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2010

    Handel alone in first in a messy race

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 20th at 12:30 AM  | 

    As we cross past midnight in Georgia, it becomes primary election day in that state. So let’s look at one more poll of the Republican side of the Governor’s race. There’s almost certainly going to be a primary runoff, but with three credible candidates and two spots, somebody’s going to be left out when the music stops. According to Mason Dixon the one left out | Read More »

    Tags: 2010, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Georgia, Governor, John Oxendine, Karen Handel, Mason Dixon Polling and Research, Nathan Deal

    Reid leads, or Mason Dixon understating Angle again?

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 16th at 11:00 AM  | 

    In the runup to the Nevada GOP primary, Mason-Dixon and the Las Vegas Review-Journal understated Sharron Angle’s support by 8 points, and cut her 14 point win almost in half to 8. Now the pair releases their first post-primary poll. Are they gauging Angle’s support accurately this time?

    Tags: 2010, Daily Kos, Harry Reid, Las Vegas Review-Journal, Mason Dixon Polling and Research, Nevada, Real Clear Politics, Research 2000, Senate, Sharron Angle

    Help Your Favorite Conservatives this Election

    By: Tim Pawlenty (Diary)  |  July 16th at 10:09 AM  | 

    The first half of 2010 may be over, but the struggle for America’s future is just beginning. For 18 months, we have fought against the bailouts, handouts, and takeovers. As national polls and the Democrats’ fear of their own voters show, we are winning the debate. Now it’s time to start winning the elections! Earlier this spring, thanks to your votes, my friend Sean Duffy | Read More »

    Tags: 2010, david obey, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, nikki haley, sean duffy, Susanna Martinez

    Rasmussen: road to 51 no longer runs through CA/CT.

    By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  July 16th at 09:00 AM  | 

    People are paying a lot of attention to the House right now, but there’s something interesting going on in the Senate.  And in some ways it should worry the Democrats more. Let’s start by taking a look at Rasmussen’s state of the Senate races right now: U.S. Senate Snapshot: Held/Solid Democratic 48 Leans Democratic 1 Toss-Up 9 Leans Republican 3 Held/Solid Republican 39

    Tags: 2010, Rasmussen, Senate

    Getting a Handel on why endorsements are a big Deal

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 15th at 11:30 AM  | 

    Once again, it looks like endorsements are driving a primary. John Oxendine had taken to the air in Georgia and regained a decent lead (or as decent as you’ll get in a huge multi-way affair*), but now that Newt Gingrich endorsed Nathan Deal and Sarah Palin endorsed Karen Handel, the Ox is back in third.

    Tags: 2010, ENDORSEMENTS, Eric Johnson, Georgia, Governor, John Oxendine, Karen Handel, Nathan Deal, Newt Gingrich, Rasmussen Reports, Sarah Palin

    Is Rasmussen biased toward the Republicans? Not in California.

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 14th at 03:30 PM  | 

    Certain critics either say or imply that Rasmussen Reports is skewed toward Republicans, just because this cycle he predicted early that the 2010 electorate would look nothing like that of 2008. But that’s not the same as having a partisan bias, and in fact, comparing the latest Rasmussen poll of the California Senate race with SurveyUSA hints there is no such partisan bias to be | Read More »

    Tags: 2010, Barbara Boxer, Bias, California, Carly Fiorina, Rasmussen Reports, Senate, SurveyUSA

    Incumbency Matters: The Joseph Cao story

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 14th at 11:30 AM  | 

    Plug -2.8 into the Swingometer and you’ll see 5 districts swing. Louisiana’s second district was the fifth closest seat won by a Republican in 2008, and that Republican was Joseph Cao. He beat William Jefferson, the now-convicted felon who received bribes and kept the cash hidden in his freezer. By election day Jefferson had already been caught, and the money had already been found. Why | Read More »

    Tags: 2008, 2010, Cedric Richmond, Congressional Quarterly, Hotline On Call, House, incumbency, joseph cao, LA-02, Louisiana, Market Research Insight, Verne Kennedy, William Jefferson

    King Samir Shabazz Should Be 2010′s Willie Horton

    By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  July 13th at 11:58 AM  | 

    Moe suggested this yesterday and I am here to say I agree. In 2010, Republicans across the nation should make King Samir Shabazz their 21st century Willie Horton. I know Democrats scream at the top of their lungs that the Willie Horton ads, originally raised by Al Gore by the way, were racist. They and their friends in the media have developed the common narrative | Read More »

    Tags: 2010, King Samir Shabazz, Republicans, willie horton

    Swinging the Rasmussen Generic Ballot

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 13th at 08:30 AM  | 

    Speaking of the Swingometer, let’s see what it says about Rasmussen’s latest Generic Congressional Ballot released on the 11th.

    Tags: 2010, Generic Ballot, House, Rasmussen Reports, Swingometer

    Rubio battles back

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 8th at 02:00 PM  | 

    For a while the polling of the Florida Senate race had many people thinking that Charlie Crist, newly minted Independent, was running away with it. I disagreed and assumed his bump in the polls was driven by heavy coverage of his party switch and of his oil spill inspections. Rasmussen’s latest just might bear that out as Marco Rubio takes a fresh lead.

    Tags: 2010, Charlie Crist, Florida, jeff greene, Kendrik Meek, Marco Rubio, PPACA, Rasmussen Reports, Senate

    Fiorina also makes it close in California

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 8th at 01:30 PM  | 

    Following up on yesterday’s Field release which saw Democrats bleeding the Latino vote in California, this poll of the Senate race brings more personal bad news for Barbara Boxer: her job approval ratings have sunk underwater, joining her personal favorability ratings.

    Tags: 2010, Barbara Boxer, California, Carly Fiorina, Field Poll, Senate

    Whitman makes it close in California

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 7th at 12:00 PM  | 

    Before the primary, for a while when Meg Whitman was campaigning and Jerry Brown did not have to, Whitman took a lead in the race for Governor in California. It didn’t last, but the latest Field Poll is good news for her, and not just because it shows her with only a one point deficit.

    Tags: 2010, Barbara Boxer, California, Carly Fiorina, Field Poll, Governor, Jerry Brown, Meg Whitman, Proposition 8, San Francisco Chronicle, Senate

    Roy Blunt’s ad campaign begins

    By: Bill S (Diary)  |  July 6th at 04:00 PM  | 

    MO Congressman Roy Blunt is running for the MO Senate seat currently occupied by Christopher “Kit” Bond, who will be retiring at the end of his current term. I’ve been fairly regular in criticisms of Blunt’s Dem opponent, Robin Carnahan, a typical leftist Obama acolyte. But today we’ll just stick (mostly) to a simple post of the spot that is kicking off Rep. Blunt’s advertising | Read More »

    Tags: 2010, Missouri, Robin Carnahan, Roy Blunt

    What is going on in Kentucky?

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 6th at 01:30 PM  | 

    With the help of the Real Clear Politics, here are the last few polls of the Kentucky Senate race. PPP: Randal Paul +1. RR: Paul +25. SUSA: Paul +6. RR: Paul +8, Paul +7. And now we have PPP: Tie. Why is PPP running so much further toward Jack Conway than the other two pollsters?

    Tags: 2010, Jack Conway, Kentucky, Likely voters, public policy polling, Randal Paul, Rasmussen Reports, Secret Sauce, Senate, SurveyUSA

    Tied in Georgia

    By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 6th at 11:00 AM  | 

    John Oxendine has long held the lead on the Republican side of the Georgia primary for Governor, but if InsiderAdvantage’s poll for WSB is accurate, that has changed. It’s tied says this poll, and Karen Handel made it one.

    Tags: 2010, Georgia, Governor, InsiderAdvantage, John Oxendine, Karen Handel, Nathan Deal, WSB

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  • moelane: #rsrh Lois Lerner to take the Fifth tomorrow on role in IRS attacks on Tea Party.: http://t.co/610sGda1XD
  • moelane: #rsrh The New York Times sub rosa declares for the Obama administration in DoJ/AP dispute.: http://t.co/CBkkG5VPVc
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  • moelane: #rsrh QotD, The Thing About #Benghazi Is That It Was Sadly Predictable edition.: http://t.co/WYhI1KqYZb
  • moelane: #rsrh Why Dan Pfeiffer called the law 'irrelevant.' (Spoiler: so people won't go to jail.): http://t.co/FIUsVs2hcS
  • moelane: #rsrh Tweet of the Day, Moo Hoo Bwah Hah edition.: http://t.co/JOmEr67pqx
  • moelane: #rsrh This would be EW Jackson http://t.co/uvAr803kta This is suddenly going to be a MUCH more entertaining VA-LTGOV race. (via @JohnG405)
  • moelane: #rsrh Of *course* Ed Markey is hiding from Massachusetts voters.: http://t.co/kzUef1Pq2O
  • moelane: #rsrh Hastily-retiring Max Baucus suggests more IRS revelations.: http://t.co/ElYCPYsZ4k
  • moelane: #rsrh Oh, just this *once*: 44[*].: http://t.co/QWpy8SXGkt
  • moelane: #rsrh Let me just be honest here about 'Watergate.': http://t.co/WLu6UrRQ0F
  • VladimirRS: Well, you learn something every day. #eggonmyface #rsrh http://t.co/5jK2SUHwee
  • VladimirRS: How does burning 6 lbs of gasoline generate almost 20 lbs of CO2? #junkscience #conservationofmass #rsrh http://t.co/5B19gPSB7p
  • VladimirRS: Happy Endangered Species Day! Happy Nat'l Cherry Cobbler Day! Happy Nat'l Bike to Work Day! #rsrh http://t.co/2RVVcPXMZp
  • moelane: #rsrh "Was western meadowlark the official state bird of the entire Louisiana Purchase..." : http://t.co/flfLaSpsr0
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