The State of the race in Virginia
Normally at Unlikely Voter I’ll look at individual polls, synthesize them into the trend, and go from there. But I’ve been behind, so we’re just going to recap all the recent polling in Virginia and go from there.
Long story short, Terry McAuliffe is ahead, and looks to be the beneficiary of trends entirely out of control of either himself or of Ken Cuccinelli.
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Quinnipac predicts unprecedented Libertarian surge in Virginia governor’s race!
Well, that would have to be the alternative explanation to what’s apparently happening, which is that the governor’s race is tightening in Virginia again. Cuccinelli/McAuliffe went from 42/48 in August’s Q-Poll to 41/44 now. The poll indicates McAuliffe, the former chairman of the Democratic National Committee, at 44% among likely commonwealth voters, with Cuccinelli at 41%. The three point margin for McAuliffe, who lost a | Read More »
Here we go again, with PPP in Virginia
Here we go again with Public Policy Polling. They did a poll for the League of Conservation Voters on the 2013 race for Governor in Virginia, and the electorate predicted by PPP is a strange one.
You see, it doesn’t look like Virginia.
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McAuliffe’s stalled electric car company salary raises funding scheme questions
At this point the failures and false promises of Virginia Democratic gubernatorial candidate Terry McAuliffe’s electric car company, GreenTech, have been well documented.
For those who need a refresher, Clinton fundraiser and party insider McAuliffe re-christened himself a ‘Virginia businessman’ in his second quest for the Old Dominion governorship and touted several supposed job-creating ventures on the campaign trail, one being a wood pellet firm that has yet to become operational, and another was GreenTech Automotive, which he pledged would create thousands of jobs.
First, it was revealed that those promised jobs were to be created in Mississippi, not Virginia. Then, McAuliffe was caught fibbing about why the company chose to locate outside the state, claiming Virginia authorities had rejected their application before it was made clear that GreenTech had never completed its application materials. Then the revelation that Virginia officials were concerned that the company was “a visa-for-sale scheme” given its lack of a credible business plan and utilization of the EB-5 funding mechanism, which hands out U.S. visas to foreign investors (more on this later).
Eventually, it came out that McAuliffe had resigned from GreenTech in December 2012 despite continuing to use his role with the company as a key talking point as he campaigned around Virginia.
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The WV-GOV Special Election Open Thread.
Polls close at 7:30 PM Eastern Time: I have absolutely no idea how long it’ll take for results to come in. Or, for that matter, who’s going to win. If we had another month, Bill Maloney would be a shoo-in. As it is… it’s going to be a close-run thing, ladies and gentlemen: a close-run thing. Just remember, though: if Maloney wins, well, special election | Read More »
The Texas record.
We’re pleased to bring you this commentary on the Texas economic record from Bill Peacock, Vice President for Research at the Texas Public Policy Foundation. Texas has been the home of the last two Republican presidents. With Governor Rick Perry now in the fray, we’re fixin’ to find out if Texas can make it three in a row. When examining what makes Texas the benchmark | Read More »
Is it time for Rick Perry?
A new web site, Time for Perry, has been launched urging Texas Governor Rick Perry to seek the 2012 Republican presidential nomination. You can watch the site’s featured video, “It’s Time for Perry,” below:
Texas’ Rick Perry to lead RGA
Texas Governor Rick Perry will be named chairman of the Republican Governors Association when the group gathers in California next week. Perry’s appointment to the RGA won’t be the governor’s first rodeo: He led the same committee in 2008 and had worked in varying capacities for the group in years prior. The Washington-bound move — not the move for which some Republican donors had hoped | Read More »
Dallas Morning News Makes Case for Rick Perry While Endorsing Bill White for Texas Governor
“Did you know that of Texas’ budget of approximately $180 billion, over one third is sent by Texans to Washington in the form of federal taxes and then sent back to Texas with strings attached?” Governor Rick Perry knows – and is not afraid to say – that Texas has been successful in the current economic downturn because it limits the size of its government, | Read More »
Great Scott! I have a Sinking feeling we risk a recount!
Yes, yes, I can hear the groans from here already, but when I see two polls one day apart from each other that give diametrically opposite results in the Florida Governor’s race, I get worried. Republican Rick Scott had similarly erratic polling in his primary race which finished close with 3% final difference, so as his polling against Democrat Alex Sink is swingy, I worry | Read More »
A metric ton of new polling today
Good evening. We have a great deal of new polling that’s flooded in. Much of it is interesting too, so rather than pick and choose which polls I’ll cover in depth and which I will omit, instead I’ll give a quick look at all the good ones. We’ve got Senate races in Nevada, Connecticut, West Virginia, Ohio, New York, Missouri, and Delaware, plus races for | Read More »
Tags: "Linda McMahon"
, "Richard Blumenthal"
, Alex Sink
, Andrew Cuomo
, Barack Obama
, Bill Brady
, Carl Paladino
, charles djou
, Chris Coons
, Christine O'Donnell
, Duke Aiona
, Fairleigh Dickinson University
, Frank Caprio
, Harry Reid
, Joe DioGuardi
, joe manchin
, John Raese
, John Robitaille
, kirsten gillibrand
, Lee Fisher
, Linc Chafee
, Neil Abercrombie
, New York
, Pat Quinn
, public policy polling
, Quinnipiac University
, Rasmussen Reports
, Rhode Island
, Rick Scott
, Rob Portman
, Robin Carnahan
, Roy Blunt
, Sharron Angle
, West Virginia
, Zogby Interactive
I have a rule about internal polling
Scientific polling, based on the laws of probability and the compounding of likelihoods, is a mathematical activity. It’s all about the numbers. Without the numbers no poll has meaning. That’s why I highlight key facts like Margins of Error. Your typical internal poll release is very low on numbers and instead is a one page memo. Those releases can be based on sound polling practices, | Read More »
Message for Meg Whitman: Go on Offense. Now.
The best way past a “scandal” for a Republican is through it. Take a day or two – no more, no less – to think it through, find a line of attack and go on offense. If George Allen had done that instead of trying to plead, ignore and then cower his way past the “macaca” incident, we’d not have the tragedy of both Senators | Read More »
Has Dan Maes been well and truly kneecapped?
Any political party must work as a team to win. While the primary process will become at times a competitive and even divisive, any inability to set those feelings aside and back the nominee will give the party trouble. A few Republicans this cycle know what kind of trouble that is, but none has more than Dan Maes against Democrat John Hickenlooper for Colorado Governor. | Read More »