Social Security Cola adjustment coming out in mid-October (prediction of 1.2%). Since Obama’s inauguration, there’s been no inflation says the administration . Cola in 2010 was 0 and 2011 was 0. This is a real good indication of how good at math this President is and how concerned he is with the senior vote. The following are all price increases since inauguration day.

If you don’t eat anything made of beef, wheat or corn, you are probably ok. Beef up 68%, wheat up 35% and corn up 78%. If you don’t drink coffee, you are certainly better off because coffee prices have increased 105%. If you don’t buy anything made of wool or cotton (up 250% and 105%), you may be still treading water. If you don’t travel by plane or car (gas up 110% and jet fuel up 100%), you could still maybe consider voting for Barry, again. And we all know that sugar is bad for the body, so just because the price has increased by 140%, that shouldn’t cause any worry. And if you don’t watch TV or use the internet or use air conditioning or electricity, the increase of 300% on copper prices shouldn’t be a problem. Basically, if you don’t get out of bed and get dressed, watch tv, use the internet, eat anything or grow your own food, travel anywhere or buy any new clothes, you haven’t experienced any inflation.

Here is what happens when Obama keeps proposing “jobs programs” . Can we survive five more years of this?

Since when are MN,IA, and IL swing states? If these states aren’t firmly in the Obama column, then he needs to hire a new campaign staff. It would have made more sense to take the bus through MI,OH and IN because these are the states Obama needs to keep, if he wants to be re-elected. And, It looks increasingly like the Obama campaign is looking to Florida to pull the campaign over the 270. With hopes fading fast in OH,IN,NC, and VA, they are looking to FL as the must win state. Please tell me what they see here because I live here and this is what I see:

1)      We will have 27 Congressional districts, only 6 or 7 democrat

2)      We have an over-whelming majority of Republicans in the State House and Senate and we have a Republican governor and a Secretary of State hired by the governor.

3)      Yeah, Barry won FL in 2008, when our unemployment rate was 6%, and when he was Rock Star of the Century, but only by 4.3%.

4)      Our unemployment rate has been stuck at about 11% for the 2.5 years of Barry.

5)      The African-American unemployment rate is near 20% since Barry was elected.

6)      Ask anyone about the “stimulus” and they’ll tell you that maybe it created some jobs somewhere, but not HERE.

7)      Even people who couldn’t speak English with questionable documents could get a job in the Orlando area five years ago. Not now.

8)      Home prices in the Miami area have fallen 54% since Barry was elected

9)      Foreclosures are still through the roof

10)   High school kids have unemployment rates around 60% and new college graduates at about 50%. (This is the first time in 40 years and/or never that I’ve seen this)

11)   So far, I haven’t seen any Chevy Volts on the road or any other green jobs other than people being unemployed and not having cars and trucks adding to the CO2 level.

This is like the addict or alcoholic who comes off rehab, has a slip and goes on a binge. Usually they will describe the pre-binge feeling and attitude as “Oh, F…k it. If you’re going to get wet, you may as well go swimming.” The “TONE” that the left said that the right had prior to the Giffords shooting which they said caused the rampage is back. Only this time, I haven’t heard any of it from the people who supported elected officials in 2010 or who have supported tea party candidates since. The left talking heads, “journalists”, and even left leaning high ranking elected representatives have been binging on this hate speech for the length of the debt ceiling debate. They have used these words to describe elected representatives in third world places like Ohio, Michigan, PA, and South Carolina.

Just some of the choice adjectives used to describe legally elected representatives in Congress:

“Terrorists, Bomb strapping terrorists, Mugging, Hostages, Hostage taking, Knife at the throat, Muggers, The gang perpetrating assaults, Extortionists, Casualties, Extremists, Somali pirates, Our version of al-qaeda terrorists, Torpedo the economy, Uncivilized hostage taking barbarians, Holding the gun to Americas head, Cannibals, Vampires, Zombies, Assaulting unnerved victims, Metallic beasts, hijackers”

Can’t make this stuff up.

The House has BHO in their sights (since I can’t say crosshairs). BHO can only do three things at this point concerning the debt ceiling. First, he can accept the fact that the ceiling won’t be raised because he and the Senate won’t agree to Cut, Cap and Balance and direct federal agencies and the treasury to start prioritizing. This has about a 1% chance of happening.

Second, he can agree to a short term increase of between 500 and a trillion with real budget cuts and no tax increases because his back is against the wall.

And third, he can ignore Congress, take the position of the Monarchal President and raise the debt ceiling himself citing some ridiculous Constitutional argument. Personally, I hope that he opts for option three. This would be the first time in American history that a President, including FDR, stated to the American people that, “I really don’t care what the House of Representatives wants, I’ll spend as much money as I want and when I want. I won the election and I’m in charge.” If BHO takes option three, he’ll confirm to most of us that he is exactly what we said he is/was, a Hugo Chavez in 1000 dollar suits with an American flag label pin. By taking option 3, BHO would kill any chance of legitimate re-election, short of martial law and declaring himself Presidente for Life.

As long as the House republicans hold to the no tax pledge and only agree to real budget cuts along with the short term increase, the GOP can’t lose. Any way this goes down, the House republican’s win the game. And right after, BHO tucks his tail and signs the short term extension, he’ll be facing one of the worst jobs reports of 2011 on Aug 9th. Weekly unemployment claims have been increasing and over 400K for the last 15 weeks and the financial and technology sectors have announced job cuts along with a few thousand jobs in the space industry. Plus they are supposed to be bringing soldiers home from Iraq and Afghanistan to stand in unemployment lines, or was that just some Obamaspeak?

This Tuesday, July 12, primaries will be held in the 6 recall races in Wisconsin against the GOP Senate incumbents. The primary is necessary because other GOP candidates registered to run in the recall election against the (D) candidates. But since we’ve talked before on these pages that the recall election process in WI was never intended to be a party thing, the “fake” (D) candidate, as the opposition is calling them are requiring a primary to decide who will run against the (R) incumbent. There are “fake” (D) candidates in all the recall races against the GOP senators.

The outcome of these “primaries” will probably be instructive as to the overall turnout in the “real” recall election to be held at different times in August due to court challenges still being appealed. The primaries are open, so any registered voter can vote for either the “real” (D) candidate or the “fake” (D) candidate. GOP supporters will more than likely (hopefully) be out voting for the “fake” candidate and the supporters of the original recall push will be out to vote for the (D) candidate. Meaning that the “fake” (D) candidate has a real chance of winning the primary should the GOP receive a higher turnout.

In special elections like this, a turnip can win the election, if the turnout is high enough. But regardless of the results of the “primaries” , the incumbents should get a real good idea of the number of people in their districts who will vote against them on the real election day and they can gotv accordingly.

Regardless of the results after all the dust settles on this recall process, even if the (D)’s took control of the Senate in WI, they couldn’t undue the work that was done by this courageous group of legislators to help local school districts and local municipalities balance their budgets without laying off essential employees. Not making any predictions.

Last year it was the summer of recovery, this year it’s the Summer of Violence. How are the cities going to cope with urban teens who are basically parentless, moneyless, and jobless. Well, the old standby comes in to play, the CURFEW. Curfew’s are also unconstitutional. All a teen would have to tell a leo is that he/she is going to church or going to a political rally and they are untouchable. Probably, the political rally story would be better. The US Constitution doesn’t make allowances for citizens under certain ages or whether the sun is out. But, hey, what’s a few unconstitutional laws among friends, like the individual mandate? School has just let out for summer and we are already witnessing riots and riot control from many inner city locations. Thanks to our Marxist administration, a 9.1% unemployment rate and the minimum wage, none of these teens have the opportunity to work or gain a skill through internship or apprenticeship type situations. What do we expect that they are going to do with their free time?

The birth death model that the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses is not the number of people born in the US vs. the number of people dying. What the B/D model tells us is the estimate of the number of jobs created in any month by newly formed companies v. the number of jobs lost by companies going out of business. How can they accurately figure out this number? The answer is: they can’t. This number is a pure guesstimate (fraud) or a fudging that the BLS can use to save the current administration’s skin when bad numbers present themselves.

Last month, BLS said that the net B/D number was 206,000 new jobs created by newly formed companies. If the BLS hadn’t reported this number, the net loss of jobs in May would have been (152K) instead of a positive 54K. In any monthly jobs report, they conveniently leave out the B/D number, a lie of omission.

It’s amazing what a bad jobs report will do.

1) In the States that the GOP needs to turn, only 11% or less of the people who voted for BHO in 2008 need to be apathetic enough to sit out the vote. 5% in FL, 1% in NC, 11% in VA, 9% in OH, and 2% in IN. Already, BHO is taking IN off the table. The GOP only needs to turn out the same people who voted for McCain in 2008. McCain took 22 states (a miracle during a perfect storm) and he was the worst candidate for the GOP since Bob Dole. Take the worst candidate possible for the GOP now and he/she would probably still get the same number of votes that McCain got.

2) The female vote was huge for BHO in 2008. The split was 56 to 43%. His approval rate among women voters right now is between 43 to 50%. Even DWS said that economic issues are at the forefront of most women voters because they typically supervise the family finances. If this vote just goes to 50-50 in the 14 states that are in play, this alone could be enough to un-elect BHO.

3) As a main pillar of his re-election strategy, BHO is proposing the largest tax hike in US history. On Thursday June 2, 2011 “Obama noted taxes would be a defining area of contrast with Republicans on the campaign trail. He insisted that he would not compromise again on his position that the tax rates for the top earners be raised to pre-Bush levels. I’m not sure that any presidential candidate in history has used this as a central theme of a campaign. Many candidates have indicated through double talk that they wouldn’t oppose tax increases, but never has there been a candidate that guaranteed by veto, a gigantic tax increase, as a direct result of his election that would take effect as he is sworn into office. The strongest approval rating that BHO has ever had since the first six months of his administration happened after he signed the Bush era tax cuts extension.

4) Former NY mayor Ed Koch, who backed Obama in the 2008 election, wrote that “If President Obama does not change his position [on Israel], I cannot vote for his reelection.” While Koch usually backs his party’s candidate, he also seems to have an uncanny ability to back a Republican—tacitly or explicitly—when the Democrats are going to lose. Are Jewish voters, except DWS, ready to turn their backs on BHO? Maybe. http://www.tabletmag.com/news-and-politics/68674/koch-test/

1) If the Fed goes ahead with another backdoor stimulus in the form of QE III count on gold at $2000, gasoline retail at $5 to $6, and food staples up another 20% by March 2012.

2) 45 million people are on food stamps. This means that these families have no assets to speak of and a non-existent income or an income below the poverty level. BHO desperately needs the adult food stamp recipients to register to vote and to vote for him. However, because of rapidly rising food prices, their rationing stamps aren’t buying very much and BHO is powerless to raise the ration allotment.

3) Younger voting age urban dwellers who registered to vote and who bought the hype from the hope and change campaign are restless, unemployed, and without skills. Major disturbances in many cities, like the disturbances over the Memorial Day weekend are becoming problematic. This could be a long, hot unemployed violent summer in the city. Check back to see what happens over the 4th of July weekend.

4) Unemployment rates in key battleground states are still at historic levels. Florida is at 11%, Nevada at 12%, Ohio at 9%, NC at 9% and Michigan at 11%. Without some help from the construction and housing markets, these figures probably won’t budge by the time the Nov 2012 deadline approaches. The economy has to grow at a steady 6% rate in all of these states in order for the unemployment rate to decline by just 2%. The Fed has revised the growth figures to under 3% this year and a high of 4% in 2012.

5) For the next 12 to 17 months, BHO has to pick one of three directions. Right now, the WH and the Democrat controlled Senate are operating like a ship without a rudder. Choice one is to go with supply side measures that have been proposed by the GOP leadership, a revival of Reaganomics. Choice two is to go with doubling down on the Keynesian solutions of Reich and Krugman or at least proposing more federal spending, another trillion dollar stimulus, jobs work programs and directing the Fed to prime the pump then blaming the (R)’s for stonewalling his leadership and directing the blame on the GOP. Choice three, is to hide from choice one and choice two and to be distant(professorial) from the solutions. Choice one is the best choice for his re-election chances, but he will never retreat from his Marxist roots, so anything he chooses to do, he’ll fail to move the economy.