Why Nate Silver’s cozy insider status with Obama for America in 2008 matters in 2012.

    Nate Silver is playing the part of the independent blogger with a system. Putting aside for the moment where ‘insider access’ is a legitimate system, such a pose allowed Silver to write things like this attack on Scott Rasmussen’s professional ethics because Rasmussen openly did some work for the Republican party during the 2004 election cycle. The impact of that particular post – which the Online Left has run with ever since – would have been much different if it had been disclosed that Nate Silver had had a formal special relationship with the Democratic party.

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    WPA’s Weekly Political Brief

    As part of our continuing effort to keep our clients and friends up-to-date on the political environment as we head toward Election Day, 2012, every Friday WPA compiles the key numbers from the week and provides analysis of key trends.  The full analysis can be found here: http://www.wparesearch.com/2012-elections/wpas-weekly-political-brief-28/ In addition to the key political numbers, this week’s analysis includes: The decline in the Labor Force Participation | Read More »

    Survey results illustrate media taints convention coverage

    Impact of the Convention The Convention has created large numbers of positive impressions of Romney but this effect is being somewhat offset by highly negative information elsewhere Convention Watchers: 67% more favorable rating 33% less favorable Nightly news watchers: 28% more favorable rating 72% less favorable Favorite Speech A plurality of likely voters in key swing states who have been paying attention to the convention | Read More »

    WPA’s Weekly Political Brief

    As part of our continuing effort to keep our clients and friends up-to-date on the political environment as we head toward Election Day,2012, every Friday WPA compiles the key numbers from the week and provides analysis of key trends. In addition to the key political numbers, this week’s analysis includes: A look Paul Ryan’s image boost after he became the Republican VP nominee. The Presidential | Read More »

    Fox News and Now …?

    Politics can sometimes be amusing. In an attempt to lighten it up for a bit, I wanted to highlight an oops found over at a major news outlet. Over the years I have marveled at how the super fast moving news network Fox News could have so many misspellings, wrong story and title mismatches, so imagine my major yawn when I found this picture. (H/T | Read More »

    Barack Obama’s George Bush Problem

    Barack Obama has a George Bush problem. This is not a W problem, but an H. W. problem.Back in 1991, George H. W. Bush’s approval rating went up to between 89% and 91% in February of that year. He was on a high from winning the Iraq War.The Democrats were confounded and had no real answer to put up as an alternative. There was a | Read More »

    Barack Obama’s George Bush Problem

    Barack Obama has a George Bush problem. This is not a W problem, but an H. W. problem.Back in 1991, George H. W. Bush’s approval rating went up to between 89% and 91% in February of that year. He was on a high from winning the Iraq War.The Democrats were confounded and had no real answer to put up as an alternative. There was a | Read More »

    Understanding Debt Ceiling Attitudes

    While President Obama claims that 80% of Americans want to see their taxes increased to address the Federal deficit, Congress continues to debate raising the debt ceiling and we close in on the highly publicized August 2nd deadline to avoid a government default, there are several points that need to be made to keep claims of public support in context. First, significant numbers of Americans | Read More »

    Obama can’t hide from bad economy

    /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:”Table Normal”; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:””; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:”Calibri”,”sans-serif”; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:”Times New Roman”; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} In yet another sign that the President will be facing a very tough reelection campaign, a new CNN/Opinion Research poll shows that 48% of Americans believe that we are likely to enter a | Read More »

    Short Memories And Republican Successes

    Back on March 15th, I wrote a post pointing out what happens when Republicans get milquetoast — their polling goes down.If you will go back to March 15th, there was a poll out that said the GOP hadn’t been compromising enough. In fact, the poll said that “71% say the GOP is not willing enough to compromise with Obama on the deficit.”I noted at the | Read More »

    Short Memories And Republican Successes

    Back on March 15th, I wrote a post pointing out what happens when Republicans get milquetoast — their polling goes down.If you will go back to March 15th, there was a poll out that said the GOP hadn’t been compromising enough. In fact, the poll said that “71% say the GOP is not willing enough to compromise with Obama on the deficit.”I noted at the | Read More »

    Is Palin Really “Losing Ground”?

    Great piece by Chris Perkins of WRS: Recent interpretations of national polling data have suggested that former Alaska Governor and Vice Presidential nominee Sarah Palin is “losing ground” based on movements in her image rating among all self-identified Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents. But what are we really looking at? – FACT: The recent Washington Post/ABC news poll that is the basis the “losing ground” comments still | Read More »

    Polling Underestimates Conservative Tsunami

    When asking questions in these polls, participants are asked to identify which political movement they identify with, and the options from which they must choose are Democrat, Republican, Independent, and Tea Party. When a polling participant supports more than one of the options provided, the uncertainty in choosing which single movement to report as the primary affiliation creates errors in polling data interpretation.   This | Read More »

    2010 Predictions (and what they mean for 2012)

    With less than two weeks to go until Election Day and while a lot has changed, little has changed. We still expect a Republican wave to overwhelm Democratic control in the House and the Senate will still come down to one or two seats one way or another. This got us to contemplating what the 2010 elections mean for 2012 and beyond. First a quick | Read More »

    Be Ready for some poll swings

    It’s not just October surprises Be ready for some interesting poll swings in the upcoming couple of weeks. I fully expect that we will see the generic ballot continue to swing towards the GOP and many races solidify squarely into our camp — it’s our year. However, I fully expect at least one race that is leaning Republican or is a tossup to widen out | Read More »

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