Incumbency Matters: The Joseph Cao story

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 14th at 11:30 AM  | 

Plug -2.8 into the Swingometer and you’ll see 5 districts swing. Louisiana’s second district was the fifth closest seat won by a Republican in 2008, and that Republican was Joseph Cao. He beat William Jefferson, the now-convicted felon who received bribes and kept the cash hidden in his freezer. By election day Jefferson had already been caught, and the money had already been found. Why | Read More »

Landmark shift in the Gallup enthusiasm readings

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  June 24th at 12:42 PM  | 

National Journal noticed an event in the Gallup voter enthusiasm polling: Republicans have gone off the scale, while Democrats have fallen far off from 2006. Since 1994 the numbers have tracked with victory and defeat, with the party ahead in enthusiasm winning the House, but this scale is… well, just look.