More good news for Rob Portman
Since I tried to tell Rob Portman his business, and suggested he was emphasizing the wrong issues in his campaign, two polls have come out covering the Ohio Senate race. Both by Rasmussen, the late June poll had Portman up 4, and now Rasmussen’s July poll has Portman up 6. I clearly picked the wrong moment to speak up!
Rasmussen and Gallup generic ballots diverge
Until now, Gallup and Rasmussen Reports have generally pointed in the same direction with their generic ballot polls. If they’ve differed, it’s been in the magnitude. This week, that has changed. How big a difference is it, and what does the Swingometer say about it all? Let’s find out.
Handel alone in first in a messy race
As we cross past midnight in Georgia, it becomes primary election day in that state. So let’s look at one more poll of the Republican side of the Governor’s race. There’s almost certainly going to be a primary runoff, but with three credible candidates and two spots, somebody’s going to be left out when the music stops. According to Mason Dixon the one left out | Read More »
Reid leads, or Mason Dixon understating Angle again?
In the runup to the Nevada GOP primary, Mason-Dixon and the Las Vegas Review-Journal understated Sharron Angle’s support by 8 points, and cut her 14 point win almost in half to 8. Now the pair releases their first post-primary poll. Are they gauging Angle’s support accurately this time?
Help Your Favorite Conservatives this Election
The first half of 2010 may be over, but the struggle for America’s future is just beginning. For 18 months, we have fought against the bailouts, handouts, and takeovers. As national polls and the Democrats’ fear of their own voters show, we are winning the debate. Now it’s time to start winning the elections! Earlier this spring, thanks to your votes, my friend Sean Duffy | Read More »
Rasmussen: road to 51 no longer runs through CA/CT.
People are paying a lot of attention to the House right now, but there’s something interesting going on in the Senate. And in some ways it should worry the Democrats more. Let’s start by taking a look at Rasmussen’s state of the Senate races right now: U.S. Senate Snapshot: Held/Solid Democratic 48 Leans Democratic 1 Toss-Up 9 Leans Republican 3 Held/Solid Republican 39
Getting a Handel on why endorsements are a big Deal
Once again, it looks like endorsements are driving a primary. John Oxendine had taken to the air in Georgia and regained a decent lead (or as decent as you’ll get in a huge multi-way affair*), but now that Newt Gingrich endorsed Nathan Deal and Sarah Palin endorsed Karen Handel, the Ox is back in third.
, Eric Johnson
, John Oxendine
, Karen Handel
, Nathan Deal
, Newt Gingrich
, Rasmussen Reports
, Sarah Palin
Is Rasmussen biased toward the Republicans? Not in California.
Certain critics either say or imply that Rasmussen Reports is skewed toward Republicans, just because this cycle he predicted early that the 2010 electorate would look nothing like that of 2008. But that’s not the same as having a partisan bias, and in fact, comparing the latest Rasmussen poll of the California Senate race with SurveyUSA hints there is no such partisan bias to be | Read More »
Incumbency Matters: The Joseph Cao story
Plug -2.8 into the Swingometer and you’ll see 5 districts swing. Louisiana’s second district was the fifth closest seat won by a Republican in 2008, and that Republican was Joseph Cao. He beat William Jefferson, the now-convicted felon who received bribes and kept the cash hidden in his freezer. By election day Jefferson had already been caught, and the money had already been found. Why | Read More »
, Cedric Richmond
, Congressional Quarterly
, Hotline On Call
, joseph cao
, Market Research Insight
, Verne Kennedy
, William Jefferson
King Samir Shabazz Should Be 2010′s Willie Horton
Moe suggested this yesterday and I am here to say I agree. In 2010, Republicans across the nation should make King Samir Shabazz their 21st century Willie Horton. I know Democrats scream at the top of their lungs that the Willie Horton ads, originally raised by Al Gore by the way, were racist. They and their friends in the media have developed the common narrative | Read More »
Swinging the Rasmussen Generic Ballot
Speaking of the Swingometer, let’s see what it says about Rasmussen’s latest Generic Congressional Ballot released on the 11th.
Rubio battles back
For a while the polling of the Florida Senate race had many people thinking that Charlie Crist, newly minted Independent, was running away with it. I disagreed and assumed his bump in the polls was driven by heavy coverage of his party switch and of his oil spill inspections. Rasmussen’s latest just might bear that out as Marco Rubio takes a fresh lead.
Fiorina also makes it close in California
Following up on yesterday’s Field release which saw Democrats bleeding the Latino vote in California, this poll of the Senate race brings more personal bad news for Barbara Boxer: her job approval ratings have sunk underwater, joining her personal favorability ratings.
Whitman makes it close in California
Before the primary, for a while when Meg Whitman was campaigning and Jerry Brown did not have to, Whitman took a lead in the race for Governor in California. It didn’t last, but the latest Field Poll is good news for her, and not just because it shows her with only a one point deficit.
, Barbara Boxer
, Carly Fiorina
, Field Poll
, Jerry Brown
, Meg Whitman
, Proposition 8
, San Francisco Chronicle
Roy Blunt’s ad campaign begins
MO Congressman Roy Blunt is running for the MO Senate seat currently occupied by Christopher “Kit” Bond, who will be retiring at the end of his current term. I’ve been fairly regular in criticisms of Blunt’s Dem opponent, Robin Carnahan, a typical leftist Obama acolyte. But today we’ll just stick (mostly) to a simple post of the spot that is kicking off Rep. Blunt’s advertising | Read More »