This election cycle is too complicated to simply make a single prediction, so I’ll start by laying out the three possible scenarios for tomorrow.
Scenario #1 (Pessimistic): Obama wins the national popular vote and over 300 electors
Scenario #2 (Realistic): Obama wins the national popular vote very narrowly but the winner of the electoral college comes down to the outcome of three states
Scenario #3 (Optimistic): McCain wins the national popular vote and the electoral college.
