Newt up, everyone else down in the Cain fallout

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  November 11th at 04:30 PM  | 

When I write about the polling, I hesitate to say more than I have to about the events going on that drive the numbers. I risk introducing unnecessary bias due to mixing the math with my own observations. But the Herman Cain harassment story is the story right now. Two new pre-debate polls are out. Cain is down further, Rick Perry is back down after | Read More »

“Flavor of the month” is not serious analysis

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  November 8th at 06:00 PM  | 

Conservative activists have this nasty habit of denigrating our own politicians, and in fact the very practice of running for office to represent our side. We kick our guys (and girls) at every opportunity, sometimes for no reason but to kick politicians. It’s in that vein that some have taken to referring to one Presidential candidate or another as the ‘flavor of the month,’ suggesting | Read More »

Comparing the Entitlement Reform Plans of the GOP Presidential Candidates

By: Brad Jackson (Diary)  |  November 8th at 10:09 AM  | 

Download Podcast | iTunes | Podcast Feed On today’s edition of Coffee and Markets, Brad Jackson and Ben Domenech discuss the need for entitlement reform, Barack Obama’s government centered plan, and the solutions proposed by each of the Republican Presidential candidates. We’re brought to you as always by BigGovernment and Stephen Clouse and Associates. If you’d like to email us, you can do so at | Read More »

Mitt Romney as the Nominee: Conservatism Dies and Barack Obama Wins

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  November 8th at 04:45 AM  | 

Mit Romney will not go on Special Report with Brett Baier to answer the tough questions as the other candidates have done. No worries. Conservatives will bitch and moan for a few days and Romney will claim it was a scheduling issue, he’d always meant to go on, and he will go on. Should Mitt Romney win the Presidency, conservatives will find this pattern play | Read More »

Perry and Gingrich, sitting in the polls…

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  November 7th at 08:00 PM  | 

R-E-B-O-U-N-D-I-N-G. First came Cain, then came Politico, then came USA Today/Gallup and NBC News/Wall Street Journal with the latest numbers. This also make three straight post-scandal polls that have shown Cain to have re-lost his lead over Romney.

The Rollercoaster goes back down for Herman Cain

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  November 7th at 01:00 PM  | 

We saw last week that Herman Cain was on his way up before the Politico story, and fell off slightly afterward. Friday brought us a new poll which reinforces past conclusions. Yes, he really was on the way down last week, despite raising money in the seven figures.

Cain on the roller coaster

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  November 4th at 12:00 PM  | 

It always pleases me when two polls taken close together have very similar results. Even if they make out to be wrong some speculation of mine. So yes, it’s looking like Herman Cain isn’t exactly being helped this week. And if the new Rasmussen poll is genuinely showing a trend from the previous national poll, then he needs this story done as soon as possible. | Read More »

Cain surging… even before the new story fully broke

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  November 2nd at 03:00 PM  | 

Obviously the big story this week in the Republican Presidential race is the story Politico broke discussing sexual harassment allegations, and whether Herman Cain would be helped or hurt by that story. As it turns out, if the new Quinnipiac poll is to be believed, he was already on the way up before the story broke.

Mitt Romney: The Magically Malleable Man of Mystery

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  October 31st at 04:46 AM  | 

Mitt Romney is probably thanking his lucky stars the Politico decided to drop a Sunday night hit piece on Herman Cain alleging Cain sexually harassed at least two women. Had it not happened last night, this morning the political world would be talking about George Will’s stinging take down of Mitt Romney and conservatives who support him coupled with Chris Wallace’s observation that Mitt Romney | Read More »

Chris Wallace calls out Mitt Romney.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  October 30th at 02:16 PM  | 

I’m going to go out on a limb here and suggest that maybe Mitt Romney should take seriously this shot across the bow by Fox News host Chris Wallace: [Mitt Romney] has not appeared on this program or any Sunday talk show since March of 2010. We invited Gov. Romney again this week, but his campaign says he’s still not ready to sit down for | Read More »

Herman Cain ’12 Iowa caucuses: Obama, 2008? Or Dean, 2004?

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  October 30th at 09:30 AM  | 

Hot Air and Ace of Spades HQ are both contemplating the issue of Herman Cain, whether he can win, and whether he is truly likely to win. Fortunately or unfortunately – depending on your point of view – I take a utilitarian point of view on the matter: what does the Herman Cain Iowa plan look like? Does it look like this? Campaign organizer: We’re | Read More »

Mitt Romney Leads George Will to Write in All Caps

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  October 28th at 12:03 PM  | 

George Will’s column is not out yet, but it is making waves. The Politico has a snippet of it. It is not good for Romney. Will goes all caps on Romney writing, in part, “Republicans may have found their Michael Dukakis, a technocratic Massachusetts governor who takes his bearings from ‘data’ … Has conservatism come so far, surmounting so many obstacles, to settle, at a | Read More »

Perry had better get Fed Up, fast. This is Herman Cain time.

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  October 27th at 07:00 AM  | 

Rick Perry had better get fed up fast with his polling situation. As I warned on Tuesday, he’s teetering at the brink of irrelevance. This is Herman Cain’s moment. The new Fox News poll only confirms the CBS poll.

The Washington Post Puts a Romney Blogger on the Payroll to Attack Romney’s Opponents

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  October 26th at 04:45 AM  | 

The Washington Post has been subsidizing the left’s bloggers for a while now. Greg Sargent is a veritable mouthpiece of the Democratic National Committee. Ezra Klein repackages left-wing talking points as an “economics” blogger or some such despite the fact that his only credential as an economist is a college degree in political science. Now the Washington Post has put a Mitt Romney blogger on | Read More »

“An Incredible Moment in Politics.” Mitt Romney Won’t Go There.

By: Erick Erickson (Diary)  |  October 25th at 01:10 PM  | 

Hey Rick Perry, if you weren’t trying to have fun with birtherism, this would probably be a much bigger media story today. Peter Hamby over at CNN referred to it as “an incredible moment in politics.” Mitt Romney refused to endorse John Kasich’s reforms in Ohio. This is a huge freaking deal. Playing it too safe is finally biting Romney in the rear end. He’s | Read More »