Hillary Clinton in Trouble (No, seriously. We mean it.)

By Leon H Wolf Posted in Comments (13) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

The evidence is piling up so high against the junior Senator from New York these days that it's hard to imagine that even the queen of Teflon will be able to escape unscathed. A sure sign of cracks in the dam is that not only are the blogosphere and traditionally right-wing media outlets beginning to pick up the scent of trouble, some MSM media outlets are beginning to cautiously wade into the muck that is the David Rosen scandal.

It's fitting, at least within the context of this soupy metaphor, that a Louisiana paper (the Times-Picayune) should be the first print newspaper (that I've seen) to obtain a copy of a partial transcript of a secretly tape recorded conversation between David Rosen and Democratic operative Ray Reggie, who, unbeknownst to Rosen, was working with the FBI. From the Times-Picayune article:



A partial transcript of the Sept. 4, 2002, tape obtained by The Times-Picayune captures a conversation rife with gossip about the seamy side of political life, including the sex, drugs and prostitutes enjoyed by big-name Democratic stalwarts. But in due course Reggie deftly steers the conversation toward the feds' main interest: an August 2000 Hollywood fund-raiser for New York Sen. Hillary Clinton that is at the center of Rosen's alleged crimes.

In a detailed discussion of the event, Rosen acknowledges that the gala probably cost far more to produce than he reported on federal campaign forms, a criminal offense and the central question at issue in the case.

The article also pretty clearly spells out the fact that the government is building an elaborate case that has Mr. Rosen in trouble, and rests veyr little on the testimony of the tarnished Peter Paul:



But a recent filing by prosecutors indicates their case doesn't rest entirely on Reggie's shoulders. The government has lined up several other witnesses who will testify Rosen was aware the event cost far more than his reports indicated, the brief says.

Rosen "became increasingly panicked as the costs began to spiral out of control," the motion says. "On some occasions, when news of yet another cost was revealed to him, the defendant literally threw up his hands and announced that 'I did not just hear that;' 'don't tell me that again;' and that he did not want the subject discussed around him again."

The brief adds that Rosen directed one witness, who is not identified, to "take thousands of dollars of line items" off a campaign report about the event's costs.

It also says Rosen told a "confidante" that there was "no way" he could truthfully report the gala's costs. The motion says Rosen later told the confidante that if questioned, he would blame the errors on Paul and Aaron Tonken, another organizer.

If Rosen goes down, and it looks increasingly certain that he will, it will be extraordinarily interesting to see if he will play the Susan MacDougal of this particular scandal, and take a bullet for Senator Clinton. It seems, from some portions of the transcript, that his opinion of the Clintons right now is so low that his willingness to face jail time for refusal to co-operate with a prosecution seems highly unlikely:



In the transcribed conversation with Reggie, Rosen says his defense in the civil case was being coordinated with lawyers for the Clintons, and he expresses concern that this might not be in his best interests.

"The former White House wanted to hire, or argue the case in a certain way," Rosen says in the transcript. "And I did it for them. Like, I bit the bullet and went in as a guinea pig, and argued their argument for me. Instead of frettin' and runnin' and coverin' my ass, I was a good soldier. . . . So far it's worked out, but I coulda done it a lot different."

And further:



The chitchat ranges from speculation that a wealthy Clinton donor was using cocaine to lusty remarks by Rosen about the donor's young daughter. Rosen does not hesitate to disparage President Clinton, noting that he began calling regularly -- once a week -- after Rosen went to work for Hillary Clinton. "Go screw yourself , Mr. President," Rosen says, pretending to pick up one such call.

The salaciousness reaches its pinnacle with Rosen's rambling anecdote about a fat cat Clinton donor who said after a night of partying that he sent prostitutes to the hotel rooms of two top Clinton loyalists.

"So the next day, (one of the loyalists) calls (the donor) from the golf course with Clinton," Rosen told Reggie. "Clinton gets on the phone, he goes, I just wanna tell you something. . . . The day I'm outta office, I'm going out with you."

Bob! Get on the phone and hold that order for 500 Hillary '08 stickers! Do it quick!

I heard some guy on the radio talking about this story, and I even went to www.hillcap.org and glanced around. But I am still trying to figure out how this sticks to Hillary.

Can you boil this down for me?

Is the idea that David Rosen could flip and say that she personally directed him to underreport the cost of the fund raiser? What if he holds his mud? Is she clear as long as he does?

Gala pay goes by Robert A. Hahn

A rising chorus of questions continue to dog the embattled Mrs. Clinton as reports multiply concerning fraudulent reports allegedly filed by her 2000 Senate campaign.

What did Hillary know, and when did she know it?

The Clinton campaign's finance director, David Rosen, goes on trial this week in Los Angeles, where he faces up to fifteen years in prison for fraudulently understating the costs of a gala Hollywood fundraiser co-hosted by thrice-convicted felon Peter F. Paul and his wife, Andrea.

Mrs. Clinton, whose campaign has denied taking any contribution from the pair, was captured shooting daggers out of her eyes at Mrs. Paul in a photograph published on the web here.

The photograph of Mrs. Clinton shooting daggers out of her eyes at Mr. Paul, at another fund-raiser hosted by the Pauls at the posh Hollywood eatery Spago, can be seen at the bottom of the page here.

The dreaded "gate-word"

As Mrs. Clinton's troubles deepened, columnist Will Malvin coined the term "Galagate" to describe the growing scandal, adding yet another "gate" word to the Clinton legacy which already includes "Filegate," "Monicagate," "Travelgate," "IRSgate," and "Pardongate." The addition of the 'gate' suffix alerts the public that a scandal is brewing, and that the Clintons are trying to get out of another piece of messy business in which people are going to jail left and right all around them, while they pleaed innocence and ignorance of the whole thing.

More on the Way

Mr. Paul's civil lawsuit against the Clintons and Hillary Clinton's Senate campaign organizations is now set for trial, following rejection of appeals by the California Supreme Court of Clinton attorney David Kendall's motions to have the case thrown out. That case is now ripe for discovery, permitting Mr. Paul to subpoena Mrs. Clinton's correspondence from the voluminous files seized by the FBI from Mr. Rosen's residence following his arrest.

Oto desu

In a related development, photographs have surfaced of Mr. Tendo Oto, a Japanese national, seated directly behind Mr. and Mrs. Clinton at the Hollywood Gala event, at what Mr. Paul has referred to as "garrot distance from the President of the United States." Since the Secret Service would never have cleared such an individual to even enter the building, let alone sit behind the president, questions immediately arose as to whether the Clintons themselves intervened on his behalf.

Records show that Mr. Oto paid $27,000 to attend the event. Contributions from foreign nationals are prohibited, so question have started to swirl, dog, and bark at Mrs. Clinton concerning whether her campaign accepted, and failed to report, a contribution from a foreign national.

60 Minutes of Silence by Robert A. Hahn

What would you say if I told you that Mike Wallace of CBS News has known for months that Mrs. Clinton herself negotiated the price with the producer of the event, and that this amount was by itself far larger than the $354K her campaign reported.

I don't know by TheJeff

I don't know what I would say if you said such a thing. Are you saying it? Couldn't Hillary then argue "hey, I negotiated a price of $345k with so and so. I can't be held accountable if someone else caused budget overruns".

Even still, these technical violations leave me flat. The whole thing (that is, the world of campaign finance regulations) is a hopelessly tangled web of absurdity.

The fun is just starting by Robert A. Hahn
    Couldn't Hillary then argue "hey, I negotiated a price of $345k with so and so.

Not without being contradicted by multiple witnesses. If she said $800K or so, she could avoid that. But then she'd be admitting that she knew it cost at least $800K, and not the $345 she reported. That was just the producer's fee anyway. That didn't count the performers, the stage, the guys that work the stage, the sound, the lights, etc.

    Even still, these technical violations leave me flat. The whole thing (that is, the world of campaign finance regulations) is a hopelessly tangled web of absurdity.

I agree. That's why I think the campaign's reports to the IRS will have more impact. People understand under-reporting income to the IRS. This FEC stuff leaves them cold.

Doesn't leave the courts cold, though. Rosen can go to jail here, even if it leaves you flat. If it can be shown that Hillary knew how much it cost, she could go to jail, too. Let's hope nothing happens to Mike Wallace.

A contrary view by yclipse

Am I the first to think this, or only the first to say it? This will be a big yawn to the American people. The total cost of a fundraiser was underreported? This is what you think will generate a scandal that will neutralize Hillary Clinton? I don't think so. And I'm surely not a fan.

It's all about sex by Robert A. Hahn

You don't get it. This will not play out in the media. This will play out in courtrooms. There will be indictments; trials. People will go to jail.

The media cannot protect the Clintons from what's going to happen here. It's not a popularity contest.

However, Joel's comment here might be applicable.  If the media or just the right-of-center blogosphere starts refering to her as the "embattled" Senator from NY.  Or sentences begin, "Senator Clinton, who has yet to resign, ..."

These things have a funny way of getting out of hands when you least expect it.

You are right.

I wish people would stop trying to beat the Clintons through scandals. Even if you accept everything from the Clinton era as true (Whitewater, travelgate, Ron Brown, Vince Foster, Monica, etc, etc, etc) apparently the American people aren't buying it.

If you want to defeat Hillary, then produce better candidates with better ideas. If you can't do that, then don't expect to beat her with charges like this.

FWIW, I hope she doesn't run. The country needs to get past the Bush/Clinton era. At the end of the current term, we will have had 20 consecutive years where the President came from one of two families. Time to get some fresh people into the mix.

No votes by Robert A. Hahn
    I wish people would stop trying to beat the Clintons through scandals.

We don't get to vote on it. Any citizen, even a convicted felon, may seek to have his grievances adjudicated in our courts. When these grievances involve prominent politicians or celebrities, they will generate news coverage; not much we can do about that.

Paul v Clinton has been meandering through the California courts for years. David Kendall has apparently hit a brick wall in his efforts to perpetually delay the case, and Mr. Paul has in the meantime arranged for different, and hopefully better, representation.

So the case is once again moving forward and the discovery phase is about to begin.

Armed with the power of subpoena that comes with discovery, Mr. Paul becomes a very dangerous man to Hillary Clinton. He knows where there are many skeletons, and he even knows some of the skeletons personally. He knows who else was there when certain things were said. He remembers who had the video camera out when this or that happened. And he has more than a few pictures, cancelled checks, and videos of his own. In fact were we inclined to conspiracy theorizing, we would worry that he might begin to engage in Arkancidal ideation, and perhaps act on those ideas.

I don't think this is going to be the usual Clinton scandal. For one thing, it's going to be a fairly quiet scandal. Most of the next year will be taken up with various (and boring) motions and counter-motions as the two sides jockey for position. "Well, nothing came of that" will, I am sure, become a common perception.

But there are 'smoking guns' here. I think you will be surprised. It will take time — more than a year — for them to come out at the glacial pace at which courts operate. But come they will.

At the end, the Justice Department will have sufficient slam-dunk evidence that they may indict Hillary Clinton for fraud without fear of being charged with a political prosecution. Like Rostenkowski and Traficant, she will be caught in a snare of her own making; one so clear-cut that only the most rabid partisans will complain when she is arrested and charged.

The Smartest Woman In The World® screwed up big-time here. There are too many paper records, too many witnesses, in too many places, for her to get out of this. It took a lot of people, and a lot of money, to put on the Clinton Gala. It all left a lot of tracks. And, she got a little out of her league and started playing with people who have their own favors in life and do not need the ones that she might grant. That was a mistake.

interesting by balletshooz

the article itself says there is no evidence tying hillary to the scandal.  so why exactly is this relevant?

Reeding comprehenshun by Robert A. Hahn
    the article itself says there is no evidence tying hillary to the scandal

The article itself says nothing of the kind. so why are you trying to sell us this?

ok, what is it?

i didnt think so.

 
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