Awaiting the Market Open in Asia…

    Currency markets are open in the Far East as I write this, and the dollar is a little weaker. No interest rates or commodity prices yet, but I’ll update you if anything exciting materializes. I must say that I found it weird to hear John Boehner and others talking about making a deal before the trading week starts. (And if you’re a long-time RedState reader, | Read More »

    Interest rates: Egg on our Faces

    Just when you thought US Treasury debt couldn’t get more overpriced, it gets… more overpriced. The 10-year yield fell all the way to 2.95% yesterday. It held that level for part of this morning, and now is just under 3%. At least some of this has to be due to the supply disruption caused by the US hitting its debt ceiling. (Existing debt can be | Read More »

    David Malpass on the Government as a “Silent Partner”

    Download Podcast | iTunes | Podcast Feed On today’s edition of Coffee and Markets, Francis Cianfrocca is joined by David Malpass, economist former Reagan administration official and founder of Encima Global to discuss the Fed, raising the debt ceiling and how the government is a “silent partner” in American business. We’re brought to you as always by BigGovernment and Stephen Clouse and Associates. If you’d | Read More »

    QE2: Is Bernanke Treating the Infection? Or Just the Fever?

    I’ve been asked to give some basic perspective on what the Fed’s “quantitative easing” actually is. Since writing this piece, I’ve become more convinced that I was on the right track. So far, three different QE models have been observed in the wild: the Japanese (2001-06), the British (2008-09), and Bernanke I (2008-10). We’re about to see Bernanke II. All of them are forms of | Read More »

    Euro-TARP: The Euphoria Didn’t Last

    As I wrote here yesterday, we ‘ve just seen the remarkable spectacle of more than a dozen fractious finance ministers come together to puncture the risk of a Lehman-style market debacle. Taking a page out of Ben Bernanke’s playbook, they cobbled together and announced a package of 750 billion euros (nearly a trillion dollars) in liquidity guarantees. Think about that number. It’s twice the size | Read More »

    Trouble In Greece, And Contrary Market Indicators

    We’ve had a remarkable run in US notes and bonds over the past several weeks. The economically-sensitive 10-year note briefly yielded more than 4% in mid April. After an astounding rally yesterday, buying in the 10-year continues this morning, and its yield is down to 3.57 as I write. I’m at a loss to convey the magnitude of this move in such a short time. | Read More »