The Harriet Miers Presidential Campaign
I am about as excited by the Romney nomination as I am about going to the doctor for a digital rectal exam — necessary at a certain age, but awkward and uncomfortable nonetheless, with a lot of bending over and taking it whether or not you really want it. One of the issues that I have dwelled on for some time is how so many | Read More »
It Was Inevitable. Now Bring on President Both Ways
Believe it or not, I’ve only been up for about thirty minutes. I’m under the weather today. I would still be asleep except my CNN Alerts on my iPad went nuts. Turns out Rick Santorum is out of the race. It was inevitable. Mitt Romney’s campaign has used a money advantage to shut out the competition. As I said when he won Ohio, Romney will | Read More »
David McIntosh for Congress in IN-5
Editor’s note: Here is the latest endorsement from The Madison Project It’s not too often that we have the opportunity to elect a conservative fighter who retired early from Congress and is seeking a second run. But with Dan Burton’s retirement in Indiana’s 5th district, we have the prospect to elect a battle-tested fighter in former Congressman David McIntosh. David McIntosh was elected to Congress | Read More »
Sabato’s Crystal Ball predicts… DOOM for Congressional Democrats.
They crunched some numbers, put together an equation or two, sacrificed three white cockerels to Moloch and came up with… the Democrats picking up three seats in the House, and losing seven in the Senate. Which will lead people all over the spectrum to write posts and articles all using a variant of the concept Yes, probably. (pause) But…
Coal policy could swing the election
Forgive me for venturing out from strict horserace poll analysis, but given the the administration’s recent moves on coal power, I couldn’t help but wonder how that might affect the President in swing states, should prices rise in coal-burning states. A check I made this morning suggests that the answer is yes, if coal is an issue in this election, it could swing close states.
Jon Bruning Would Still Vote for Holder
If we ever desire to win a conservative majority even within the Republican conference, we must elect unvarnished conservatives in solid red states like Nebraska. That’s why we are supporting Don Stenberg, a man who has held consistent conservative views, for Senate. Unfortunately, Jon Bruning is spending a lot of money convincing people that he is something that he never was before he decided to | Read More »
Mitt Romney: The Consummate Etch A Sketch
Throughout the presidential campaign, we have been lampooned by the pale-pastel wing of the party for not coalescing around the Romney campaign with alacrity. Our detractors have been stupefied by our stubborn opposition to “the only candidate who can beat Obama;” the man with the requisite resume, funding, organization, intelligence, and persona. We’ve been at a loss to encapsulate our opposition into a one-liner; a | Read More »
Conflicting polls in the Massachusetts Senate Race
I’m happiest when all the polls in a race match up. It means we have a very good idea of how a race is going for the candidates in it. So, naturally, I’m not happy about the Massachusetts Senate race right now. Seeing a 10 point swing from poll to poll, giving both candidates opposing 5 point leads, means we have to dig deeper to | Read More »
Yes, Past Performance Does Indicate Future Results
From the diaries. . . Rick Santorum makes an excellent point that “past performance really does indicate future results.” I completely agree—but not just “in Mitt Romney’s case.” Rick Santorum became the third-highest ranking Republican in the Senate in 2001 at a time when Republicans inherited balanced budgets, surpluses, and conservative, pro-life majorities. Senator Santorum and his big spending GOP allies proceeded to squander this | Read More »
Steelman over 50% vs McCaskill in Missouri
I’m glad that we’re now starting to have a better idea of the shape of the Senate race, as we settle down on who the candidates are going to be, and how they’re polling against incumbents (or each other, in the case of open seats). Soon I will update my Senate projections with actual data. In the meantime, we’ve got the first Missouri Senate poll | Read More »
The Maine problem the Democrats face in 2012
Senate polling comes and goes lately, and primary polling is even harder to get. Pollsters seem to get more attention when they make these premature Presidential general election matchups. But we got some Maine Senate polling from PPP just in time to get wind of some possible machinations in that race. Could Democrats be clearing the way for independent Angus King?
Tuesday night’s story was one of effective campaigning, not personality
There is a rush tonight to try to identify the true interpretation of the Republican electoral results. Many of them will be shared on the Internet, but this one is mine. This wasn’t the first close race. Mitt Romney has won them previously. What’s different about tonight is that Rick Santorum pulled it off this time, This defied expectations, and went counter to everything I | Read More »
It’s Game On in Alabama and Mississippi
We have spent all year inveighing against flaccid Republicans capitulating to the forces of big government. Well, as the polls open in Alabama and Mississippi, now is our time to shine. No – I’m not referring to the presidential election where we have a choice between several ‘evils of three lesser;’ I’m referring to the congressional elections. As we noted last week, Spencer Bachus (Al-6) | Read More »
Bob Kerrey’s unfriendly welcome back to Nebraska politics
Medal of Honor recipient, former Senator, and former Governor Bob Kerrey has announced he will run for Senate in Nebraska to replace Ben Nelson, the man who replaced him in the Senate. Common sense suggests a multiple-time statewide winner with a distinguished personal history would be a favorite to win the open seat. New polling however suggests Kerrey is a large underdog to Republican Jon | Read More »
Mitt Romney short but in reach of the majority
When three candidates hang into the Presidential nomination race after Super Tuesday, it becomes time to check whether anyone can get a majority. Mitt Romney is close. So far he’s not there, but if current trends hold he will be the Republican nominee for President of the United States, and become so on the first ballot.