2012 shaping up like 2004, on the Generic Congressional Ballot level.
I spent perhaps a bit too much time this morning trying to put the spreadsheet below into graphical form: Pollster Time R D R +/- NPR Oct 3/4 43 43 0 NPR Sept 4/4 45 48 -3 Politico Oct 4/4 46 45 1 Politico Oct 3/4 46 46 0 Politico Oct 2/4 44 46 -2 Politico Oct 1/4 45 46 -1 Politico Sept 4/4 44 | Read More »
Being “Republican” won’t be enough in 2012, particularly for state legislators. Rasmussen Generic Ballot: 41% Republican, 40% Democrat
On October 31, 2010 — the last Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot poll before the November 2, 2011 elections — a sizeable 51% of voters were planning on supporting the Republican candidate, and 39% of voters were planning to support the Democratic candidate. The 2010 elections were not pro-Republican. The voters went to vote against the far-left, socialist agenda of the Democratic Party and President Obama. 2012 will be completely | Read More »
Thus ends the lesson in irrational behavior
From Fortune: * Obama started his Presidency with a +44 approval rating, it is now at -2.5. * When Obama was elected, the Dems in Congress were at +14 in the Generic Ballot. Now the GOP is at +8, a -22 point swing for the Dems. * The latest Gallup poll shows voter enthusiasm for the Dems is at 30% whereas the GOP voter enthusiasm | Read More »
Gallup: R+4 on the Generic Congressional Ballot.
(Via AoSHQ) Shift of eight points since July, which for Gallup represents the GOP ‘edging ahead.’ The current numbers are GOP/Democrats 48/44. And 52/30 among independents. And this represents registered voters, not likely ones. Gallup tried to caveat this one every way that it could, but has to conclude: Since Gallup regularly began using the generic ballot to measure registered voters’ preferences for the House | Read More »
The DOOM that came from Gallup.
Given in a polite, understated, terribly-sorry-to-bother-you sort of way: Parties Nearly Tied for Congress in 2010 PRINCETON, NJ — Roughly a year before the 2010 midterm elections, Gallup finds the Republican and Democratic Parties nearly tied in the congressional ballot preferences of registered voters. Forty-six percent of registered voters say they would vote for the Democrat and 44% say the Republican when asked which party’s | Read More »
Mickey Kaus & the Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Poll.
Mickey’s asking why it went down to R+1 (41/40) this week, after being R+5 to R+7 for the last few weeks month, more or less. While I can easily see le affaire Joe Wilson causing a point or two for the bounce among Democrats, I’m going to speculate (read: ‘guess’) that the main reason is due to the intersection of two factors: Rasmussen’s Generic Congressional | Read More »
HEY REDSTATERS: CAN’T GET ENOUGH OF AIG SCANDAL, ETC.? What about the Not-So Recent Rasmussen Poll?
I know everyone is busy with so many things. Our hands are full of the following: The AIG Fiasco. The Stimulus Packages. The Budget Deficits. Obama Gaffes. Brown’s visit. Hamas, Syria, Iran, Russia, etc.; CA’s SC’s Gay Marriage Tax Increases Illegal Immigrants MSM Attacks on the Pope ….. and so on. Maybe it’s just me but I’ve noticed that no one seems paying any attention to this very irrelevant Rasmussen | Read More »