Harry Reid’s challengers crossing 50%
Rasmussen Reports has a new Nevada Senate poll out, and the results are looking terrible for Harry Reid. The Democrat is looking likely to be the second consecutive incumbent floor leader for his party to be voted out of office. Conventional wisdom says incumbents below 50 are vulnerable. Well, two of the three Republicans running to replace him are now above 50, and the third | Read More »
Barbara Boxer is in the Fight of her Political Life
On the heels of a Rasmussen poll suggesting Democrats should worry about Senator Barbara Boxer’s re-election chances, comes worse news from Field for the three term incumbent. The raw numbers: Campbell 44/Boxer 43, Fiorina 44/Boxer 45, DeVore 41/Boxer 45, 3.7% Margin of Error. My model’s win percentages: DeVore 29% , Fiorina 44%, and Campbell 55%.
Democrats running scared in California (DOOM!)
One point I initially missed in my previous article on the California Senate race (Cross-posted to RedState), and only later pointed out on Twitter, was that the Democrats should be scared to death about the current polling of Babs Boxer versus the Republicans. Our worst result against her right now gives us a one in four chance to win. One in four sounds poor, but | Read More »
, Barbara Boxer
, Carly Fiorina
, Chuck Devore
, LA Times
, marcia coakley
, martha coakley
, scott brown
, Tom Campbell
On the Wisconsin Senate Race
Browsing around Redstate over the past few weeks, I have noticed what seems to be an uptick in interest for the Wisconsin Senate race. With Bayh’s departure in Indiana creating by most counts an eighth pickup opportunity for the GOP in the Senate, many of us have started to seek the next opportunity hoping that Senate control can be in play after all. As we | Read More »
2010 SEN +4 to +8 R at this point…
…and that +4 is me being nice and assuming that the Democrats will take two of the open R seats (they won’t) and keep two of Cook’s Democrat Tossup seats (they won’t do that, either). One of each sounds more likely, making the final total at least +6… and if we run the table at +8 it’s a 51/49 Senate. By the way: that’s not | Read More »
DOOMWatch: Feingold trails Thompson
At least according toRasmussenFor those of you who are too lazy to click the link, he’s up 47-43 on Feingold. I know that the good folks over there have been fairly generous to our side this cycle, mostly because of the likely voter models they have in place. They’ve been spot on so far, but the electorate can always change between now and election day. | Read More »
I Don’t Want To Gloat… [Updated...Again]
But before I do, I must first acknowledge the excellent work done by Swamp Yankee on this race. Make sure you stop by his Victory thread and give him his props. He deserves it. [Update] Apparently I didn’t check that picture well enough, it was accurate, though oddly placed. This is why we don’t trust Wikipedia people. Click for larger image. h/t fotophun To make | Read More »
DOOM in VA
Is it time to declare DOOM for Virginia senatorial incumbents?
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This message goes out to every vulnerable Democratic Congressman representing a Republican or even centrist district – and after tonight, who among you is not vulnerable? It is a simple message: we can do this the easy way, or we can do it the hard way. The easy way is, you suddenly decide that you have a burning desire to spend more time with your | Read More »
Voters: “…And The Horse You Rode In On”
It’s only the Grace of God that this thing got to happen at all. The Democrats had 60 votes, and a manifest willingness to ignore the clear will of the people. Many slipped deadlines (Summer, Thanksgiving, Christmas, SOTU…) notwithstanding, there really wasn’t any reason to think they would not get what they wanted before ballot-casting voters had a chance to say anything about it. ‘Man | Read More »
The pre-penned outrage of the Coakley campaign.
Important tactical tip for would-be accusers of election fraud: when you send out your press release, proof-read it first. It helps one avoid elementary errors, such as making it obvious that you had prepared your accusation before the polls even opened, let alone closed*. “Reports that the Coakley campaign is making reckless accusations regarding the integrity of today’s election is a reminder that they are | Read More »
Today is the day.
The polls are open in Massachusetts, and the usual reports of heavy early turnout have begun. What men and women can do, we have done: it is now in the voters’ hands. All that’s left is to ensure that today’s is a clean fight and a fair fight. Scott Brown for Senate. Legal Insurrection will be live-blogging throughout the day. Moe Lane Crossposted to Moe | Read More »
Calibration check on Brown/Coakley.
You’re at the MLK Day Breakfast in Boston and the two candidates for Senate are talking. One candidate uses the opportunity to make a stump speech. The other candidate – who did not – later criticizes the first one as being ‘inappropriate.’ One candidate ‘received polite, seated applause’ but enjoyed a ‘tepid reception at a stronghold of Democratic politics.’ The other is ‘received warmly, shaking | Read More »
Marcia, Marcia, Marcia…
(Via @CalebHowe) What did you do in a previous lifetime to deserve this, AG Coakley? Drive a bus full of kittens and baby harp seals off a cliff? …then you know we have a lot of digging to do, but some work needs to be done and this president’s in the process of doing it and we need to get Marcia Coakley to help him | Read More »
Obama on Brown… and Lane on Obama.
Obama, on Brown: “Forget the truck. Anybody can buy a truck.” Lane, on Obama: “But not everybody can fill a hall.” Exhibit A here, and Exhibit B below. Moe Lane Crossposted to RedState.