Economists Back McCain

By California Yankee Posted in | | Comments (15) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

The Wall Street Journal's economics blog, Real Time Economics, reports Senator McCain was the clear favorite of those economists who responded to the question:

"Which of the three remaining presidential candidates offers the most responsible fiscal policy proposals in your view?"

Twenty-one economists, or 75% of the respondents, chose Senator McCain, the republican nominee to be. Obama came in second with the backing of six economists, or 21% of the respondents. Just one economist picked Hillary.

The question was asked as part of the Journal's latest forecasting survey.

Survey_20080508190422
In another interesting finding from the survey, 51% of the respondents said demand from China and India was the prime factor in soaring energy prices, and 41% said the demand was the chief contributor to rising food costs. Constraint in supply was cited second most often; Twenty percent blamed supply problems for higher food prices, and 15% for increasing energy prices. If these economist are right, there is little the U.S. can do to ease the pain of higher energy and food prices.

According to he survey, the price of crude is expected to fall to about $105 by the end of next month and to about $93 by the end of the year, overall inflation will continue, and gasoline prices are expected to stay high. Get use to it.

« Getting just a little testy about West Virginia and Kentucky, are we?Comments (21) | REDSTATE ROUNDTABLE #9: The McCain Veepstakes Comments (127) »
Economists Back McCain 15 Comments (0 topical, 15 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

and understand how the world works. The other 25% are socialists who took economics so they could come up with new and twisted ways to support their evil doctrine.*

*Mostly tongue in cheek, though I do wonder about a few of the more leftists economists...

Socialism doesn't work. It looks nice on paper, but it's been tried and it's failed miserably every time (usually accompanied by widespread death and suffering).
Proud member of the V.R.W.C.

The other 25% were people who dabbled in Political Science or Public Finance, or are otherwise invested in the government machinery.

As for where that places me, as an economist who also has a B.A. in Political Science and still emerged an anarcho-capitalist libertarian, I blame the fact that my attendance of Political Science classes was limited to assignment submission and test taking a lot of the time.

"No matter how much lipstick you put on the taxation pig, it's still a pig... and it's currently snout-down in your wallet." - Michael Fisk

The other 25% were raised in households where you are taught to believe in managed economies. They became economists precisely to learn how to manage an economy as a living and look forward to doing so in an Obama administration.

They are the ones that believe socialism not only still looks good on paper but will work with the right support and the right people. They believe they can suceed where everyone else has failed.

Side note Brian, even on paper socialism is still slavery.

"Honor is self-esteem made visible in action." - Ayn Rand, West Point, 1974

I agree about socialism being slavery even on paper if you bother to work out the logical outcome. My signature was based on a standard answer I gave to people who would post socialist utopian ideas without actually thinking them through. For a while I was repeating it often enough that I just decided it would be more efficient to use it as my sig.

I haven't been arguing with enough socialists lately. Maybe I'll start cruising the communist sites again. 8*)

Socialism doesn't work. It looks nice on paper, but it's been tried and it's failed miserably every time (usually accompanied by widespread death and suffering).
Proud member of the V.R.W.C.

Although I will have to admit that I'm sure that they support his campaign for other reasons than we would think.

For example, there seems to be a consensus among economists that the costs of pollution need to be internalized by companies.

I will say that his support of free trade was sure to be a plus that we can (mostly) agree on here at RS. (We seem to have a few protectionists amongst our ranks)



Now also found at The Minority Report

Biofuels by morbie5

I always said I didn't think biofuels was the main problem with food prices...

...over the weekend?

In fact, it might have been two who supported her, if not for her Armitage-esque "outing" of Krugman as a covert Bushie! ;-)

We can do a lot by sinz52

If these economist are right, there is little the U.S. can do to ease the pain of higher energy and food prices.

The economists did not conclude that,
and you are flat wrong about that.

Despite the increased demand from China and India, it's the United States that still uses one-quarter of all the oil produced in the world. Reduce that amount and the price of oil drops dramatically--because the supply-demand curve for it is so inelastic.

This isn't the right place to discuss how the U.S. can reduce its seemingly insatiable thirst for oil. A combination of conservation and alternative fuels could do it.

Note that producing additional oil in the U.S. would NOT affect things much, because it would be a drop in the bucket compared to total world oil production. And it would take years to get it on line anyway.

As I recall, once the sustained price of oil exceeds $40/barrel, it becomes cost efficient to refine oil shale into crude oil. We've been at that level for long enough, and the trends are solid enough that someone should be doing this. Except of course that the Surrender Now! democrats in congress won't let anybody do that. And once you add oil shale to the oil reserves, then the US has as much oil as Saudi Arabia, and Canada has more. Granted, that price is still double what we were paying a year ago, but a $45 floor is a heck of a lot better than a $90 floor on crude. That way WE could become a major exporter to India and China and undermine the financing of the terrorist through OPEC.

People keep acting like this is a whole new scenario. It isn't. Carter faced the exact same problem in the late 70s. Since his party supported the same tree worshippers the Dems are beholden to now, he was unable to stem the rising price of oil. Reagan came in, said drill where we can and bring new sources online, and the intractable problem went away in less than a month. If Congress authorized drilling in ANWAR, the price of oil would drop $10 on the day it was announced. OPEC would immediately get the message that we were no longer going to be held hostage to their production policies, and they'd know that selling us some oil at a reduced price is better than selling is no oil at all, plus losing their export markets in India and China.

Peak Oil by morbie5

Can you proved some evidence on the amount of Oil Shale we have in the US?

Also, I think peak oil is a big problem. I know new sources will help and we should be drilling more but the fact that india and china are consuming so much more is a big problem. If it is true that a lot of middle eastern countries are at or getting close to peak oil production means that it is going to be very hard to keep up with demand.

I could by The Gadfly

but since I'm a conservative and expect you to carry your load in the debate, I'll simply say that Google is your friend. I will help you out a bit: "oil shale in US" should be your search parameters. Second selection down is a PDF from a non-conservative institution.

But thanks. Now that I've checked the numbers and found them to be even better than my foggy memory provided (mmm, TRIPLE the resource of Saudi Arabia!), I'll be better positioned to correct you and the rest of your "peak oil" fixated friends.

Almost half of the economists in the latest Wall Street Journal forecasting survey decided against answering a question on which presidential candidate offers the most responsible fiscal policies.

By my read, that means half of them think whichever of them wins, we've got a clueless captain for the next four years. Granted, that may be me projecting my feelings about the race. But it does at least say about half of them were smart enough not to answer.

Met Holz-Eakin last week by Marcus Traianus

I was at a forum last week in D.C. that included all the candidates economic advisors. Long story short; Holtz-Eakin was so far ahead in terms of an actual plan he could articulate - which was financially tangible and based on sound economic fundamentals, it was stunning.

Obama's advisor, Douglas Rediker, should have just stayed home. On taxes, it was increase taxes on the proverbial rich, class warfare nonsense. For the larger economic picture his plan was "we will wait to see what we inherit". The guys sitting next to me fell off their chairs in disbelief.

"Nec Aspera Terrent"
bene ambula et redambula
Contributor to The Minority Report

Jeesh, if you're going to quote the source, quote it all:

Many Economists Back McCain, but More Are Silent

Almost half of the economists in the latest Wall Street Journal forecasting survey decided against answering a question on which presidential candidate offers the most responsible fiscal policies. However, Sen. John McCain was the clear favorite of those who answered the question. Twenty-one economists of 75% of the respondents chose the Republican contender. However, they weren’t exactly enthusiastic. “His [policies] are the least horrible,” said James F. Smith of Western Carolina University and Parsec Financial Management.
[John McCain]
McCain

Sen. Barack Obama came in second with the backing of six economists, or 21% of the respondents. “He alone acknowledges that higher taxes will be needed to fix social security,” said Dana Johnson of Comerica Bank.

Draft Republicans.


blog advertising is good for you


blog advertising is good for you



 
Redstate Network Login:
(lost password? new user?)


image

Get RedState by E-mail



Delivered by FeedBurner

image

©2008 Eagle Publishing, Inc. All rights reserved. Legal, Copyright, and Terms of Service