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New California poll out

By: SteveLA (Diary)  |  May 30th, 2010 at 11:50 AM  | 

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A new Times USC poll came out yesterday, nothing really shocking in the poll. Link to the poll in PDF.

From the article:

Key Findings

  • California voters overwhelmingly want a Senator who will work with President Obama to pass his policies, not against him.
  • While some public polls had Steve Poizner pulled within striking distance of Meg Whitman in the Republican primary for governor, Whitman has regained control and holds a wide lead over Poizner heading into the final month.
  • Jerry Brown has taken a slim lead over Meg Whitman in this survey after trailing her in the previous USC/Los Angeles Times poll in March.

In the Senate race, Fiorina is up at 34, Campbell down to 18 percent and DeVore is holding pretty much were he has been at 13 percent. There will probably be some movement as the last undecided jump one way or the other, but the shape of the CA General election is becoming clear.

Not related to the poll, the Sunday morning talking head shows were wall to wall commercials from eMeg and Poizner taking shots at each other. eMeg is being pitched as the “True Fiscal Conservative” while Poizner is being pitched as the get tough on immigration candidate.  Two Millionaires are spending lots of money beating up on each other….Oh my.

COMMENTS

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  • mbecker908

    They didn’t poll Boxer v. R, or at least didn’t print it, but the bullet would lead one to believe – oh yeah, it’s a LATimes poll – that Boxer would probably be a lock.

    • SteveLA

      I’m not sure how much LATimes had to do with the construction of the poll, but USC actually did the polling.

      It bodes, if that’s the right word, on which R’s will face the Donks in General, way too early for much more than that.

      • Tbone

        money can buy.

  • klondike

    No mention of the questions asked or how worded, nor the percentage of likely Democrat voters versus Republican voters.

    • SteveLA

      At least I think that’s what you are asking for.

      Here’s the direct link.

      • klondike

        I clicked on the one link but didn’t see the .pdf.

        It looks like Babs “Yes Ma’am” Boxer does not have a bright political future.

        • SteveLA

          klondike

          I linked to the cover and not the actual poll, probably a mistake on my part that caused the confusion. I fixed that in my reply to you.

  • SteveLA

    Oh one other thing this latest poll shows, the talk about how DeVore needed to drop out to “save” CA from Campbell, is proven to be noise and nonsense.

    Campbell’s record pretty much eventually caught up with him as did the effects of the Palin endorsement boosting Fiorina in the polls.

  • IJB

    On the Gov. end, that Primary has not helped (if anyone wants to blame someone, blame that phony Steve Poizner for wasting everyone’s time…). But Whitman will win the primary, memories of this will fade by September, and we’ll be back to a pretty even general election race going into the Fall. And I feel the intangibles strongly favor Whitman over Brown.

    In the Senate race, this poll is another reminder not to get one’s hopes up in beating Boxer. Frankly, it doesn’t matter who Boxer faces – the fact is, CA voters strongly approve of Obama and things like ObamaCare, and there’s little a Republican can do to change that. If I were a betting man, I’d bet on Boxer pulling this out… versus *any* of the three Republicans. Bottom line: Advantage Boxer.

    • IJB

      If you do, it’s Fiorina-Campbell-DeVore: 38-23-15.

      That also tracks pretty well with recent CA polling.

    • SteveLA

      IJB

      There’s always the chance that BABS will do something really stupid over the summer/fall to give Fiorina a real issue to beat her with. Who knows, maybe Obama will do something so really stupid even the chattering class out here in CA will get the point that BABS who is in lock step with Obama needs to be put out to pasture.

    • proudgop

      1. She has always outspent her opponents and if Carly wins won’t

      2. She has always been up for re-election in pro democrat years ad this year she finally hasn’t

      3. she has never faced a female; Boxer is one snide you know what. She is pit bull but then uses female card

      Boxer always run against the republican on social issues iI wish carly had not run as far too right as she has. The endorsement by Palin will be run with by Boxer with glee

      • SteveLA

        proudgop

        I think you’re right, there will be blood in this race. It remains to be seen how Fiorina will attack, what issue, but BABS is going to have a pretty good fight on her hands.

        • proudgop

          California has an open primary? Independents can vote I assume that means in either Dem or Rep primary?

          Interesting to see what turnout is for GOP statewide vs Dems

          I think if Carly wins the next 2 months will be critical. She is going to have to define the race and make it about Boxer and not let Boxer make it about social issues or even Obama

          I’d be curious to hear Californians tell us how GOP wins statewide now? They have to do well in Central, Orange County and San Diego area I know. What is the part of the state who determines who wins statewide? Los Angeles suburbs?

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    This poll (by a far left Democrat firm I believe?) has Republican primary voters giving Obama a +23 or so net approval rating.

    That’s insane and 100% non-credible, even when you take into account the what, 20% of the open primary electorate being DTS.

  • SirGladiator

    A lot of polls have come out lately, say the last week or so, that have been WAAAAY off the mark of logic, all favoring the Democrats. Polling showing the Vietnam Veteran who is only a veteran of his own lies up 25 points in CT when the previous poll showed it 3 points, meaning his scandal coverage GAINED him 22 points. Polling showing a tight race in KY when the most recent accurate poll was a 25 point lead for Ran Paul. And now this poll showing strangely high support for Obama at a time when he’s totally discrediting himself over this whole Oil leak thing. There was one part of the poll that stood out though, when asked whether they would vote to re-elect Boxer or vote for her opponent, it was something like 34-49 in favor of someone else (I forget the exact numbers). Strangely enough the same poll also showed Boxer beating everybody but Campbell, so again, something rather strange there. I don’t know what to make of it, but there’s definitely a trend lately of certain polls showing a strange pro-Democrat bias over the last week or so, I don’t know why they’re doing it but there’s no logical reason to believe them. No doubt in a few weeks or so time, maybe less, the polling will go back to showing things as they truly are. And how they are in CA, as in most of the rest of the nation, is VERY favorable to us this year.

  • Diogenes314

    Already decided:

    Governor-Whitman (Poizner is too unreliable on taxes and more likely to help elect Brown in November)
    Lt Governor-Aanestad (Maldanaldo is a tool)
    Secretary of State-Dunn (Taitz is…not a serious candidate. Okay, I’m pretty sure she’s clinically insane).
    San Diego city Council-Lorie Zapf
    San Diego County Sheriff- Jay LaSuer (Appointed incumbent Bill Gore has been endorsed by the former sheriff, the DA, the U/T and all of the law enforcement unions. Plus he’s publicly come out against Arizona’s SB 1070)

    Agree with the OP on all the Props.

    I’m leaning to Weaver for 53rd congressional district, but none of the candidates is either overwhelming or likely to have a chance in November.
    I’m also leaning DeVore for Senate-but I’m not certain he is viable or that voting for him is going to do anything but help Campbell. And by proxy, Boxer.

    I’m leaning for Eastman as Attorney General, but he’s trailing badly and might go with Hartman to keep Cooley out.

    On Superintendent of Public Instruction the only candidates with and traction are Dems. The unions support Torlkson and the bureaucrats Aceves, both groups loath Gloria Romero. That’s probably good enough for me.

    • Diogenes314

      Mea Maxima Culpa.

      I’m sure I spelled that wrong.