Obama’s scandal atmosphere and 2014 Democratic recruitment efforts.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  May 19th at 10:15 AM  | 

I’m not sure that Stu Rothenberg is correct, here: …it isn’t clear how much of an impact, if any, the controversies will have on the 2014 midterms. Even if (when) those controversies fade, however, there could be short-term consequences for both the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in the area of recruitment. Largely because it doesn’t look like either organization | Read More »

Sabato’s Crystal Ball predicts… DOOM for Congressional Democrats.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  March 29th at 02:00 PM  | 

They crunched some numbers, put together an equation or two, sacrificed three white cockerels to Moloch and came up with… the Democrats picking up three seats in the House, and losing seven in the Senate. Which will lead people all over the spectrum to write posts and articles all using a variant of the concept Yes, probably. (pause) But…

Simulating the major House ratings

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  August 24th at 09:18 PM  | 

As if the big Swingometer update wasn’t enough, I’m not done projecting the House today. Taking a cue from Patrick Ishmael I’m going to simulate today the elections based not just the latest seat-by-seat Cook Political Report ratings, but also on those of Congressional Quarterly’s, the Swing State Project’s, and Larry Sabato’s. Swingometer right now says R+52 from 2008. Ishmael right now also says R+52, | Read More »