Boxer showing rare vulnerability for a California Democrat
I always hesitate to analyze the California Senate polling because I have strong feelings about it. I live here. I was engaged in the primary. But this is key to determining how big of a wave, if any, Republicans see in the Senate, so I must try. I’ve given enough time for both parties to settle down after the primaries, so here’s Rasmussen’s latest. Boxer | Read More »
Murray losing ground
The Elway Poll has updated us on the Washington Senate race. And while the Republicans have yet to decide who will be the standard bearer against Patty Murray, Dino Rossi is getting all the attention. That said, Elway shows Murray below 50 against all leading Republicans, who each gained 6-8 points against her.
Checking in on Texas
I know many of my readers are interested in the race for Governor in Texas, so let’s check in on Rasmussen’s latest on that race.
Could None of These win in Illinois?
Elections in Nevada give the voter the choice to vote for “None of These” candidates listed. Every poll I see of the Illinois Senate race suggests to me that if Illinois put that option on the ballot, None of These would win. The next bit of evidence for the pile: PPP’s latest poll of the race.
Progressive split on the Oregon Trail
SurveyUSA polled the Oregon race for Governor and interesting enough, has it as a three way race. Featured are Republican Chris Dudley (6’11″ center out of Yale), Democrat John Kitzhaber, and Progressive Jerry Wilson. By the name of the third party I think we all know what’s going to happen.
Lincoln Continues To Get Trounced By Boozman
Republican candidate, John Boozman, leads his Democrat opponent, Blanche Lincoln, by a 2 to 1 margin. This has been so for a while in the head to head match ups. The reason why, as noted by Rasmussen, is Obamacare. Lincoln, who is seeking a third term in the Senate, was reelected in 2004 with 56% of the vote. But she has been struggling politically at | Read More »
A tie in Maryland
The last time we looked in on Maryland, former governor and Republican Bob Ehrlich had taken his 7 point loss to incumbent Democrat Martin O’Malley, and narrowed the deficit to 6 and then to 3 in the polls. Now it’s all tied up.
Challenger crosses 50 in South Dakota House Race
South Dakota has only one House seat, so its House elections are full-fledged statewide affairs, and so we get a rare House poll to look at, from Rasmussen Reports.
Promoted from the diaries – ed. A year ago, Barbara Boxer – my state’s junior senator – made news across the country when, during a Senate Committee hearing, she laid into Brigadier General Michael Walsh of the Corps of Engineers. BGen Walsh made the mistake of calling her “Ma’am” in answering a question. She went off on Walsh telling him to call her “Senator” as | Read More »
, Barbara Boxer
, california senate
, Carly Fiorina
, national security
Murray’s lead cut in half after the Rossi dust settles
The latest Washington Poll from the University of Washington is out, and now that the dust has settled around Dino Rossi’s entering the race, he’s still close to incumbent Patty Murray. In fact, her lead has been cut in half from last time.
Conservative Resurgence Affecting Democrats in 2010
So, let me set the stage: Jennifer Bendery and John McArdle write an article on Roll Call [subscription required] on the the political dynamics of President Clinton being a campaign proxy for President Obama throughout the 2010 cycle. The article does well in explaining were the public and Obama disagree on policy and how Clinton manages to somewhat close that gap. For example… Clinton is | Read More »
We Won. Big. Now Whip It. Take a Walk in the Sunshine with My Departed Son.
[promoted from the diaries by haystack...this is an excellent read] With apologies to AG, we won this week, and we won big. But AG is right, it’s time to whip it. I won on Tuesday. I woke up on Wednesday morning and my first thought was… Dear Erik, I won… …because I had stood for central committee partly to set an example for my 12 | Read More »
I know some pollsters have rushed out to take a look at the primary states immediately after Tuesday’s elections, but we all know that those polls tend to have varying unity bounces. Rick Perry’s took a while in fact. So I’ll let those races simmer a bit and instead look at Illinois today, as Rasmussen polled the Governor and Senate races.
Haley looking to avoid runoff in today’s primary [Updated x 2]
PPP’s latest on the South Carolina Governor’s race doesn’t even cover the Democrats. The assumption must be that Vincent Sheheen has it wrapped up, I suppose. So, on to the Republican side, where Nikki Haley hopes to win an absolute majority and avoid a runoff.
Swingometer on the Rasmussen Generic Ballot
Rasmussen has a new generic ballot out, and that means it’s time to see how the Swingometer projects the election to go based on that result.
, Barack Obama
, Bill Clinton
, Franklin Roosevelt
, Generic Ballot
, Harry Truman
, Midterm Elections
, Rasmussen Reports