Today was campaign finance filing day in MO and all three candidates released their numbers. There is a lot of bad news in here for the Republicans.
Democrat Party (technically assumed candidate and current state Attorney General) Jay Nixon was the first to report his numbers. The AG raised an impressive $1.75 million in the quarter. He showed expenditures of about $355,000 and another $350,000 in in-kind contributions leaving him with roughly $3.75 million in cash on hand.
Current U.S. Rep Kenny Hulshof, and Republican candidate for Governor, was next up. He reported fund raising totals of $1.5 million and expenditures of approximately $900,000. This leaves him with approximately $1.1 million in cash on hand.
Current State Treasurer Sarah Steelman was the last to send out her numbers, and you can see why. She raised a paltry $289,000. Her expenditures were approximately $1 million. She has an outstanding debt of roughly a half-million dollars from her wealthy husband. This leaves her with cash on hand of about $700,000.
Two important issues to note here:
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Democrat Jay Nixon is laughing all the way to the bank. The two Republican candidates have been locked into a bitter primary battle that has forced them to spend capital that is much needed in the general election.
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It is painfully clear that Rep Hulshof’s connections have been able to garner him much better fundraising totals. He has been backed by every major state Republican (minus the Governor who is refraining from interfering in the primary) which has surely gained him access to high quality donors. If Steelman is able to survive this primary she is going to need a lot of help.
[Update]: Rep Hulshof has pulled down another endorsement. This one is from Associated Industries of Missouri, a small business advocacy group. From their statement:
Steve Hoven, chairman of the Board of Directors of Associated Industries, pointed to the six key areas that Hulshof has outlined in his economic development platform:
Additional lawsuit reform
Workers’ compensation and Second Injury Fund reform
Job training
Quality Jobs
Grow Me State Initiative – assisting advanced technology companies
Capitalize on Missouri’s strengths
“These priorities mirror AIM’s vision of the manner in which Missouri’s economy will succeed,” said Hoven. “In the last four years the Show-Me State has taken great strides in improving its business environment, but recent news stories have served as a an unfriendly reminder that we must take every step available to make certain that Missouri can compete in the global economy.”


I think those are pretty solid numbers....
St_Louis_Conservative Tuesday, July 15th at 9:01PM EDT (link)…for Hulshof. From what I can tell, Steelman has almost zero grassroots support here. I have yet to see a single Steelman campaign sign, sticker, TV or radio ad for her.
Hulshof is actually a pretty good candidate. In a normal year, he would likely be the favorite. Hulshof has an uphill climb, but it’s doable.
“…..women and minorities hardest hit”
I've seen as many Steelman ads on TV
bs Tuesday, July 15th at 9:09PM EDT (link)as Hulshof. Most of them are anti-Hulshof rather than pro-Steelman. I couldn’t tell you what channel they’re on, as I’ve not been paying attention…but I usually watch KSDK for news, so I’d say it’s likely on there.
Decorum is fo’ suckas
Yup, uphill may be an understatement though
Brian Simpson Tuesday, July 15th at 9:14PM EDT (link)As of right now he faces a 3-1 disadvantage in cash on hand and Nixon has shown plenty of ability to raise cash. AS the saying goes, cash is king in elections and Nixon has a lot more cash.
He’s going to need a lot of help for the general election. My hope is that there are a lot of big time fundraisers that have stayed out until the nomination is settled.
One issue that I’m not really sure of is how is Blunt going to be able to influence the general election. He currently has about $1.2 million. What is he able to do with that money?
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Cash Is Often Overrated, But...
IJB Tuesday, July 15th at 10:33PM EDT (link)…The problem with this race isn’t just cash - it’s that Nixon’s also way ahead in polling.
Can someone explain exactly what Matt Blunt has down to anger so many in MO?
Because whatever it was, it makes almost impossible for (I’m guessing Hulshof) to win this Governorship.
StLCon has a better grasp on it than I do
Brian Simpson Tuesday, July 15th at 11:28PM EDT (link)but it really comes down to a whole host of things.
He’s got a minor ethics knock against him (real or imagined I don’t know) about some e-mails.
He made some very deep cuts to Medicaid early on in his administration that a lot of people are still pissed about.
He supports the ethanol boondoggle (Hulshof and Nixon both support)
He supported the stem cell initiative
I’m sure there is more that I’m missing.
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To add to Brian
Younce Wednesday, July 16th at 8:44AM EDT (link)Blunt did not help himself in these minor ethics problems by trying to hide it to an extent.
The Medicaid cuts are the biggest reason why Blunt is unpopular. They were quite deep and quite necessary, but also incredibly unpopular.
I think these things have hurt Kenny and Sarah very little against Nixon. Jay Nixon announced he was going to run for governor almost immediately after the 2004 elections. He has been running for Governor for three and a half years. He has been able to use his current office of AG and that he is a candidate to get almost as much press as he wants.
Kenny and Sarah however have been running since February. Neither one of them have the name recognition statewide that Nixon does.
A lot of money on the Republican side will open up once the primary is over, especially if Kenny wins (which seems likely looking at the polling). Also, on August 28th, Missouri law changes to remove campaign contribution limits. Fundraising for both sides will be furious, but I think Kenny has the advantage over Nixon.
Kenny definitely has an uphill battle. But I have seen this man campaign up close more times than I care to count and I know if anyone in Missouri has the ability to take Jay Nixon down, it is Kenny.
That is a vital point to note
Brian Simpson Wednesday, July 16th at 11:50AM EDT (link)about the campaign contribution limits being removed. Fund raising will be fast and furious starting in a few weeks. It should make for a lot of media exposure from both candidates.
Once the primary is over, I would expect fund raisers to lay low until the limits are removed. Then its all hands on deck to get the cash flowing in big numbers.
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Important principles may and must be inflexible. ~ Abraham Lincoln