Majority opposes second term for President Obama
A new IBD/TIPP survey finds 51% of Americans now oppose giving President Obama a second term: By 51%-41%, respondents in October picked “someone new deserves a chance” over Obama “deserves to be re-elected.” Among independents, it was 54%-36%. Half of Americans give Obama poor or unacceptable marks in creating jobs and economic growth vs. 24% who say he’s doing well. Among independents, it’s 51%-18%. The | Read More »
Gov. Bob McDonnell (R, VA) on short list for VP?
That’s one potential conclusion that you can draw from today’s and yesterday’s Quinnipiac polls looking at Virginia political conditions. Admittedly, they’re just one firm’s polls; also admittedly, anyone likely to be reading this is a hardcore political junky anyway, so we might as well take a look. Yesterday’s Q-poll looked at Governor McDonnell’s popularity rating*, which is – to be modest about it – practically | Read More »
Perry now perceived as most electable
In the latest CNN poll Governor Perry maintains his lead over the rest of the Republican presidential contenders at 30%. But the big take away from the new poll is that Perry is now perceived as the most electable, with 42% saying he has the best chance of beating Obama next year. Only 26% say Romney has the best chance of defeating the president. Perry | Read More »
Time for some Democratic third-party panic!
Karl over at Hot Air analyzes this WSJ article by Patrick Caddell and Douglas Schoen about as I would, but I have a couple of things to add. Executive summary of the Caddell/Schoen article: a third party is really, really likely next year! And it’d be good to have! Executive summary of the Hot Air article: no, it’s not really likely. Here, have some links | Read More »
Gracefully, MSNBC’s Schultz Awaits Perry
Background information is here: Obama is a Big Black Cloud, Says Ed Schultz. Cross-Posted: TobyToons.com (Conservative Political Cartoons)
BREAKING: Pawlenty to drop out of race.
It’s being reported that Governor Tim Pawlenty will drop his Presidential bid, in light of his third-place showing at yesterday’s Ames Straw Poll. There’s no official confirmation yet, but that’s just a formality. I’m on the way out the door to catch a flight home from the RedState Gathering, so my brief take on this: with Pawlenty leaving we’re back down to three real candidates | Read More »
Insiders say Adam Hasner is favorite to win GOP FL-Sen nomination
From the diaries by Erick. Have you contributed to Adam’s campaign yet? Here’s an interesting survey conducted by the St. Pete Times: St. Petersburg Times | The Buzz | The Fla Insider Poll: Adam Hasner is early favorite to win GOP Sen nomination The Times reached out to people who they deemed to be “dozens of smart Florida politicos…the savviest political minds in the state – | Read More »
Barack Obama’s disappointing 2Q?
Possibly the Obama campaign wants me to have that reaction, which was based on the news that they’ve released the total number of donors to date (just under 500,000) rather than the total amount collected in the second quarter. The campaign did so enjoy playing the expectations game in 2008. But what the heck: if it’s a trap, let me charge forward and trigger it | Read More »
The new-and-improved ’12 logo.
The President’s apparently ramping up the use of his first campaign sign, but Chicago Boyz felt that it… lacked something. So they punched it up some. Link. Pass it on. Moe Lane (crosspost) PS: I prefer ‘improved’ to ‘hacked,’ actually.
Tim Pawlenty comes out against farm subsidies. In Iowa.
In his official speech kicking off his campaign: I’m here today to tell Iowans the truth, too. America is facing a crushing debt crisis the likes of which we’ve never seen before. We need to cut spending, and we need to cut it…big time. The hard truth is that there are no longer any sacred programs. The truth about federal energy subsidies, including federal subsidies | Read More »
Annnnnnd Tim Pawlenty’s in, with ‘A Time for Truth.’ [UPDATE!]
[UPDATE] Whoa, whoa, WHOA. Tim Pawlenty’s going to start off his candidacy by ‘speaking truthfully about farm subsidies‘? Speaking truthfully about farm subsidies? In IOWA? Former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty released this video (“A Time For Truth”) last night: …and he’s going to be formally announcing his candidacy at a town hall today in Iowa. My basic take from both the video above, and the | Read More »
Tim Pawlenty will officially be running for President tomorrow.
The word is that former Governor Tim Pawlenty will officially announce tomorrow in a town hall in Des Moines, Iowa; judging from his campaign videos, this will be heralded by an overflight of a squadron of F-15E Strike Eagles, an announcement that Minnesota genetic researchers have recreated the passenger pigeon, and T-Paw personally leading a mission to disable the Yellowstone super-volcano caldera before it erupts | Read More »
Advice for Mitch Daniels.
There’s been a fairly large amount of insider-buzz over whether or not Indiana governor Mitch Daniels is going to run for President; he is widely expected to, but continues to indicate that he has not yet made up his mind. This is starting to bubble over into other political arenas – the latest speculation is over whether Governors Scott Walker and Chris Christie are or | Read More »
RCP’s Sean Trende: Obama’s not in great re-election shape.
Mind you, Sean’s not saying that Obama’s in bad re-election shape, either: he’s currently scoring the President at essentially 50/50, with the slightest edge against the man. But he’s definitely out to demolish some of the current Democratic talking points. Short version (and this is only Part One): The popular correlation between incumbency and re-election falls apart if you look at it too long; If | Read More »
Pew Research: 53% of Americans don’t know GOP candidates.
This is, of course, highly unsurprising: it is April of 2011. While the true start of election cycles have been notoriously creeping further and further back for some time now, the major reason why anybody’s talking seriously about the 2012 election at this point is because President Obama rather desperately announced exceptionally early so that he could officially fund-raise*. This means that those parts of | Read More »