Dem Whip says positive report from Petraeus would split Dem caucus
Congressional Dems might not be able to prevent victory
By Mark Kilmer Posted in War — Comments (51) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
A positive report from General David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker this September could split the Dem caucus. So says House Dem whip James Clyburn (D-SC), as reported by the WashPost's Dan Balz and Washingtonpost.com's Chris Cillizza.
Clyburn, in an interview with the washingtonpost.com video program PostTalk, said Democrats might be wise to wait for the Petraeus report, scheduled to be delivered in September, before charting next steps in their year-long struggle with President Bush over the direction of U.S. strategy.
Clyburn noted that Petraeus carries significant weight among the 47 members of the Blue Dog caucus in the House, a group of moderate to conservative Democrats. Without their support, he said, Democratic leaders would find it virtually impossible to pass legislation setting a timetable for withdrawal.
"I think there would be enough support in that group to want to stay the course and if the Republicans were to stay united as they have been, then it would be a problem for us," Clyburn said. "We, by and large, would be wise to wait on the report."
That's not what Nancy wants to hear. It's not what Okinawa Murtha wants piped into his padded cell. The Dem Presidential wannabes aren't going to like it, but if the rational wing of the Democratic Party would rather complete our mission successfully than humiliate President Bush at the expense of our national security, then the anti-Bush/war/GOP "GET OUT NOW!" caucus has a problem. The lefty base will have a problem and may, in a tantrum, withhold funds… but I'm getting ahead of myself.
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Clyburn says, in a washingtonpost.com video program PostTalk interview, that he can see the Democrats vote an Iraq war funding measure without the timetable beloved of the left.
But he said he could just as easily see Democrats continue to include a timetable.
But if the report is good, the timetable would have trouble passing out of the Senate. And either way, it could be a timetable with no teeth. Either way, there is the veto pen.
What the Democrats should be doing now, since it is all politics to them, is concoct a face-saving strategy if the report is good. They can say that while the report offers some hope and the House did vote to go forward again without the timetable, the reprieve will be short lived and Bush is on a short leash.
The good news is that if the report proves to be positive, and events have been heartening with the surge so far, the Congressional Democrat hardcore won't be able to prevent our soldiers from doing their job and bringing freedom to Iraq.
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Dem Whip says positive report from Petraeus would split Dem caucus 51 Comments (0 topical, 51 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
Pelosi owes her speakership to convincing about 30 Republican leaning districts to vote for faux-conservative democrats, and now she's got to force them to vote San-Fran values or lose to Cindy "professional mourning Mom" Sheehan.
Life's a (female dog).
I'd enjoy the politics of it all if the future of the free world wasn't at stake.
but the idea of any of the Democrats supporting any action of the troops in either Afghanistan or Iraq would be a major mistake. Get real, the Democrats want to lose this war (just to defeat Bush), so anything they say is just propaganda.... Really, do you Republicans actually believe anything that the Demo's say...? I hope not...
Formally known as Deagle... "Golf is a way of life..."
they must get re-elected in 08 and if they vote to defund our troops just as the General says we are stabilizing the region they will lose their majority as quickly as they won it. I do believe them when they know their tails are on the line, they are nothing if not politically expedient.
Remember that when the dems run left, the lose big time. They know that, and that is why I am hopeful that they will cut their nose off, collectively, to spite their faces, over Iraq. I doubt that many will - I sense a bit of 'resignment' in many moderate dems comments these days (maybe many are finally realizing it is 2007 and not 2008).
The pandering to the far-left wing has left them in a quandary, keep pandering or finally start acting like legislative 'icons' they wish to portray themselves as, at least to their home constituency. Some, in safe districts such as Jack Murtha, will continue doing his thing - but as the election of '08 comes within a year (gosh, it is still over a year away) you will probably see more and more on the left get a little more middle ground.
I wish they would not do that, as I would rather see us conservatives take the majority again. But, I would settle for a Republican president, if we can get the right guy to run (hint, hint, Fred).
and will continue to vote their absurd priority. I wish it were not so...
Formally known as Deagle... "Golf is a way of life..."
There are 40 Blue Dogs at least. Kill off 1/2 the Blue Dogs and the Democratic congressional majority in the HOR goes the way of Bad Newz Kennels.
"Scott Thomas" - The New Republic's Winter Soldier
They're running the most ethical Congress in history.
Can be quite high. Just because they have sold off their morals to fight for defeat doesn't mean they got something of long term value for trade.
This war is not yet done.
The thing the dhimmies have to remember is that militarily we have not actually lost anything, and the enemy, while winning in the US, has lost a great deal on every front.
I was the one who emailed you about Murtha's "redeployment" to Japan in one of his mindless ranting on the talking head shows. I love that you you put that "okinawa" tag on him all the time. I smile every time I see it. I still remember when he said it and thinking that this guy is out of his mind.
Sounds like some demoncrats are hearing small rumblings of victory through their cacophany of defeat. I guess in their warped view sometimes it really sucks to win.
The longer we dwell on our misfortunes the greater is their power to harm us - Voltaire
A problem! if Petraeus reports solid progress in Iraq.
Nope, there's no lack of patriotism in the Democratic Caucus.
"My heart was here...I feel like I have unfinished business here." - Roy Hibbert
Mark,
You talk about the splitting effect of the September report showing military progress in Iraq will have on Democrats, but what will it do to Republicans? You ignore the other part of the report that will come in, the reports of an absolute failure of the Iraqi Government to make progress on the political front, the outright corrupt nature of Iraqi government officials and the continued civil war of sectarian violence?
What will the effect be on the American voter when the President stands up and says he has to extend the support until next year to do what? Give the Iraqi government more time to fail some more. What rock do you give Republican elected officials to stand on as the tide of opinion turns increasingly against the President?
I think only the hardest of hard core leftie does not realize that American troops are the best equipped, best trained and most effective force on the planet right now. They can take, hold and pacify territory at some price in lives and dollars. The report in September will prove that. But if that force is propping up an incompetent, and corrupt government in Iraq, what sort of support do you think the American people are going to show for backing a looser?
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None of the Above !
SteveLA,
The US Military has been in Korea for 57 years. Not only was there no "political solution" between the Koreas, there was never any peace treaty signed. As long as US troops can establish security there and US and Iraqi casualties can be drastically reduced, support for the war will rise enough to put far more pressure on the Democrats than on the Republicans.
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"The person who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself"
-John Stuart Mill
dark
You are comparing apples and oranges here.
The Korean war was fought against an aggressor nation state backed by another and ready to start fighting again at the drop of a hat. The South Korean government and their forces were and are first class and committed to Democracy. You try to equate a people who were willing to fight for freedom in Korea to a people who are stuck in the 14th Century and willing to fight over a goat stolen 5 generations ago. I ask you in turn, where is the nation state we are fighting against, and if we are fighting Iran and Syria, why are we not sealing the border to those countries and bombing the cr** out of their ability to interfere in Iraq?
In Iraq we are not fighting against a nation state, we are fighting an insurgent force, backed on the sly by nation states who we refuse to go after. We are not being supported in this effort by an effective Iraqi army or an Iraqi government that is worth a warm bucket of spit. We are not being supported as we were in Korea by a United Nations force made up of other nations armies.
Let's not even talk about South Koreans fighting fellow South Koreans because one is a Buddhist and another is a Roman Catholic or other tribal and sectarian violence such as is going on in Iraq.
I'm not buying your argument because it fails the logic test, the reality test and the horse manure smell test.
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None of the Above !
SteveLA,
Remember, if Bush can regain the full support of the conservative base his support will probably break 40%. As far as he and I am concerned thats all he needs. And remember, the disadvantage that the Dems have going into '08 is that they have to defend CONSERVATIVE districts that voted for Bush twice. If there is any hint that progress is being made moderate Democrats will be more afraid than RINO republicans.
Lets not forget it took six months for the Democratic causus to vote nearly unanimous on an antiwar bill. Despite all the faux-machismo from Murtha et al, the Democratic base is far shakier.
It is for this reason that I say Bush has the advantage. He doesnt have to convince Dems or Independents. He only needs to win back the 25% of the Republican Base that has only begun to go wobby on the war. If our soldiers succeed, and the war settles down its game, set, and match.
Dont take my word for it! READ THE ARTICLE.Remember this thread is centered around a WashingtonPost article which quotes a High Ranking Democratic leader saying that a positive Report would be "a very big problem for us" (By the way can we call the Dems Traitors Now?)
I know its hard to hear SteveLA, but as the great Lawrence Fishburn said: "I DIDNT SAY IT WOULD BE EASY NEO, I JUST SAID IT WOULD BE THE TRUTH" :)
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"The person who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself."
-John Stuart Mill
As a moderator, I get very cranky when I see pejorative statements that can be extended to include my mother.
Moe
PS: When it comes to words like "traitor" - yes, actually, you want to be as precise and specific as you possibly can. Treason can get people shot.
The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!
No offense meant. But apparently it can get you on the democratic presidential ticket or extend a movie career.
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"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777
SteveLA,
The fact that we are fighting an insurgency and that we fought a nation in 1950 has nothing to do with the American people's tolerance for an extended deployment of troops. As long as casualties are being kept to a minimum, then the Anti-War movement will run out of rhetorical ammunition, and will become irrelevant (as it should be).
The nature of our opponent will have no effect on the American peoples perception that the US Military is finally taking these jihadists out to the woodshed.
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"The person who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself"
-John Stuart MIll
It comes down to why do we as a nation fight?
Is it because the President says so? Keep the "evil doers" there not here?
Because of our vital interests?
To help support fledgling Democracies ?
In Iraq we are winning the war in military terms, but the political side as far as the Iraqi government go is a failure. You ether believe that the Iraqis are getting better at Democracy, they aren't and won't any time soon, or we need to change the relationship.
I don't believe the Iraqi government is destined to succeed in it s current configuration.
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None of the Above !
the political side as far as the Iraqi government go is a failure. You ether believe that the Iraqis are getting better at Democracy, they aren't and won't any time soon, or we need to change the relationship.
I don't believe the Iraqi government is destined to succeed in it s current configuration.
The Articles of Confederation wasn't a particularly good constitution either. It's a good think Marquis Lafayette's troops weren't pulled from Yorktown over concerns that the original 13 colonies couldn't manage a good, Democratic government 5 Years! after they started their rebellion.
"Scott Thomas" - The New Republic's Winter Soldier
were not here to create a democracy. They were serving their own interests by opposing England AFTER we proved our mettle in battle.
In contrast, our own further interests in Iraq are less than clear, and we're throwing gifts at an Iraqi government with no great track record, to say the least.
The public won't support either the current level of casualties or the current spending of 12 Billion Dollars a Month.
It's repeatedly stated that this is a cheap war, historically speaking. But the same champions of this bargain war still are able to recognize that TWELVE BILLION DOLLARS/MONTHLY would be a lot of money if it were spent at home. We'd call it 'PORK' and launch a real war on whomever was proposing such expenditures.
Sooner or later the bill will come due if we surrender in the middle east. We can pay it now or pay it in dollars and lives later. If we pay later the bill collector will be a jihadist. I can't believe you prefer that option.
It will be tough, but if the US Military turns this thing around just as the democrats are showing their true traitor colors, then it will be 16 years before another democrat is elected President. You'd better hope you are not on the wrong side of history. Democrat will pay a heavier price for their treasonous activity if the war goes well than Republicans will if the war goes badly.
The Left is guilty of Treason and Bush of Incompetence. Guess which one the American people will say is worse?
I guess we'll see how September goes. :)
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"The person who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself.
-John Stuart Mill
What we're discussing here is that what was a republican disadvantage is now a Democrat disvantage -- namely the success/failure of the surge. The Dems placed all their eggs -- Presidential candidates, legislation, rhetoric -- in the failure basket. If the surge fails, they win.
But what if -- as we have been saying for months here and as the MSM is finally beginning to report -- the surge succeeds? Then it is the Dems who are in an untenable position, having surrendered all claim to victory and success in Iraq. They will be sidelined for many years to come as we continue to fight the war on terror.
the Democrat Political leaders and the anti Bush crowd in the Republican party. I've never seen so many posters that are worried about the Iraqis and American military winning.
question that the surge would accomplish something. Our military is good.
It just won't acomplish "winning" as we've defined the mission - because that mission includes the Iraqis jumping through the political hoops we've set up for them. They aren't much interested, and I can't really blame them for it, considering how bad their government is.
If we're there for our own interests, we should accomplish our goals regardless of what Iraqis do or want. Political benchmarks are either silly, or the equivalent of making a welfare recipient go to a job fair. The latter implies we're running the armed forces as a charity, which ought not be acceptable.
Compared to what?
Why is it so important to make sure the terrorists get the help and support they need in getting rid of the Iraqi government?
talk about our efforts to work with the Iraqi militias to keep peace. We can get them to co-operate with us, which I think is great in the sense that this gives a bsais for local government. But we can't get them to swear an oath to the Iraqi Constitution or government. Considering the government is playing favorites between Shiites and Sunnis, that's understandable.
I'm all for taking out Al Qaeda, who is our enemy. I'm much, much less interested in forcibly unifying Iraqis under the current government. And yes, there are militants who aren't Al Qaeda.
Please tell me that my choice isn't between "incompetence and treason." I doubt that a majority of the American voters will consider your polarized view of things to represent their reality. All Republicans are not incompetent. All Democrats are not traitors.
The Post reported that Clyburn fears the Dems will split if Petraeus gave a positve report; they didn't mention Crocker's part of the report. (I tossed that in, which was sloppy of me.)
The question seems to be about Petraeus's part of it, with the assumption that political progress will be possible in a cooler climate. On CNN's Late Edition a few weekends ago, an Iraqi VP promised something before the September deadline which would convince the Americans of the Iraqis' seriousness. He had a twinkle in his eye. I'm optimistic that these folks, on the cusp of breakthroughs, can return refreshed and ready to get some work done.
I'm reminded that it was hot in Philadelphia, summer of 1787, but General Washington and the boys didn't have to deal with violence raging on South Street.
To see this as an opening for John McCain?
(yeah, I thought so.)
SteveLA...good comments..paragraphs 2 and 3. A successful surge will not be enough to restore Bush's reputation, and the Republican Party, is going to be hit hard, if it doesn't distance itself from the current Iraq policy. Our armed forces cannot solve the political problems.
There will always be some excuse to stay longer. Some neocons want to stay in Iraq indefinitely, and compare it with our occupation of Germany, Japan, and Korea. The American public isn't going to buy it. A timetable is needed to pressure the Iraqi Government, and it is coming.
That has to be the most leftwing statement ever, neo conservatives do not want to stay anywhere indefinately they want to crush the opposition and define the war as a winner and come home because anything less is defeat and the jihadist's will be coming home with us....and my question to you is why shouldn't this conflict be compared to Korea or Germany or Japan? and this American gets the comparison perhaps you don't however do not paint the American public with one broad brush. The MSM has set this stage for failure right along with the Leftist Democrats and if the news is good in September and Democrats still vote for defeat they will once again be on the wrong side of military history as has been their m.o. for their party and this American will spend the entire election making sure everyone in her earshot knows it. I would also add a timetable for public consumption is not necessary, certainly timetables can be set however they should be for military and defense eyes and ears not for the jihadist's to know "loose lips sink ships"
We're going to be dealing with Islamist terrorism for at least the next twenty years*. A stable, democratic and free Iraq will make life nigh-infinitely easier for us. I expect that, as things stabilize there, we'll draw down our European presence even further, base the infrastructure that we'll need for sustained counter-intelligence and counter-terrorism operations in Iraq and bring the bulk of the troops back to the US. We'll probably keep some presence in the country (cycling Marine and Army units through there on a regular basis), plus of course the Air Force. Nothing encourages a good neighbor policy like having the US Air Force next door.
Moving ahead: Iran concerns me, but the various 'Stans worry me. We have some idea of what's going on in Iran, and we can see the limitations that the regime there is under, and we know that they are not quite powerful enough to fend us off. The old pieces of the Soviet Union are more problematic, particularly if the Russians decide that they're tired of their current maps, and want an excuse to issue bright new ones.
Then again, I am one of those dastardly neocons, and thus am clearly a delusional fool.
Moe
The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!
*A significant portion of that will be under a Democratic administration.
Couldn't have said it better. Especially the part about drawing down forces in Europe.
You are not the R/S king addressing one of your subjects, or the zampolit keeping everybody on the "party line."
You are entitled to disagree with me. But, your "blah blah" comments are intended to offend.
Some regular posters have a familiar modus operandi. Try to intimidate or bully someone if they post a comment that they don't like. This doesn't work in politics, or real life.
I will continue to post comments with or without your royal seal of approval.
before a stable government is in place offends, because it provides encouragement to the terrorists that they can win. Support America, not the terrorists.
because a debate means letting both sides talk.
BTW, what's a stable government? Israel arguably hasn't had one since at least the 1967 war. I think we've better things to do with our military for the next 40 years.
Maintaining a military base in the area is such a good idea, I agree we shouldn't leave entirely. But there are intermediate positions between leaving entirely, and staying in such force. It seems silly to choose our position based on what the Iraqi government does or does not do.
Americans support the terrorists that were killing American Soldiers in Vietnam. It's even worse now, seeing Americans support the goals of the terrorists for no reason whatsoever.
The time for debate is before American soldiers are committed to battle, not afterwards.
as a voter. You've an obligation to help govern our country well. That may include withdrawing soldiers from a cause no longer worth the battle. Not every war must end in unconditional surrender. (Of course, calling the occupation a war in the first place is a severe stretch.)
You're entitled to your own opinion on the merits of the occupation, and to express them. Trying to cut off debate is another matter.
As someone wrote above:
"Remember this thread is centered around a WashingtonPost article"
and then there was yesterday's glowing appreciation for the NYTimes' OpEd with support for The Surge.
So despite a general distrust of these two sources, it's good to see that we can put aside our skepticism, atleast when they're telling us what we want to hear.
Just because we are willing to acknowledge that they don't outright lie every single time doesn't mean we trust them. If we didn't have verifiable information from other sources, we'd doubt these articles as well.
It's one of the reasons I don't watch the main dogs, or read the AP articles. I only have so many hours in my day, and I'm not going to waste them on sources that I can't trust to at least try to get it right. They have an agenda, and they are willing to suppress any information that doesn't fit it. The fact that they didn't in this case doesn't mean that they won't the next time.
I meant what I said and I said what I meant. An elephant's faithful 100 percent.
Given the MSM's history of "fake but accurate" reporting targeting the right, the only time we know they are not lying is when they draft an article that doesn't help leftists.
Such as an article where the Democratic whip says that US success on the battle field would be a "very big problem" for them(That is the most disgusting statement I have ever heard).
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"The person who has nothing for which he is willing to fight, nothing which is more important than his own personal safety, is a miserable creature and has no chance of being free unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself."
-John Stuart Mill
"the only time we know they are not lying is when they draft an article that doesn't help leftists."
But how did this TRUTH slip past the MSM censors? Or is it some sort of setup? Will they follow this with some devastatingly contradictory 'truth'?
This is the problem with destroying the credibility of a source. It's hard to use that same source thereafter. Well, it just seems hypocritical.
to make sure that I never vote for people who will not defend their country. The cause may not be worth the battle to you but that that does mean it is not worth it to America.
For two years we have been saying that the liberals would rather lose in Iraq than lose an election in America.
This pretty much confirms the fact that the quislings are alive and well- and just as traitorous as ever.
United States Air Force
http://airforcepundit.blogspot.com
It's time to change what we call the MSM. Calling it main stream gives it too much credibility. It should be called the OSM (Old School Media). Hopefully it will continue to go out of style.
Ask not what you can do for your country, ask what your country can do for you. Washington Elected Elite
My theory is, that since the Dems all went out on a limb, to say the War was a lost cause, they need to control the discussion on Iraq in the electronic media.
And this is the real reason, MoveOn.org and their cronies are putting pressure on Fox News to conform to the party line or lose their advertisers.
What ever happened to freedom of the press.

wooooffffffffffff...........