Why the Democrats stupidly wrote off Louisiana too quickly.
As you no doubt know, the Democrats got their clocks cleaned last night in two House seat runoff elections and one Senate one. The question is, could they have done better? – Actually, no, the question is, could they have done much better? …And the answer may indeed be ‘yes’ in both cases. Please note: a lot of this is going to be a discussion | Read More »
Obama sets record as losingest loser President in loser history
Larry Sabato has an interesting article in Politico asking the intriguing question why any political party would want to have the presidency for two terms given the damage that does to the party in Congress and in the States: The historical record is clear: A party surges when it elects a president, but goes into a roller-coaster decline shortly thereafter. Even if a party makes | Read More »
I actually think that these kids at Occidental really learned something.
Occidental College students learn a valuable life lesson: ritual magic doesn’t work, even in political science.
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Chuck Schumer quietly starts distancing Democrats from Obama for 2016.
I’m just going to summarize it: Senator Chuck Schumer today ever-so-casually indicated that working first on Obamacare was a mistake; that, in fact, Congress should have instead worked on pretty much anything else besides Obamacare; and that Sen. Charles Schumer (D-NY) 12% himself opposed starting first on Obamacare, but all those Obama supporters in the Obama administration were so adamant that Obamacare be | Read More »
How the GOP used social media to outsmart anti-free speech laws.
Looks like the NRCC was on the ball this cycle. Republicans and outside groups used anonymous Twitter accounts to share internal polling data ahead of the midterm elections, CNN has learned, a practice that raises questions about whether they violated campaign finance laws that prohibit coordination. Translation: they probably didn’t, which CNN will concede later. Moving on… …The groups behind the operation had a sense | Read More »
The Democrats are keeping their leadership cadre. …Bless their hearts.
Chris Cillizza is not quite gobsmacked: Nine days ago, Democrats lost (at least) eight of their seats and their majority in the Senate. On the House side, the party dipped to at their lowest level — in terms of raw number of seats held — since World War II. How did the party react to this rejection from the American public? By preparing to re-elect every | Read More »
Who *will* we get as a nominee for 2016?
I understand Allahpundit’s concern, here: Nominate a guy like [Ted] Cruz and he can spend the entire campaign pandering to the middle since conservatives feel 100 percent sure he’ll govern as a conservative in office. Obama benefited from the same logic on the left six years ago: He could reassure Rick Warren and evangelicals that he believed in traditional marriage with nary a peep from | Read More »
Ten bad assumptions about 2014.
Oh, trust me, there are more. But these are the ones that most immediately come to mind. Also note that I’m not going to saturate this with links; this is an almost-casual observation/recap, not a would-be public policy paper. The polling. This has been commented on, over and over and over again: and I’m only adding it because otherwise somebody will say But, Moe: what about | Read More »
The Press’s Confirmation Bias and the End of Objectivity
“With polling seemingly increasingly impossible to get right, the last checks on media objectivity are dissolving.”Most reporters in the DC Circle of Jerks lean left. They do. Look at their marriages, their career paths, etc. They lean left. But I do think a lot of them recognize it and try to balance it with alternative data. That is all coming to an end now rather | Read More »
The “We Are Not Obama” Election of 2014
The spin doctors involved in the election would have you believe this has been a substantive campaign. They’d have you believe that real issues were discussed to get people to vote. My wife is classified as a swing voter because she typically does not vote in primaries, but has had to, like me, vote in local Democrat primaries to shape local electoral outcomes. Otherwise she | Read More »
A bunch of the celebrities in that Rock the Vote ad didn’t, in fact, vote.
Unsurprising… Rock The Vote released a public service announcement last month with a parody of Lil Jon’s “Turn Down For What” that featured public figures who explained why they planned to vote in the midterm elections, but according to public records, a number of them didn’t vote in the last midterm election. At least five who appeared in the PSA — “Girls” actress Lena Dunham, | Read More »
Three days to go until the elections. The die is cast. So CALM DOWN.
Put another way: “Ladies and gentlemen, please fasten your safety belts and put your tray tables back up into the full, upright position. We are beginning our final approach: our estimated touch-down time will be 72 hours.” Seriously, folks: this is the home stretch for the elections. The polls are highly unlikely to be anything except chaotic noise at this point; the fundamentals of the various races | Read More »
Very Close to DOOM!! for Colorado Dems
Colorado has been shifting underneath the feet of the Democrats this election cycle. While many have believed Colorado to be a blue state, especially after the 2012 election, events in 2013 along with events during the campaign have proven otherwise. The latest ballot returns show a large lead for Republicans in key counties across the state, and it appears [mc_name name=’Rep. Cory Gardner (R-CO)’ chamber=’house’ | Read More »
It Never Was the Democrats’ Base
Since Election Night of 2012, I have been saying this. I am a broken record on it. The Democrats’ ultimate election problem is that they have confused Barack Obama’s base for their base. They are not the same and the late polling is showing it. Suddenly, Republicans are finding more seats in play for the House. Additionally, Senate seats are now breaking the GOP’s way. | Read More »