The downticket implications of Obama losing the suburbs.
You probably have heard already that the McMahon/Murphy Connecticut Senate race is getting interesting: Rasmussen and Quinnipac both came out with McMahon ahead in the polling at this point. Even the Democratic-controlled PPP couldn’t get more than a 48/44 lead for Murphy… and if you look at the trend there you’ll see that this is a steady erosion of Murphy’s lead over the course of the election season. When a candidate is getting at or above 50 and then steadily loses it – which is what happened in PPP & Quinnipac – that candidate is not in a good position. Meanwhile, over in New Jersey: the Menendez/Kyrillos Senate race is not showing the same drift. It’s in fact pretty static (if you look at the 2006 polling, Menendez is in a much better place now than he was then). Menendez is not consistently hitting 50%, but that happens a lot in NJ polling.
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CT-SEN race looking better and better for Linda McMahon (R CAND).
What in blazes is going on in Connecticut? Quinnipac polled the McMahon/Murphy CT-SEN race, and it found the same results for that race as did Rasmussen: 49/46 for the GOP candidate. The Q-poll is also showing Obama over Romney… by seven points, which as Hot Air notes is actually awful news for the President; he should be up by double digits there. All in all: this is not yet an upset situation… but it is becoming a bit evocative of the Johnson/Feingold WI-SEN race in 2010.
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Dick Blumenthal lying about death penalty stance.
The death penalty has been an issue in the recent Connecticut gubernatorial election, and it seems to have spilled over into the Senatorial election, too – mostly because Dick Blumenthal can’t be bothered to remember if he started loving the death penalty in 1990, or in 2005. Then again, knowing Blumenthal… he probably decided that he could claim both and get away with it. It’s | Read More »
Paging Linda McMahon (R CAND, CT-SEN)…
Ace looks upon this video, and declares it the raw material for Linda’s next campaign ad: …and I heartily agree. For those without video access, it’s from a primary debate between Dick Blumenthal and Merrik Alpert. Alpert pointed out, in so many words, that under Dick’s tenure as Attorney General Connecticut was one of two states* to have a net loss of jobs. And then | Read More »
The Inexorable McMahon Job-Creation Ad.
If you missed Dick Blumenthal’s incredibly clueless answer to Linda McMahon’s simple question “How do you create a job?” at the last debate, don’t worry: the McMahon campaign has had boiled it down to a television ad. And in the process they managed to do what was I would have thought would be the impossible; they managed to cram two minutes of idiocy into a | Read More »
A metric ton of new polling today
Good evening. We have a great deal of new polling that’s flooded in. Much of it is interesting too, so rather than pick and choose which polls I’ll cover in depth and which I will omit, instead I’ll give a quick look at all the good ones. We’ve got Senate races in Nevada, Connecticut, West Virginia, Ohio, New York, Missouri, and Delaware, plus races for | Read More »
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McMahon wins debate – Blumenthal stumped on how to create a job
Left-leaning main stream media pundits called last night’s debate between Linda McMahon and Dick Blumenthal a draw. It wasn’t. Political neophyte McMahon not only held her own against career politician Blumenthal. She whipped Connecticut’s longtime attorney general. The decisive moment in last night’s debate between Connecticut’s U.S. Senatorial candidates Linda McMahon and Dick Blumenthal came when McMahon asked Blumenthal a simple question: “How do you create a job?” | Read More »
So, DSCC: which candidate will you abandon…
…to firewall Connecticut? Propelled by Connecticut likely voters who say they are “angry” with government, former wrestling executive Linda McMahon, the Republican U.S. Senate candidate, is closing in on Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democrat, and now trails just 49 – 46 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to a 51 – 45 percent Blumenthal lead in a September 14 | Read More »
Rasmussen: McMahon (R CAND, CT-SEN) within five.
Update from Erick: Learn something new every day. Thanks to all the readers who have pointed out that this race is inside the margin of error. I always assumed that in a 4.5% margin of error, the race could go 2.25% either way for each candidate. But lots of readers are pointing out that a 4.5% margin of error goes to each candidate so each | Read More »
Dick Blumenthal (D CAND, CT-SEN) lies on cap-and-trade support.
Lying, in fact, is the best-case scenario. What happened is that Dick Blumenthal, when asked point-blank whether he supported cap-and-trade, told a constituent ‘no.’ Surprisingly unambiguously, as the video below shows: Note the ‘cap-and-trade is dead’ bit: it’ll be important later.
Blumenthal’s closest shave yet
Quinnipiac has released this month’s poll for the Connecticut Senate race. Now we turn to those who say Rasmussen’s “House Effect” is repsonsible for Democrat Richard Blumenthal’s surprisingly weak leads against Republican Linda McMahon, because Quinnipiac has the race even closer than Rasmussen does.
And now the mirror image of North Carolina: Connecticut
Much as Richard Burr has underperformed in the view of many, so too is Democrat Richard Blumenthal having more trouble than expected to shake Republican Linda McMahon in the Connecticut Senate race. And while it is Rasmussen’s second consecutive single-digit gap that inspires this post, Quinnipiac also has it at 10, a long way from the D+41 of January.
DOOM declared in CT by… Journal Inquirer.
I don’t pretend to be familiar with Connecticut newspapers, but judging from this article the J-I must be a Democratic-leaning one: there’s a palpable sense of angry disbelief that… that… that Linda McMahon could possibly be wrecking Dick Blumenthal’s smooth ascension to Countrywide Dodd’s Senate seat. I mean, the author’s saying stuff about Blumenthal that I might hesitate to write, given that he’s – for | Read More »
Meet Linda McMahon (R CAND, CT-SEN).
Linda, of course, is running against CT AG Dick Blumenthal, who rather famously lied about his war record a few months back. We talked earlier today about the steadily-tightening race in Connecticut: Linda has sites here and here; the latter is her MyLinda2010 site, and is geared towards activism. Crossposted to Moe Lane.
CT-SEN starts to reset.
A funny thing happened in Connecticut lately: the Senate race started tightening. This Reuters article about the likely McMahon/Blumenthal match-up contains at least one major howler – to the best of my knowledge, Linda McMahon has never been an actual professional wrestler* – but the major point seems valid: McMahon has made up considerable ground in the last few months. Of particular note is the | Read More »