Sometimes, It Really Is Different This Time – A Polling Post-Mortem (Part III of III)
This is the third and final part of my three-part polling post-mortem. Part I here looks at the national and state polls, and Part II at the likely voter screens and the electorate. V. Polls vs. Non-Poll Tools One of my premises in reviewing projections of turnout was that other items of information besides the polls were worth reviewing. Many of these same indicators favoring | Read More »
Will GOP Governors Save us From Obamacare?
We all understand that elections have consequences and that there are certain issues which are ceded with an electoral loss. Obamacare is not one of them. If Obamacare is allowed to survive, then our Constitution has no meaning and our Republic is finished. It will engender a takeover of 1/6 of our economy, create permanent dependency, induce unsustainable inflationary pressure on the cost of healthcare | Read More »
New Foreign Policy
Now that Obama has won reelection, news of how he plans to run his new administration has been springing forth fast and furiously. Despite alluding to a time of peace in his reelection speech last week, the latest on foreign policy going forward indicates otherwise. Like so many other issues, the new foreign policy agenda would have been nice to know before the election. According | Read More »
Making Them Own It
Florida based restaurant boss John Metz, who runs approximately 40 Denny’s and owns the Hurricane Grill & Wings franchise has decided to offset that (The Cost of Obamacare) by adding a five percent surcharge to customers’ bills and will reduce his employees’ hours.
If you still shake your head and wonder why Alabama Governor, Robert Bentley won’t set up a HIX or participate in the Obamacare Medicaid expansion, John Metz offers us some insight. No matter how much free health insurance you were promised; some poor sucker always gets left holding the bag.
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Sometimes, It Really Is Different This Time – A Polling Post-Mortem (Part II of III)
The second part of my 3-part post-mortem on the polls and the 2012 election. See yesterday’s Part I here. IV. Likely vs. Registered Voters A. Pay No Attention To The Man Behind The Screen Near the heart of every major polling controversy this year was the issue of sampling and likely-voter screens. Polls traditionally report results among either “all adults” (whether or not registered to | Read More »
We Need a Choice, Not and Echo
Some things just never change. Back in 1976, President Ford ran for president against Jimmy Carter on a pale-pastel platform that was indistinguishable from the Democrats. In fact, based upon the demographics of the electoral map, many conservatives voted for Jimmy Carter. During the wilderness years of the Ford administration, Reagan issued an ominous warning about the direction of the party. “Our people look for | Read More »
Sometimes, It Really Is Different This Time – A Polling Post-Mortem (Part I of III)
As promised, a mea culpa on my pre-election poll analysis: why I was wrong, why the state poll averages were right – and why I’d say most of the same things if I had to do it over. I suppose I have lost a good deal of credibility with a number of people by making the kind of out-on-a-limb prediction I don’t usually make, and | Read More »
The Ending Spending Model
Yesterday I was less than complimentary of a bunch of the money spent by Republican billionaires and millionaires to advance the GOP this past year. Many of them threw good money after bad, hired marketers for technology, pooled their money with GOP ad guys who wasted it all, and some invested in massive and elaborately bureaucratic groups. One model moving forward that these people should | Read More »
On the RSC Chairman’s Race
The most important vote that will happen very soon is the vote for Chairman of the Republican Study Committee, the conservative group within the House Republican Conference that often finds itself trying to pull the Republicans to the right. These past two years, it was the RSC leadership that pressed the GOP to avoid selling out to Barack Obama repeatedly, insisted the GOP keep its | Read More »
The Demise of Twinkies? Yes, It’s True. Parasitic Unions Kill Their Hosts (or, in this case, Hostess)
Back in September, following acceptance by the Teamsters. the bakers’ union (BCTGM) at bankrupt Hostess brands—makers of the iconic Twinkies, Ding Dongs and Wonder brand breads—rejected a company proposal to help keep the company in business. By a voice vote of its members, the union opened the door to conduct a company-killing strike and potentially putting 18,500 Hostess workers onto the streets. Well, on Friday, | Read More »
Can We Replace John Boehner With Paul Ryan?
John Boehner has been willing to throw his conference under the bus repeatedly. We know from the Bob Woodward book that he was willing to raise taxes. We know he cut a deal with Barack Obama without consulting the rest of his conference. We know it blew up in his face. We know he now doesn’t even want to fight Obamacare, calling it the “law | Read More »
Rich Idiots and the Republican Gigolos
A lot of Republican donors are idiots. Right now they are licking their wounds. They got played by a bunch of Republican gigolos, largely known as “tech consultants.” It wasn’t just Team Romney and ORCA. It happened across the Republican Party. Millionaires and billionaires shelled out huge sums of money to outside groups that promised the moon and delivered a crater instead. They became sugar | Read More »
Is It Time to Roll Up the Welcome Mat Here?
Barack Obama won the election. He did not win by stealing the election. Voter irregularities always happen. It is one reason we support voter ID rules. But even in the worse scenario of reports out there, there were not enough tales of voter irregularities to matter nationwide. This is another benefit and built in safeguard of the electoral college. Barack Obama won. He won by | Read More »
Not What If, What Next Part III – Breaking The 4th Seal
Demand that the House to do the following.
1) Pass a budget that totally allows the US to go off the Fiscal Cliff. Remind President Obama that he and they made a deal that they intend to honor to the letter as a show of good faith and bipartisan agreement that all Americans should emulate in current and parlous predicament.
2) Refuse a continuing resolution until the US Senate does likewise. Remind them that bipartisanship is always a two-way street and the US Senate does have a professional responsibility with respect to the Federal budget process.
3) When the Senate self-righteously and arrogantly refuses, refuse to raise the debt ceiling, citing the fact that it is irresponsible to issue more debt when you have no coherent statement as to how those funds are intended to be spent.
4) When Barack Obama rails against them, remind him firmly, yet politely that the House has passed a budget and stands more than willing to work with the US Senate anytime they choose to actually fulfill their legal and Constitutional obligations.
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What Arizona Teaches Us About Politics of Illegal Immigration
If you only listened to the media and Republican consultants during the days following the election, you would hear the following erroneous premises about the Hispanic vote and the issue of illegal immigration. 1) Our opposition to the circuitous cycle of amnesty and open borders is the sole reason why we are losing the Hispanic vote. 2) Immediate and unconditional support for illegal immigrants will | Read More »