Mathematical breakdown behind Gingrich’s troubles in Florida

    Want to know why Newt Gingrich’s campaign is falling apart in Florida? Here are the numbers that tell the story:

    The Sayfie Review conducted a survey of likely Republican voters on January 27, 2012 (the day after the CNN debate in Jacksonville), and got some interesting numbers. The poll was conducted by New Frontier Strategy, a GOP public relations firm.

    The “headline” results for whom voters prefer matches the trends we’ve seen the past few days:

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    A lesson from the Florida Bar Exam for the Presidential candidates

    …My worry centers on what I saw in 2008: John McCain won the primary by basically outlasting the other candidates and secured the nomination without having a majority of the Republican electorate behind him. The problem was exacerbated when the campaign was slow to reach out to the other candidates’ supporters and the conservative base. While Obama’s 2008 campaign (especially combined with the economy) was a juggernaut that was likely unstoppable, McCain’s failure to reach out and bring everyone into the fold was a contributing factor in the fatal lack of enthusiasm that doomed his campaign.

    Now, this year, we have several of the frontrunners either ignoring or taking for granted major sections of Republican voters…

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    Does Emperor Romney Have No Clothes?

    For months, we’ve been hearing that Mitt Romney is the “presumptive Republican nominee.” He’s the permanent frontrunner, the “inevitable” candidate, the polished professional running a machine-like campaign. Each stumble by any other candidate has been viewed as bequeathing benefits to Romney, further forging his armor as the almighty invincible candidate.
    But is Romney really invincible? Is his selection as the Republican nominee for President really inevitable? Or does Emperor Romney have no clothes?

    If you recall the famous Hans Christian Andersen tale, the Emperor parades through the town in a new suit of clothes which are supposedly made out of a magical fabric that is invisible to those who are stupid, incompetent, or unfit for their positions. The townspeople make a great effort to all proclaim how attractive and fine the Emperor’s new clothes are, until a child, too young and naïve to know any better, cries out, “But he isn’t wearing anything at all!”

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    What were you doing in 1994?

    What were you doing in 1994? If you’re old enough to vote, you were alive then. I was at Edgewater High School, in the marching band and German Club. (My nerd credentials run deep). One big highlight from that year was finally convincing my parents to let me get contacts instead of glasses.

    Yes, 1994 was an interesting year. Between Nancy Kerrigan getting clubbed on the leg by a figure skating rival, Kurt Cobain’s suicide, and O.J. Simpson no longer being viewed as just that football player in the Naked Gun movies, it’s amazing anyone managed to remember there was an election.

    And regarding that 1994 election, here’s what some people you may recognize were doing:

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