Chair Ovide LaMontage are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind US Representative Paul Hodes. The Libertarians have unified behind Realtor Ken Blevens. I expect LaMontage to teabag Ayotte to death in the Primary. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

OH-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator George Voinovich is retiring. The Republicans have unified behind former Congressman and former Bush OMB Director Rob Portman. On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner and Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher are in the running. The Constitution Party has unified behind Electrical Engineer Eric Deaton. The Socialists have unified behind University Instructor Dan LeBotz. On the Independent side, Medical Researcher Eric LaMont Gregory, Businessmen Stephen Lahanas and Dave Myers, Engineer Bill Pierce, and IT Consultant Adam Shaffer are in the running. I see Fisher emerging 55-45 over Brunner. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

Senators standing for re-election:

AL-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Richard Shelby is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Shelby. The Democrats have unified behind Attorney William Barnes. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

AK-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Lisa Murkowski is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Murkowski. The Democrats have unified behind Attorney Frank Vondersaar. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

AZ-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator John McCain is running for re-election. On the Republican side, McCain, Fire Protection Systems Contractor Jim Deakin, former Congressman JD Hayworth, and Verde Valley Justice of the Peace William Lundy are in the running. On the Democratic side, former Bell Gardens California Mayor Rudy Garcia, Tuscon City Councilor Rodney Glassman, and Teacher Stuart Starky are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Risk Management Consultant Rick Biondi.  On the Independent side, Iraq War Veteran Leonard Clark and Management Consultant Ian Gilyeat are in the running. I see McCain emerging over Hayworth, Lundy, and Deakin 50-42-6-2. I see Glassman prevailing over Starky and Garcia 65-29-6. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

AR-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Blanche Lincoln is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Lincoln, Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter, and DC Morrison are in the running. On the Republican side, Business Consultant Randy Alexander, State Senators Gilbert Baker, Kim Hendren, and Jim Holt, Congressman John N. Boozman, Businessman Curtis Coleman, FedEx Truck Driver Fred Ramey, and retired Army Officer Conrad Reynolds are in the running. The Greens have unified behind Greenland Mayor John Gray. On the Independent side, Businessman Jasper Beede, Larry Buffington, Writer Adam Cat, UPS Employee Trevor Drown, and Technology Consultant Christopher Nogy are in the running. I see Halter crushing Lincoln and Morrison 55-43-2. I see Boozman winning the Primary with 39%. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

CA-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Barbara Boxer is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Boxer. On the Republican side, former Congressman Tom Campbell, State Assemblyman Chuck DeVore, former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina,  Steven Greyclanus, Businessman Al Ramirez, and Evangelical Pastor Mosheh Thezion are in the running. The AIP’s have unified behind Chiropractor Don Grundmann. The Greens have unified behind Community Organizer Duane Roberts. The Libertarians have unified behind former State Party Chairwoman Gail Lightfoot. The Independents have unified behind Jerry Leon Carroll. I see Campbell emerging over Fiorina and DeVore 40-34-26. At this point, I rate this LEANS DEMOCRAT.

CO-SEN: Appointed Democratic US Senator Michael Bennet will stand for election. On the Democratic side, Bennet and former State House Speaker Andrew Romanoff are in the running. On the Republican side, Attorney Steve Barton, Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck, Physician Robert Greenheck, Water Conservancy District Manager Gary Kennedy, Investor Vincent Martinez, former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton, Businessman Cleve Tidwell, Confectionery Distribution Company Owner Mark Van Wyk, and State Senator Tom Wiens are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Businessman Maclyn Stringer. I see Romanoff prevailing over Bennet 53-47. I see Norton prevailing over Buck, Wiens, Kennedy, Tidwell, Barton, Martines, Greenheck, and Van Wyk 42-39-12-4-1-1 and the rest below 1%. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

GA-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Johnny Isakson is running for re-election. The Republicans are unifying behind Isakson, the Democrats are unifying behind former Rockdale County Commission Chief of Staff RJ Hadley, and the Libertarians are unifying behind Chuck Donovan. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

HI-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Daniel Inouye is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Inouye. The Republicans have no announced candidates, but Governor Linda Lingle is a potential candidate. At this point, if Lingle runs, I rate this LEANS DEMOCRAT. If she doesn’t, then I rate this SAFE DEMOCRATIC.

ID-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Mike Crapo is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Crapo. The Demmocrats have unified behind Attorney William Bryk. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

IA-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Chuck Grassley. The Republicans have unified behind Grassley. On the Democratic side, former US Attorney Roxanne Conlin, former State Senator Tom Fiegen, former State Representative Bob Krause, and Engineer Sal Mohamed are in the running. I see Conlin defeating Krause, Fiegen, and Mohamed 67-21-11-1. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

LA-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator David Vitter is running for re-election. On the Republican side, Vitter and Porn Star Stormy Daniels are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Congressman Charlie Melancon. The Libertarians have unified behind Refinery Supervisor Anthony Gentile. The Independents have unified behind retired Volunteer Fire Chief Bob Lang. I see Vitter blowing Daniels(out of the water) 83-17. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

MD-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Barbara Mikulski is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Mikulski. On the Republican side, former State Delegate Carmen Amedori, Engineer Daniel McAndrew, Businessman John Curran, Attorney Jim Rutledge, Limousine Company Owner Corrogan Vaughn, anf Queen Anne’s County Commissioner Eric Wargotz are in the running. The Independents have unified behind retired Minister Robert Brookman. I see Wargotz prevailing over Amedori, Vaughn, McAndrew, Curran, and Rutledge 45-40-9-3-2-1. At this point, I rate this SAFE DEMOCRATIC.

NV-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Harry Reid is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Reid. On the Republican side, former State Assemblywoman Sharron Angle, Investment Banker John Chachas, State Assemblyman Chad Christensen, former State Board of Education Member Greg Dagani, Dentist Chuck Flume,  Attorney Chuck Kozak, former State GOP Chair Sue Lowden, Business Administrator Mark Noonan, Project Manager Bill Parson, and Businessmen Terry Suominen and Danny Tarkanian are in the running. The IAP’s have unified behind Businessman Tim Fasano. The Libertarians have unified behind Radio Talk Show Host Jim Duensing. On the Independent cside, Jerry Carter, Businessman Jeff Durbin, Michael Haines, Jessie Holland, Jeffrey Reeves, and Wil Stand are in the running. I see Lowden defeating Tarkanian and Angle 49-25-19 with the rest polling single digits. At this point, I rate this LEANS REPUBLICAN.

NC-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Richard Burr is running for re-election. On the Republican side, Burr, Asheboro City Councilman Eddie Burks, Electronics Store Owner Brad Jones, and former State Representative Larry Linney are in the running. On the Democratic side, former State senator Cal Cunningham, Accountant Susan Harris, Attorney Kenneth Lewis and Marcus Williams, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, and Minister W. Ann Worthy are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Business Consultant Mike Beitler. I see Burr trouncing Burks, Linney, and Jones 79-12-7-2. I see Cunning have narrowly scoring an upset with the help of the Liberal Grassroots 43-42-8-4-1-1 over Marshall, Lewis, Harris, Williams, and Worthy. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

NY-SEN A: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Chuck Schumer is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Schumer, Comedian Randy Credico, 08′ State Assembly candidate  Lumies Huff, and Illinois Political Consultant Phil Krone are in the running. The only announced Republican candidate is GOP Activist Martin Chicon, but CNBC TV Show Host and Economist Larry Kudlow is considering getting in this race. At this point, I rate this SAFE DEMOCRAT.

NY-SEN B: Appointed Democratic US Senator Kirsten Gillibrand will stand for election. On the Democratic side, Gillibrand, Oral Surgeon Scott Noren, and former National Writers Union President Jonathan Tasini are in the running. On the Republican side, former Port Authority Commissioner Bruce Blakeman and former Congressman Joe DioGuardi are in the running. The Conservatives have unified behind Businessman Jaques Ditte. The Constitution Party has unified behind Religious Right Activist Jan Johnson. The Greens have unified behind Civil Servant Jeff Peress. I see Gillibrand crushing Tasini and Noren 74-20-6. I see Blakeman defeating DioGuardi 55-45. St this point, I rate this DEMOCRAT FAVORED.

OK-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Tom Coburn is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Coburn. The Democrats have no announced candidates, but Governor Brad Henry is a potential candidate. At this point, if Henry runs, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED. If he doesn’t, then I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

OR-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Ron Wyden is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Wyden, Fitness Instructor Pavel Goberman, and Farmer Loren Hooker are in the running. On the Republican side, Businessmen Kareem Hamdy and Loren Later, Businesswoman Robin Parker, Realtor Tom Stutzman, and Construction Artisan Tradesman Walter Woodman. The Greens have unified behind Psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg. The Libertarians have unified behind Financial Planner Marc Delphine. Wyden will defeat Hooker and Goberman 85-13-2. The Republican Primary is a TOSSUP. Regardless of who wins, I rate this SAFE DEMOCRAT.

PA-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Arlen Specter is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Specter, Congressman Joe Sestak, and Machinist Joe Vodvarka are in the running. On the Republican side, Conservative Activist Peg Lusisk and former Congressman and former Club for Growth President Pat Toomey are in the running. The Greens have unified behind Physician Assistant Mel Packer. The Libertarians have unified behind Businessman Larry Murphy. The Independent Americans have unified behind Pastoral Degree Student Mike Yilit. I see Sestak pulling an upset with the help of the Liberal Grassroots 49-47 over Specter. I see Toomey defeating Lusisk 72-28. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

SC-SEN: Incumbent GOP US Senator Jim DeMint is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind DeMint. On the Democratic side, Attorney Chad McGowan and retired Auto Company Executive Mike Ruckes are in the running. I expect Ruckes to defeat McGowan in the Primary. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

SD-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator John Thune is running for re-election.The Republicans have unified behind Thune. The Democrats have no announced candidates, but State Senator Nancy Turbak Berry is considering the race. Whether or not Berry runs, thIS race is SAFE REPUBLICAN.

UT-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Bob Bennett is running for re-election. On the Republican side, Bennett, Business Consultant Tim Bridgewater, Businesswoman and Conservative Activist Cherilyn Eager, Attorney Mike Lee, and Businessman James Williams are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind State Alcohol Beverage Control Commissioner Sam Granato. I expect Eager to teabag Bennett to death at the convention. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

VT-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Pat Leahy is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Leahy and Physician Daniel Freilich are in the running. The Republicans have unified behind Lumber Store Owner Len Britton. On the Independent side, Cris Ericson and John LaPierre Jr. are in the running. I expect Leahy to trounce Freilich in the Primary. At this point, I rate this SAFE DEMOCRATIC.

WA-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Patty Murray is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Murray. On the Republican side, Physician Arthur Coday Jr., State Senator Don Benton, former Pro Football Player Clint Didier, Truck Driver Wayne Glover, Electrical Engineering Instructor Scott Johnson, Businessmen Rod Rieger and Chris Widener, Chiropractor Sean Salzar, and Energy Trader Craig Williams are in the running. I see Benton emerging over Didier, 44-29 with the rest polling in the single digits. At this point, I rate this DEMOCRAT FAVORED.

WI-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Russ Feingold is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Feingold. On the Republican side, Real Estate Developer Terrence Wall and Businessman Dave Westlake are in the running. The Constitution Party has unified behind Cumberland City Alderman Rob Taylor. I see Wall defeating Westlake 59-41. At this point, I rate this DEMOCRAT FAVORED.

Here’s a Rundown of how I think the 2010 VA races will go:

Congress: The GOP holds districts 1, 4, 6, and 7. The Democrats hold district 3.

VA-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Glenn Nye is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Nye. On the GOP side, former Virginia Beach GOP Chair Kenny Golden, Engineering Contractor Ben Loyola, Defense Contractor Ed Maulbeck, Army Reserve Brigadier General Bet Mizusawa, Auto Dealer Scott Rigell, and Businessman Scott Taylor are in the running. The Independents have unified behind Computer Systems Engineer Doug Hutchinson. The GOP Primary is a tossup between Golden and Mizusawa. Whoever wins will defeat Nye. 52-48 Golden. 54-46 Mizusawa. GOP GAIN.

VA-05: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Tom Perriello is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Perriello. On the GOP side, Albemarle County Supervisor Ken Boyd, Businessman Ron Ferrin, State Senator Robert Hurt, Real Estate Developers Jim McKelvey and Laurence Verga, Airline Pilot Michael McPadden, and Teacher Feda Morton. On the Independent side, Tea Party Activist Jeff Clark and Factory Worker Bradley Rees are in the running. The GOP Primary is a tossup between Boyd and Hurt. Whoever wins will upend Perriello. Boyd 51-49. Hurt 53-47. GOP GAIN.

VA-08: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Moran is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Moran and Attorney’s Matt Famiglietti and Ronald Mitchell are in the running. On the GOP side, former Federal Communications Commission General Counsel Matthew Berry, Banker Mark Ellmore, Retired Army Officer Patrick Murray, and Communications Consultant Laurence Socci are in the running. The Indy Greens have unified behind Retired Navy Officer Ron Fisher. The Independents have unified behind Carvel St. John. I expect Berry to win convincingly in the Primary and lose to Moran 63-37. DEM HOLD.

VA-09: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Rick Boucher is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Boucher. On the GOP side, retired Businessman Jim Bebout, State House Majority Leader Morgan Griffifth, Surveyor Adam Light, retired Army Officer David Moore, and Electrical Engineer Jessee Ring. The Independents have unified behind Farmer Jeremiah Heaton. I expect Griffifth to demolish the field of GOP’ers and defeat Boucher 53-47. GOP GAIN.

VA-10: Incumbent GOP Congressman Frank Wolf is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Wolf and Defense Contractor Jim Trautz are in the running. On the Democratic side, Workforce Development Consultant Richard Anthony, Consultant Jeff Barnett, Architect Dennis Findley, and Brain Injury Survivor and Felon Julien Modica are in the running. I see Wolf and Anthony emerging from their Primaries and I expect Wolf to beat Anthony 59-41. GOP HOLD.

VA-11: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Gerry Connolly is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Connolly. On the GOP side, Home Inspection Company CEO Keith Fimian, Fairfax County Supervisor Pat Herrity, and Paul Miller are in the running. I expect Herrity to defeat Fimian and Miller 54-44-2. Herrity will defeat Connolly 52-48. GOP GAIN.

After watching this race develop for a while, I’ve decided to endorse State Senator Mick Mulvaney for Congress against John Spratt. Here are the issues that I base my endorsement of Mulvaney on:

1. The Role of Government: Mulvaney is a believer in the Constitution, limited government, and that the government’s primary duty is to protect our personal freedoms so that we can do our best as individuals. He also believes that the best balance comes in recognizing and honoring the limitations on the federal government and the importance of the people and the states set forth in the Constitution.

2. Spending: We got into this financial catastrophe by spending money we didn’t have. Washington’s solution is to spend more money that we don’t have. It would seem crazy in any place beside Washington, but it is. Mulvaney like most other Americans believe that the Government needs to end the spending and live on a budget.

3. Jobs: Mulvaney believes that to have employees, we need employers. Simply demanding jobs does not solve the problem. We need to eliminate the capital gains tax, lower tax rates on business, and cut income tax rates. The best thing that the federal government can do to create jobs is to get out of the way and let the American people known as private enterprise and the free market do what they do best, which is to create, innovate, produce, and hire.

4. Health Care: Lets face it, America needs Health Care Reform, but more Government is not the answer. Mulvaney believes that the solution can be found in more personal control and free market competition, less government intervention, and some common-sense reforms. This means private purchase and ownership of policies, interstate competition, an end to the anti-trust exemption for insurance companies, and a crackdown on frivolous malpractice lawsuits.

5. Bailouts: Mulvaney believes that failure is as much a part of our capitalist system as success. In fact, business failures are often instrumental in tremendous innovation and improvement. These bailouts have only favored those with strong political connections. GM was stolen from private bondholders and given to unions. The Wall Street bailouts rewarded those who were “too big too fail” and big enough to have considerable pull in Washington. Smaller, regional and local banks which had run on a budget, but didn’t have the same influence, ended up with more regulation, higher taxes, and lost opportunities.

6. Transparency: Mulvaney knows that people need to have confidence that the system works, and that laws are applied evenly and fairly to all. The best way to do this is to simply let people know what is going on with their own government, which would include an Audit of the Fed.

7. Cap & Trade: Mulvaney believes that energy independence, green technology, and innovation are something we need to pursue as a nation. We should not seek to accomplish that by taxing people based on questionable science. Neither should we ignore domestic energy resources such as coal, natural gas, and oil because of baseless claims regarding global warming. He also believes that making it easier to drill for and use domestic resources, build nuclear power plants, and develop new technologies is the best way to end the current energy regime, which essentially has us empowering governments and groups that are very clearly anti-American.

8. Sanctity of Life: Mulvaney believes that life begins at conception. For him, this is more than a political ideal. It is what he’s seen first hand with his triplets. Seeing it from his point of view, being pro-life is not about politics, it is about the life of an innocent child.

9. Term Limits: Before he became a Legislator, Mulvaney opposed term limits. He believed that the ballot box was the ultimate term limiter and high turnover among accountable, elected officials would give more power to unelected bureaucrats. After 3 years, he supports term limits after watching lawmakers pick the voters, instead of voters picking the lawmakers. He sees that the ballot box has lost much of its power, and the bureaucrats are powerful anyway, simply given the size of government.

After long consideration, I have decided to support Sue Lowden for he US Senate. Here are the issues I base my support of Lowden on:

1. Taxes: If elected, Lowden has stated that she will work to cut taxes. Lowden believes that reducing taxes is not just an economic issue, but it is a moral issue. And that there are two fundamental lines of thinking on taxes. One is that if you want to increase revenue to the federal government, you take more from working families by way of higher taxes and bring that money to Washington. The other is if you want to increase revenue, you get the government off our backs, reduce our taxes, and encourage economic activity. Senator Reid comes down on the former, while Lowden comes down on the latter. She will support the extensions of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts and to repeal the Capital Gains Tax and the Death Tax

2. Health Care: If elected, Lowden believes that Congress should pass meaningful medical liability reform. She believes that we should allow small businesses to better pool their resources together when employers are purchasing health insurance for their employees. Small businesses are the backbone of the American economy. We need to give small businesses the same purchasing power as big business and big labor. This effort, coupled with available Health Savings Accounts for consumers, will further drive down costs, both in your tax bill to the government and for your health insurance. She also believes that we should purchase health insurance across state lines, just as we are allowed to do when shopping for the best car or life insurance for our families. This would instantly bring more companies into the fold, competing for our business by offering more health care options at more affordable prices, and that Nevadans should be able to not only purchase their health care from other states if those plans are more affordable and meet their needs, but they should have better options of purchasing health insurance outside their businesses so they don’t lose their coverage if they lose or leave their jobs.

3. Federal Spending: If elected, Lowden proposes that the federal government mandate not only an immediate spending freeze, but that we ask all federal departments and agencies to cut 5 percent of their spending, except those tasked with protection our national and homeland security. Senator Reid and the Washington elites have dramatically increased federal spending in this country that we cannot simply stop the level of spending, by God, we need to reduce spending to get our nation back on a more stable, economic footing. She also thinks that if we do nothing, within the next decade, the federal government will be spending more just on the interest on our debt than we do on defense spending. By 2018, we will be spending more on interest than we do on non-defense spending including education, energy, transportation, housing and environmental protection.

4. 2nd Amendment: If elected, Lowden has stated she will monitor all legislation in Congress to ensure that no bills violate our Constitutional Rights as lawful citizens to own and possess weapons without government-imposed, illegal restrictions. In addition, she will not support activist judges to the federal bench who have shown any willingness in previous statements or rulings to dick around with our 2nd Amendment rights. And she will also be eager to join the pro-2nd Amendment Senators to file friend-of-the-court briefs in court cases dealing with our 2nd Amendment rights.

5. Israel: Lowden supports efforts to divest government-sponsored pension fund investments from state sponsors of terrorism such as Iran. As a senator, she will work to not only ensure that we enforce existing sanctions on the Ahmadinejad government, but that we implement new, strict sanctions on these miserable, little cretins. In doing so, it is important that all options including military force be left on the table in seeing that Iran does not become armed with nuclear weapons. She also believes that as long as the American taxpayers continue funding the bulk of the United Nations operations and missions, we need to work to hold this entity accountable for their actions when it comes to the protection of Israel and its people. Israel has every right to protect its people from Hamas-fired missiles on innocent civilians in Gaza or from Hezbollah attacks from Lebanon. Israel is not just a global democracy worth defending, but it is a strong and loyal ally to the United States of America. And as a US Senator, Lowden will work to enhance our relationship, maintain our economic and religious freedoms, and stand firmly behind our shared, strategic goals and principles with Israel.

6. Borders: Lowden is probably the only candidate with a comprehensive border security plan, and it begins with not supporting amnesty, but rather enforcing current federal laws even if that means building a border fence. She believes that to stem the flow of illegal immigration, we must secure our borders. We have many tools at our disposal, between advanced technologies that help us track illegal attempts to penetrate our border, as well as increased numbers of border patrolmens, that when properly assigned to thus and such task, will help us stop the flow of illegal immigrants/burdens on our economy, as well as those who traffic drugs, people, or weapons illegally. We must also continue to penalize businesses that knowingly and willingly hire illegal immigrants. We have existing technologies and systems in place today that help us determine whether candidates for jobs within American businesses are in our country legally. In conclusion, Lowden believes that our immigration systems must be modernized and reformed so we can allow legal immigration to take place. It is unfortunate that thousands of people who seek the privilege of becoming an legitimate American have to wait seven to ten or even more years to become part of the American dream. Far worse is when politicians advance policies that would reward people who try to cheat us and enter our nation illegally on the hopes that we at some point will provide them amnesty.

7. Job Creation: If elected, Lowden will follow 3 basic principles for job growth. These are that when a government job is created, a private sector job is decimated by higher taxes on job-providers, we cannot continue to borrow money to support government spending because we only destroy the prosperity for future generations, and Increased taxes reduce the funds available for all private sector investment – which is solely responsible for real job creation. And to help in this matter, Lowden will work to cut the business tax on American job providers, cut the Payroll Tax, work to eliminate the Capital Gains Tax, repeal the Death Tax, diversify our energy resources, encourage innovation and investment in new industries, protect and preserve Nevada’s signature industries, enact real and meaningful lawsuit reform, work to significantly reduce the deficits of Reid and Pelosi, work to end massive bailouts and sweeping Washington takeovers, and help us to keep our money in the pockets of those who earned it.

Here’s a rundown of how I think the TX races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Rick Perry is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Perry, US Senator Kay Bailey Hutchinson, and Wharton County GOP Chairwoman Debra Medina are in the running. On the Democratic side, Physician Alma Ludivina Aguado, Teacher Felix Alvarado, Private Investigator Bill Dear, College Professor Clement Glenn, Homebuilder Star Locke, Businessman Farouk Shami, and Houston Mayor Bill White are in the running. On the Libertarian side, Katherine Youngblood Glass, Kenneth Griffin, former Frisco City Councilman Steve Nichols, MJ Smith, and Ed Tidwell are in the running. On the Independent side, David Carpenter, Businessman Fran Cavanagh, Curtis Hartfield, USAF Veteran Thomas Helm, Student Stephen McGee, Consultant Louis Podesta, Kenneth Richardson, Tea Party Activist Dale Robertson, John Roland Ross, Bartender Les Sanderfer, and Surveyor Kevin Sill are in the running. I expect Perry to escape a runoff 51-27-22 over Hutchinson and Medina. I expect White to demolish the opposition, and lose to Perry 55-42. GOP HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent GOP Lieutenant Governor David Dewhurst is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Dewhurst. On the Democratic side, Democratic National Vice Chair Linda Chavez-Thompson, former Travis County DA Ronnie Earle, and Restaurant Owner Marc Katz are in the running. On the Libertarian side, Computer Engineer Scott Jamieson and Computer Technician Todd Minor are in the running. I expect Earle to defeat Thompson and Katz 59-36-5, and lose to Dewhurst 53-43. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Attorney General Greg Abbott is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Abbott. The Democrats have unified behind Community Organizer Barbara Ann Radfonsky. On the Libertarian side, Businessman Barry Cooper and Computer Programmer Jon Roland are in the running. The Independents have unified behind Manager Ruben Torres. I expect Abbot to defeat Radfonsky 70-26. GOP HOLD.

State Comptroller: Incumbent GOP State Comptroller Susan Combs is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Combs. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. The Constitution Party has unified behind Data Systems Manager Alan Marsh. The Greens have unified behind ’08 Congressional Candidate Ed Lindsey. The Libertarians have unified behind former Pharmaceutical Research Scientist Mary Ruwart. Combs will crush the opposition. GOP HOLD.

State Land Commissioner: Incumbent GOP State Land Commissioner Jerry Patterson is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Patterson. On the Democratic side, former Henderson County Justice of the Peace Bill Burton and former State Senator Hector Uribe are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind James Holder. The Democratic Primary is a tossup. Patterson will defeat whoever the Democrats nominate. GOP HOLD.

State Agriculture Commissioner: Incumbent GOP State Agriculture Commissioner Tood Staples is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Staples. On the Democratic side, Country Singer Kinky Friedman and Whitehouse School Board Member Hank Gilbert are in the running. On the Libertarian side, Rick Donaldson and Leonard Nelson are in the running. I expect Friedman to smash his banjo upside Gilbert’s head 64-36, and lose to Staples 60-40. GOP HOLD.

State Railroad Commissioner: Incumbent GOP State Agriculture Commissioner Victor Carrillo is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Carrillo and Accountant David Porter are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Attorney Jeff Weems. The Libertarians have unified behind Roger Gary. I expect Carrillo to defeat Porter 91-9, and defeat Weems and Gary 61-35-4. GOP HOLD.

US Congress: The GOP holds districts 1-3, 5-8, 10-13, 19, 21-22, 24, 26, and 31-32. The Democrats will hold 9, 15-16, 18, 20, and 27-30.

TX-04: Incumbent GOP Congressman Ralph Hall is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Hall, Telecommunications Executive Steve Clark, Businessmen John Cooper and Jerry Hall, Auto Racing Parts Company Owner Lou Gigliotti, and College Professor Joshua Kowert are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind former Hopkins County Attorney VaLinda Hathcox. The Libertarians have unified behind Realtor Jim Prindle. I expect Hall to crush all the opposition and crush Hathcox 66-34. GOP HOLD.

TX-14: Incumbent GOP Congressman Ron Paul is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Paul, School District Administrator John Gay, Business Consultant Tim Graney, and Chemical Worker Gerald Wall are in the running. On the Democratic side, Teacher Jeff Cherry, Attorney Winston Cochran, and Galena Park Police Chief Robert Pruett are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Attorney Eugene Flynn. The Independents have unified behind Auditor John Thomas Merrifield. Paul will crush Gay, Graney, and Wall 71-21-6-2. Pruett will win 87-9-4 over Cochran and Cherry. Paul will defeat Pruett 72-25. GOP HOLD.

TX-17: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Chet Edwards is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Edwards. On the GOP side, Businessmen Rob Curnock and Bill Flores, Nurse Timothy Delasandro, University Official David McIntyre, and Developer Chuck Wilson are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Richard Kelly. On the Independent side, Retiree Tommy Smith and Truck Driver Dennis Yokie are in the running. I expect Curnock to emerge and defeat Edwards 51-47. GOP GAIN.

TX-23: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Ciro D. Rodriguez is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Rodriguez and Iraq War Veteran Miguel Ortiz are in the running. On the GOP side, Investment consultant David Aquilar, Attorney Francisco Canceso, Podiatrist Joseph Gould, former CIA officer Will Hurd, retired Attorney Mike Kueber, and Physician Robert Lowery are in the running. On the Libertarian side, Jessie Bonley and IT Consultant Martin Nitschke are in the running. On the Independent side, Army Veteran Isaac Gallegos, Collections Agent James McCoy, and Businessman Craig Stephens are in the running. Rodriguez will defeat Ortiz 79-21. Canceso will win his Primary and defeat Rodriguez 52-48. GOP GAIN.

TX-25: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Lloyd Doggett is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Doggett. On the GOP side, Opthamologist Donna Campbell and Environmental Contractor George Morovich are in the running. On the Libertarian side, Businessman Cory Bruner and General Contractor Jim Stutsman are in the running. On the Independent side, Pastor Dirk Edward Bauer and Sam Brannon are in the running. I expect Campbell to emerge 54-46 and defeat Doggett 51-49. GOP GAIN.

Via <a href=”http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/gov_paterson_will_not_seek_reelection_SOcqNab2BmqoD7pczxCBXL”>The NY Post</a>:

<blockquote>Gov. David Paterson has decided not to seek election to a full term amid a roiling scandal over whether he and his troopers intimidated a woman who’d reported domestic violence against one of his top aides, The Post has learned.

Paterson has communicated to top advisers and supporters that he will pull the plug on his campaign today, multiple sources said — confirming a Post report.

He’s expected to make a statement at between 11:30 a.m. and 12:30 p.m. today.

Paterson, who took over the state’s top spot when Eliot Spitzer resigned because he had sex with a prostitute, is expected to say he won’t resign.

Just last night Paterson said he intended to continue his campaign. But he also said he would talk to fellow Democrats about his future.

There were calls yesterday for Paterson to let someone else run on the party’s ticket.</blockquote>

This is surprising news, and as a result, I’m moving this into the Likely Democrat column. Paterson would’ve lost anyways, and this leaves State AG Andy Cuomo as the Democratic frontrunner for both the nomination and the Governorship. Your thoughts.

Here’s an early take on the 2013 Gubernatorial races:

New Jersey: Incumbent GOP Governor Chris Christie is running for re-election. Potential candidates for the Democrats are Newark Mayor Corey Booker, Congressmen Rob Andrews, John Adler, Frank Pallone, Steve Rothman, Rush Holt, and Albio Sires, State Assembly Speaker Sheila Y. Oliver, State Assembly Majority Leader Joseph Cryan, State Assembly Speaker Pro-Tempore Jerry Green, State Senate President Steve Sweeney, and State Assembly Majority Conference Leader Joan M. Quigley. At this stage of the game, this is a TOSSUP.

Virginia: Incumbent GOP Governor Bob McDonnell is term-limited. Potential candidates for the Republicans are Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling, Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, former Governor and former US Senator George Allen, former Governor Jim Gilmore, former Counselor to President Bush Ed Gillespie, and Congressmen Rob Wittman, Randy Forbes, Bob Goodlatte, and Eric Cantor. Potential candidates for the Democrats are State Treasurer Braxton Powell, Senators Jim Webb and Mark Warner, Congressmen Glenn Nye, Bobby Scott, Tom Perriello, Jim Moran, Rick Boucher, and Gerry Connolly, State Delegate Brian Moran, former DNC Chairman Terry McCauliffe, and former US Senator Chuck Robb. Considering the fields of candidates, I rate this a TOSSUP.

Here’s a rundown of how I think the NE races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Dave Heineman is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Heineman, Martial Arts Instructor Christopher N. Geary, and Paul Anderson are in the running. There are no Democratic candidates. I expect Heineman to crush Geary and Anderson in the GOP Primary 91-7-2. GOP HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent GOP Secretary of State John A. Gale is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Gale. On the Democratic side, Restaurant Manager Kris Pierce and Attorney Janet Stewart are in the running. The Democratic Primary is a tossup. Gale will crush whoever the Democrats nominate. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent GOP Attorney General Jon Bruning is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Bruning. The Democrats have unified behind Attorney EA “Van” Argyrakis. Bruning will paste Argyrakis 74-26. GOP HOLD.

State Auditor: Incumbent GOP State Auditor Mike Foley is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Foley. The Democrats have no candidates. GOP HOLD.

State Treasurer: Incumbent GOP State Treasurer Shane Osborn is retiring. On the GOP side, State Senator Tony Fulton, Security Firm Owner Tom Nesbitt, and former Attorney General Don Steinberg are in the running. The Democrats have no candidates. I expect Steinberg to emerge from the field. GOP HOLD.

NE-01: Incumbent GOP Congressman Jeff Fortenberry is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Fortenberry. The Democrats have unified behind Jessica Lynn Turek. I expect Fortenberry to defeat Turek 68-32. GOP HOLD.

NE-02: Incumbent GOP Congressman Lee Terry is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Terry, Jerry Alan Odom, and Healthcare Technology Consultant Matt Sakalosky are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind State Senator Tom White. I expect Terry to defeat Sakalosky and Odom 79-18-3 and defeat White 55-45. GOP HOLD.

NE-03: Incumbent GOP Congressman Adrian Smith is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Smith, Church Music Director Dennis Parker, and Robert Charles Larson are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Chaplain Rebekah Davis. I expect Smith to defeat Parker and Larson 89-7-4, and defeat Davis 73-27. GOP HOLD.

Here’s a rundown of how I think the NM races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor Bill Richardson is term-limited. The Democrats have unified behind Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish. On the GOP side, State Representative Janice Arnold-Jones, Attorney Pete Domeneci Jr., Doña Ana County District Attorney Susana Martinez, Public Relations Firm Owner Doug Turner, and former State GOP Chairman Allen Weh are in the running. The GOP Primary is a tossup. Denish will defeat whoever the GOP nominates. DEM HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish is running for Governor. On the Democratic side, State Representative Joe Campos, former State Democratic Party Chairman Brian Colón, State Senators Linda Lopez and Jerry Ortiz y Pino, former Albuquerque Chief Administrative Officer Lawrence Rael, and Sante Fe County Sheriff Greg Solano are in the running. On the GOP side, Cardiologist JR Damron and former State Representative Brian Moore are in the running. The Democratic Primary is a tossup. I expect Moore to defeat Damron 69-31, and lose to whoever the Democrats nominate. DEM HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Marty Herrera is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Herrera. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Auditor: Incumbent Democratic State Auditor Hector Balderas is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Balderas. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic State Treasurer James Lewis is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Lewis. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Gary King is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind King. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Commissioner of Public Lands: Incumbent GOP State Commissioner of Public Lands Pat Lyons is retiring. On the GOP side, retired Law Enforcement Officer Errol Chavez and State Public Regulation Commission Employee Bob Cornelius are in the running. On the Democratic side, Santa Fe County Commissioner Mike Anaya and Harry Montoya, State Public Regulation Commission Chairwoman Sandy Jones, and former State Land Commissioner Ray Powell are in the running. I expect Cornelius to prevail 77-23 over Chavez. The Democratic Primary is a tossup. I expect Whoever the Democrats nominate to defeat Cornelius. DEM GAIN.

NM-01: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Martin Heinrich is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Heinrich. The GOP has unified behind former State GOP Vice Chair Jon Barela. The Constitution Party has unified behind Religious Right Activist Jerry Scott. The Libertarians have unified behind Attorney Alan Woodruff. I expect Heinrich to defeat Barela 57-42. DEM HOLD.

NM-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Harry Teague is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Teague. The GOP has unified behind former Congressman Steve Pearce. I expect Pearce to prevail 52-48. GOP GAIN.

NM-03: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Ben Ray Lujan is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Lujan. On the GOP side, Iraq War Veteran Adam Kokesh and Businessman Tom Mullins are in the running. The GOP Primary is a tossup. Lujan will defeat whoever the GOP nominates. DEM HOLD.

Here’s a rundown of how I think the RI races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Donald Carcieri is term-limited. The GOP has unified behind former Gubernatorial Aide John Robitaille. On the Democratic side, General Treasurer Frank Caprio and Attorney General Patrick Lynch are in the running. The Cool Mooses have unified behind Attorney Bob Healey Jr. On the Independent side, former US Senator Lincoln Chaffee and General Contractor Todd Giroux are in the running. I expect Caprio to defeat Lynch 52-48, and lose to Chaffee 41-37, with Robitallie receiving 22%. INDY GAIN.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Elizabeth Roberts is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Roberts. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Ralph Mollis is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Mollis. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Patrick Lynch is running fcr Governor. On the Democratic side, Smithfield City Councilman Steve Archambault, Providence City Solicitor Joe Fernandez, and State House Majority Whip Peter Kilmartin. The GOP has unified behind former Special Assistant Attorney General Erik Wallin. I expect Kilmartin to prevail big time, and defeat Wallin 59-41. DEM HOLD.

General Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic General Treasurer Frank Caprio is running for Governor. The Democrats have unified behind Software Engineer Tom Sgouros. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

RI-01: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Patrick Kennedy is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Kennedy. The GOP has unified behind State House Minority Whip John Loughlin. In this climate I expect Loughlin to narrowly prevail by about 491 votes. GOP GAIN.

RI-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Langevin is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Langevin and former State Representative Betsy Dennigan are in the running. On the GOP side, Attorney Michael Gardiner and former North Kingston Town Councilman Mark Zaccaria are in the running. I expect Langevin to thump Dennigan 60-40 and Zaccaria to defeat Gardiner 67-33. I expect Langevin to take Zaccaria out to pasture 64-36. DEM HOLD.

Here’s an early take on the 2011 Gubernatorial races:

Mississippi: Incumbent GOP Governor Haley Barbour is term-limited. Lieutenant Governor Phil Bryant is the only announced GOP candidate. Potential candidates for the Republicans are Commercial Building Contractor Dave Dennis, former Lieutenant Governor Amy Tuck, Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann Jr., State Auditor Stacey Pickering, State Treasurer Tate Reeves, State Agriculture & Commerce Commissioner Lester Spell Jr., State Insurance Commissioner Mike Chaney, former Congressman Chip Pickering, Senator Roger Wicker, and Congressman Gregg Harper. Potential candidates for the Democrats are Attorney’s John Arthur Eaves and Bill Luckett, Attorney General Jim Hood, former Attorney General Mike Moore, State Representative Steve Holland, and Congressmen Travis Childers, Bennie Thompson, and Gene Taylor. Considering the quality of the candidates on both sides and the political climate in 2011, I rate this one LEANS REPUBLICAN.

Kentucky: Incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Beshear is running for re-election, and has chosen Louisville Mayor Jerry Abramson as his running mate. Demolition Contractor Otis “Bullman” Hensley Jr. has announced his challenge to Beshear in the Democratic Primary. Potential candidates for the Republicans are Congressmen Ed Whitfield, S. Brett Guthrie, and Geoff Davis, Secretary of State Trey Grayson(if he fails at his Senate run), Physician Rand Paul(if he fails at his Senate run), former State Superintendent of Public Instruction John Stephenson, and State Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer. TOSSUP.

Louisiana: Incumbent GOP Governor Bobby Jindal is running for re-election. Minister Dennis “Dan” Northcutt has announced his challenge to Jindal in the Republican Primaries. Potential candidates for the Democrats are Lieutenant Governor Mitch Landireu(if he fails in his bid for New Orleans Mayor), State Senator Eric LaFleur, former Congressman Don Cazayoux, State Representatives Damon Baldone, Fred Mills, Gary Smith, Mike Powell, and Michael Jackson, Attorney General James “Buddy” Caldwell, former Attorneys General Richard Ieyoub and Charles C. Foti Jr., former State Commissioner of Agriculture and Forestry Bob Odom, State Natural Resources Secretary Scott Angelle, Ascension Parish Sheriff Jeffrey Wiley, Congressman Charlie Melancon(if he fails at his Senate bid), former Governor Kathleen Blanco, former PSC Commissioner Foster Campbell, and State Senator Walter Boasso. LIKELY REPUBLICAN.

Here’s an early take on the 2012 Gubernatorial races:

Unknown Incumbents: NH, UT, and VT.

Montana: Incumbent Democratic Governor Brian Schweitzer is term limited. Potential candidates for the Democrats include Lieutenant Governor John Bohlinger, Secretary of State Linda McCullough, Attorney General Steve Bullock, State Auditor Monica Lindeen, State Superintendent of Public Instruction Denise Juneau, Senator Jon Tester, and State Democratic Party Chairman Dennis McDonald. Potential candidates for the GOP are Congressman Dennis Rehberg, former State Senator Roy Brown, former Secretary of State Brad Johnson, and former State Representative Duane Grimes. Considering the quality of the potential candidates, I rate this LEANS DEMOCRAT.

West Virginia: Incumbent Democratic Governor Joe Manchin is term limited. Candidates for the Democrats include state Senators Jeffrey V. Kessler and Walt Helmick. Other potential candidates include State Treasurer John Perdue, Lieutenant Governor Earl Ray Tomblin, State Senator Robert Plymale, State House Speaker Richard Thompson, State Auditor Glen Gainer, State Agriculture Commissioner Gus Douglass, Attorney General Darrell McGraw, Congressman Nick Rahall, and state Secretary of State Natalie Tennant. Potential candidates for the Republicans include former State Secretary of State Betty Ireland, State Senate Minority Leader Dan Caruth, State Senate Minority Whip Clark S. Barnes, State House Minority Leader Tim Armstead, State House Minority Whip Larry Border, Assistant Minority Whips Troy Andes, Ray Canterbury, and Lynwood “Woody” Ireland, and Representative Shelley Moore Capito. Considering the quality of the potential candidates, I rate this LEANS DEMOCRAT.

Indiana: Incumbent GOP Governor Mitch Daniels is term-limited. Potential candidates for the Republicans include Lieutenant Governor Becky Skillman, Secretary of State Todd Rokita, Attorney General Greg Zoeller, former Attorney General Steve Carter, State Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Bennett, State Treasurer Richard Murdock, State Auditor Tim Berry, Congressmen Mark Souder and Mike Pence, former Congressman and Club for Growth President Chris Chocola, and Conservative Activist Eric Miller. Potential candidates for the Democrats are Businessman Jim Schellinger, former Representative Jill Long Thompson, Mayor of Evansville Jonathan Weinzapfel, Mayor of Hammond Thomas McDermott Jr., Lake County Sheriff Roy Dominguez, and Congressmen Baron Hill, Brad Ellsworth, Andre Carson, Peter Visclosky, and Joe Donnelly. Considering the quality of the potential candidates, I rate this LIKELY REPUBLICAN.

Delaware: Incumbent Democratic Governor Jack Markell is probably running for re-election. Potential candidates for the Republicans are former Deputy Attorney General Ferris Wharton, State Auditor Tom Wagner, former US Attorney Colm Connolly, former State Senator Charlie Copeland, Drugstore Chain CEO Alan Levin, Wilmington Trust President Robert Harra, State Representatives Debbie Hudson and Tom Kovach. SAFE DEMOCRAT.

Missouri: Incumbent Democratic Governor Jay Nixon is probably running for re-election. Potential candidates for the Republicans are Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder, Congressmen Todd Akin, Sam Graves, and Blaine Luetkemeyer, and Congresswoman Jo Ann Emerson. LIKELY DEMOCRAT.

North Carolina: Incumbent Democratic Governor Beverly Perdue is probably running for re-election. Potential Democratic opponents to Perdue’s renomination are Lieutenant Governor Walter Dalton, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, Attorney General Roy Cooper, State Auditor Beth Wood, State Treasurer Janet Cowell, Superintendent of Public Instruction June Atkinson, State Insurance Commissioner Wayne Goodwin, and Congressmen GK Butterfield, Bob Etheridge, David Price, Mike McIntyre, Larry Kissell, Heath Schuler, Mel Watt, and Brad Miller. Potential candidates for the Republicans include former Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory, former Raleigh Mayor Paul Colbe, President of High Point University Nido Qubein, State Senate Minority Leader Phil Berger, Congressmen Walter Jones Jr. and Patrick McHenry, and Congresswoman Sue Myrick. LEAN REPUBLICAN.

Washington: Incumbent Democratic Governor Christine Gregoire is probably running for re-election. Potential Democratic opponents include Congressmen Jay Inslee, Rick Larsen, Norm Dicks, Jim McDermott, and Adam Smith, Lieutenant Governor Brad Owen, State Treasurer Jim McIntire, State Auditor Brian Sonntag, State Commissioner of Public Lands Peter Goldmark, Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler, and Snohomish County Executive Aaron Reardon. Potential candidates for the Republicans include Secretary of State Sam Reed, Attorney General Rob McKenna, former State Senator Dino Rossi, Congressmen Doc Hastings and Dave Reichert, and Congresswoman Cathy McMorris-Rogers. TOSSUP.

North Dakota: Incumbent Republican Governor John Hoeven is poised to succeed Byron Dorgan as US Senator from North Dakota, meaning Lieutenant Governor Jack Darymphle will be the Governor in 2012. Potential candidates for the Democrats are Congressman Earl Pomeroy, former Agriculture Commissioner Roger Johnson, State School Superintendent Wayne G. Sanstead, former Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp, former State Senator Joel Heitkamp, and State Senator Tim Mathern. LIKELY REPUBLICAN.

Here’s a rundown of how I think the KS races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor Mark Parkinson is retiring. The Democrats have unified behind Disabled Paramedic Herb West III. The GOP has unified behind US Senator Sam Brownback. I expect Brownback to roll West 72-28. GOP GAIN.

Secretary of State: Incumbent GOP Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh is retiring. On the GOP side, former Business Lobbyist JR Claceys and former State GOP Chairman Kris Kobach are in the running. On the Democratic side, former State Securities Commissioner Chris Biggs and State Senator Chris Steineger are in the running. I expect Kobach to prevail over Claeys 58-42. I also expect Biggs to defeat Steineger 56-44. I expect Kobach to prevail over Biggs 55-45. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Stephen N. Six is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Six. On the GOP side, former Assistant Attorney General Ralph DeZago and State Senate Majority Leader Derek Schmidt are in the running. I expect Schmidt to defeat DeZago 54-46 and upend Six 53-47. GOP GAIN.

State Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic State Treasurer Dennis McKinney is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind McKinney. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Insurance Commissioner: Incumbent GOP State Insurance Commissioner Sandy Praeger is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Praeger and Insurance Agent David Powell are in the running. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. Praeger will defeat Powell 68-32. GOP HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent GOP US Senator Sam Brownback is running for Governor. On the GOP side, Congressmen Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt are in the running. On the Democratic side, Retired Communications Executive Charles Schollenberger and Attorney Stanley Wiles are in the running. I expect Moran to defeat Tiahrt 53-47 and Schollenberger to defeat Wiles 59-41. I expect Moran to crush Schollenberger 65-35. GOP HOLD.

KS-01: Incumbent GOP Congressman Jerry Moran is running for US Senate. On the GOP side, State Senators Jim Barnett and Tim Huelskamp, College Instructor Sue Boldra, Attorney Marck Cobb, Commercial Realtor Tracey Mann, former Salina Mayor Monte Shadwick, and former Chief of Staff to US Senator Sam Brownback Rob Wasinger are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind former Salina Mayor Alan Jilka. I expect Huelskamp to emerge from his Primary and defeat Jilka 62-38. GOP HOLD.

KS-02: Incumbent GOP Congresswoman Lynn Jenkins is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Jenkins and State Senator Dennis Pyle are in the running. On the Democratic side, there are no announced candidates, but State Senator Tom Holland is considering the race. I expect Jenkins to defeat Pyle 54-46 and either run unopposed or defeat Holland if he runs. GOP HOLD.

KS-03: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Dennis Moore is retiring. The Democrats have no announced candidates, but potential candidates include State House Minority Leader Paul Davis, Governor Mark Parkinson, Kansas City Mayor Joe Reardon, and State Senator and current Secretary of State candidate Chris Steineger. On the GOP side, former State Senators Mark Gilstrap and Nick Jordan, Iraq War Veteran Daniel Gilyeat, former State Representative Patricia Lightner, Businessman John Rysavy, Database Consultant Thomas Scherer, and State Representative Kevin Yoder. The GOP frontrunners are Jordan and Yoder. Whichever one makes it out of the Primary has the edge. GOP GAIN.

KS-04: Incumbent GOP Congressman Todd Tiahrt is running for US Senate. On the GOP side, Printing Company Owner Jim Anderson, Oil Company CEO Wink Hartman, State Senator Dick Kelsey, Manufacturing Executive Mike Pompeo, and State Senator Jean Schodorf are in the running. On the Democratic side, State Representative Raj Goyle and Retiree Robert Tillman are in the running. The Independents have unified behind Nurse Susan Ducey. I expect Kelsey and Goyle to emerge from their Primaries. Kelsey will defeat Goyle 56-44. GOP HOLD.