Redstate

While it could certainly change, I think the polls there are absolutely accurate.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/sc/south_carolina...

Fred is going to be living there until the primary. It is almost a must win for McCain. Both of those two are going to have to attack Huck hard, they can't sit back and watch as Mitt and Huck attack each other. Fred will hit Huck from the right on taxes, foreign policy, pardons, and immigration. McCain will hit Huck from the right on spending, Iraq, and experience. Ultimately, he's not going to have a reliable base of gullible class warfare eating evangelicals to carry him like he did in Iowa. I don't expect those numbers to hold up.

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

I just think Huckabee has a much better shot at SC voters than Fred does. I expect him to do no better than third there, and now Romney's desperate, so he'll dump massive cash in the race.

As for McCain: He has the best organization in the state, by far. A win here would be huge for him. He's the one Huckabee has to worry about. But I still think Huck walks to a significant victory barring some miraculous shifts.

I hope he does, but I also wanted Steve Forbes to do better in 96. McCain will not do better than 3rd in South Carolina---Immigration is a big issue there.

I am looking forward to voting for Fred in Michigan.

That this was really just viewed as a two-person race on both sides.

Which makes Obama's loss even more of a shocker.

Clinton 89,095
Obama 82,397
Edwards 38,177
Richardson 10,397
Kucinich 3,045
Biden 513
Gravel 317
Dodd 156

Total (D): 224,097

Republicans

McCain 69,476
Romney 60,113
Huckabee 20,804
Giuliani 16,304
Paul 14,503
Thompson 2,275
Hunter 948

Total Republicans: 184,423

"Don't ever be afraid to see what you see." ~Ronald Reagan

Please forgive my lazy speculation :o)

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230,000 Republicans. Actually a good sign considering NH is hardly a Republican stronghold.

NH is one of the most "republican" states in the country by registration. And it went for Bush in 2000. It's a perfect swing state. So while it's not as bad as the IA turnout difference, that's still not a good sign for November. But it could be worse, I guess.

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