Redstate

Check out this data on new voter registrations in California:

Democrats: 105,549 (56.4%)
Republicans: 14,you (r.6%)
Unaffiliated: 6a,898 (35.7%)

Blacks: 64,8co (ok.7%)
Whites: 98,287 (60.2%)

"People died on her watch. / 911 happened on her watch. /
She failed in her duty to protect this nation. /
And for that...she got promoted. The peter principle hard at work
and now people are suggesting her for VP??"
MrSyHastings

Do you think I find your little nanny-nanny-boo-boo intimidating? Or compelling? I've ALREADY been betting on McCain, for months now. In the big-boy commodities market, not this wimpy intrade office-pool market.

But REALLY now? You are hanging your hat on new voter registrations in NC in the last what, 30 days? Where a crucial Dem primary is about to take place, and where Operation Chaos operatives are at work? Now THAT's worth betting on.

Buzz off, small fry.

Kill the terrorists
Protect the borders
Punch the hippies -- Frank J

to you and your fellow SD Dems. I'm sorry that you guys were unable to successfully steal an election from John Thune for the second consecutive time. Especially because Puff Dashle's fall was so much more damaging than Tim johnson's.

Bummer, that.

Kill the terrorists
Protect the borders
Punch the hippies -- Frank J

There is nothing small about intrade, there is volume there to support bets >$300,000 on the US Election. In fact the 2008 election contract has better liquidity than the vast majority of NYMEX or CBOT traded contracts. The many thousands who are putting their money directly where their mouths are. The conclusion of the market is that McCain will probably lose.

The commodities market is a roundabout way to bet on an election when you can actually just bet directly on the election. Is McCain winning good for pork bellies? A bearish sign for copper? Will a 60-dem majority in the Senate finally end the potash boom?

As for the South Dakota taunting.... I've never stepped foot in the state.

I live in sunny San Diego, California. hehe

...to win the nomination. They also gave Hillary HUGE odds of winning the nomination just a few months ago.

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

OK, the SD thing is cute. Who knew? Are you perchance in Duncan Hunter's congressional district? If so, at least I can rest easier at night knowing that you are as well-taken care of in a consgressional sense as it's possible to be, since you are in one bitchingly bad way in Arnold's FunTime Statehouse. (and by the way, please don't blame that sad financial situation on Republicans - Arnold is the quintessential RINO, and the Dems have been working for a generation to drive all profitable business out of the state)

Dude, you have your fun in Intrade. It's cute that you've heard of CBOT and NYMEX (Google ROCKS, doesn't it?). But move along, move along, save the real trading for the players. Your ramblings stray into the broad vicinity of the truth, but I don't feel like explaining how one plays futures market for a GOP win (let's just say that food items and metals are not the only game in town though). But the payoff is a good bit bigger than 50%, which is what your 3-2 pans out to be. And not to be mysterious and all, but the exposure is a good bit LESS too. That's why I don't bother with candy-a## stuff like Intrade. Might as well bet ponies if I want to just play straight odds.

Kill the terrorists
Protect the borders
Punch the hippies -- Frank J

I understand that you might have felt the largely inner-directed need to immediately show your support for Senator Obama, but that's no reason to get sloppy.

The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!

I was replying to both Pejman and the first comment. IN the future I will use two replies rather than one, and in the proper place.

Another liberal who is either willfully lying or simply making up ignorant blather. As always.

Kind of interesting how I JUST 35 SECONDS AGO checked my Intrade account and McCain is at 39.7% to win the Presidency, and Barack Obams is at 42.3%..

Did you really think we are going to let a lib troll come on here and make things up?

"Small town folks get bitter after which they cling to guns or religion, or antipathy to people who aren't like them, or anti-immigrant sentiment, or anti-trade sentiment."

Kill the terrorists
Protect the borders
Punch the hippies -- Frank J

Well first I am not a liberal, if you want to know why I recently became a Democrat (around 2004) you can read this article, which I am mostly in agreement with:
http://www.amconmag.com/2008/2008_03_24/article.html

Also I did not say that the Obama contract is a 3:2 favorite, but specifically said the dem-2008 contract. Right now it is 59.8 for the dem contract/39.8 for the GOP contract.

You can't see it on the front page, but click on the politics tab on the left hand of the screen, then click 2008 US election, then "2008 presidential election winner (political party)."

n/t

"People died on her watch. / 911 happened on her watch. /
She failed in her duty to protect this nation. /
And for that...she got promoted. The peter principle hard at work
and now people are suggesting her for VP??"
MrSyHastings

It mixes in the proper amount of conservative platitudes (skewed, though), correctly identifies a number of areas where Bush has failed conservatism, and also does a decent job of identifying areas in which McCain is likely to similarly fail conservatism.

But then it makes the fantastic leap that somehow O-freaking-bama will do better for conservatism. Mmm, hmmm. Just as one example, I bet if Obama is elected, at least 3 lefty Supremes will retire and be replaced with 3 younger ones who will but conservative governance out of reach for 30 years.

You do what you want to do, and be what you want to be. But if you are actually a conservative, and you actually use THAT article as your logic for 'going Democrat', then you are a fool. I suspect you are anything but a conservative.

Kill the terrorists
Protect the borders
Punch the hippies -- Frank J