What Arizona Teaches Us About Politics of Illegal Immigration
By: Daniel Horowitz (Diary) | November 13th at 09:20 AM |
If you only listened to the media and Republican consultants during the days following the election, you would hear the following erroneous premises about the Hispanic vote and the issue of illegal immigration. 1) Our opposition to the circuitous cycle of amnesty and open borders is the sole reason why we are losing the Hispanic vote. 2) Immediate and unconditional support for illegal immigrants will | Read More »
Taking a Second Look at those #WIRecall Exit Polls–And Other Things
By: Jake (Diary) | June 6th at 03:46 PM |
Promoted from the diaries by Jeff In their frantic attempt to glean something positive from last night’s shellacking in Wisconsin, we found the Obama campaign clinging (bitterly?) to the results of the exit polls. According to them, Obama was still beating Romney 51-45% in the state. Unfortunately, for them at least, they don’t even get this satisfaction anymore. Michael Barone has done the analyzing: It | Read More »
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alec macgillis,
DOOM,
Exit Polls,
Michael Barone,
Obama,
Scott Walker,
shellacking,
the new republic,
Tom Barrett,
WI Recall,
wirecall,
Wisconsin,
wisconsin recall elections
Independents’ Day
By: Dan McLaughlin (Diary) | November 5th at 01:00 PM |
At ground level, Republicans win elections by doing one or more of five things: 1) Get more Republicans to vote; 2) Get more people to become Republicans, and vote; 3) Get fewer Democrats to vote; 4) Get fewer people to be Democrats; 5) Get more votes from independents, i.e., people who are neither Republicans nor Democrats. There’s been a lot of talk about the “enthusiasm | Read More »
Examining the PPP Likely Voter screen
By: Neil Stevens (Diary) | October 27th at 01:00 PM |
By request, I’ve decided to take a look at just what kind of electorate the Public Policy Polling screening of Likely Voters seems to be predicting. To do this I will use recent PPP polls from two states: California, which went for Barack Obama heavily, and West Virginia, where Obama’s popularity has never been that hot.
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2010,
Barack Obama,
Barbara Boxer,
California,
Carly Fiorina,
CNN,
Exit Polls,
joe manchin,
John Raese,
Likely voters,
public policy polling,
Senate,
West Virginia