Rasmussen Reports’ daily presidential tracking poll for Thursday, Sept. 27, 2012, finds the presidential race tied at 46 percent for both Governor Romney and President Obama. If you count “leaners,” it’s tied at 48 percent. The Rasmussen tracker has had Romney and Obama tied or within a point of each other for each of the seven days since we reported that Obama’s seven point lead | Read More »
As people learn what’s actually in the bill, that six months from now, by election time, this is going to be a plus because the parade of horribles, particularly the worry that the average middle class person has that this is going to affect them negatively, will have vanished and they’ll see that it’ll affect them positively in many ways…” NY Sen. Chuck Schumer, on | Read More »
I stopped doing this in the middle of 2010, once it became clear that the real question of 2010 was how many hits to the head with the snake the Democrats were going to take before it was all over. As the answer was “a lot,” I feel that this was a wise prioritization of my time. But it’s a new cycle, so let’s look | Read More »
The conventional wisdom has been that, while Sarah Palin will be a leading contender for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination if she wants it, her chances in the general election would be less rosy because she is reportedly viewed unfavorably by most independents. That’s persuasive logic if you don’t think about it too much. But today’s Rasmussen poll makes me realize that the relevant question | Read More »
Much as Richard Burr has underperformed in the view of many, so too is Democrat Richard Blumenthal having more trouble than expected to shake Republican Linda McMahon in the Connecticut Senate race. And while it is Rasmussen’s second consecutive single-digit gap that inspires this post, Quinnipiac also has it at 10, a long way from the D+41 of January.
The latest Rasmussen trust numbers are out, after what was an odd formatting thing that made me decide to stop reporting them until things settled down. Short version: Rasmussen has replaced Abortion with Afghanistan in the top ten category; the GOP won all ten, including that perennial heartbreaker Government Ethics; and the numbers nonetheless show a shift away from July’s numbers, mostly because July’s numbers | Read More »
That’s with leaners (51/43): without leaners Meg Whitman’s ‘only’ up 48/40 over Moonbeam Brown. Which is itself a switch from an earlier 43/41 Brown lead from a Rasmussen poll from a couple of weeks ago. Whitman is benefiting from strong Republican support, weak Democratic support of Brown, and winning independents… not to mention not being Moonbeam Brown. In other news, Moonbeam is still trying to | Read More »
…if the Democrats want to keep the R from the seat. If Meek gets the nomination, Marco Rubio wins; if Greene gets it, Crist picks up enough votes to make the race competitive. And, of course, if Crist wins he’ll then finish the project of becoming a Democrat. That was Arlen Specter’s mistake, you see: openly turning your coat will strike too many people as | Read More »
I’m frankly impressed that Rasmussen was able to poll them anyway on tax policy. I’ve known for a while that pollsters would dearly love to be able to bypass the brain’s censor circuits and find out what the American voter really thinks; I’m just mildly surprised that research along those lines has paid off so early. Then again, if you’re in a coma you probably | Read More »
People are paying a lot of attention to the House right now, but there’s something interesting going on in the Senate. And in some ways it should worry the Democrats more. Let’s start by taking a look at Rasmussen’s state of the Senate races right now: U.S. Senate Snapshot: Held/Solid Democratic 48 Leans Democratic 1 Toss-Up 9 Leans Republican 3 Held/Solid Republican 39
There’s no article up on them yet, but the raw numbers are available here. May 2010 April 2010 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 41% 48% (7) – Education 40% 43% (3) 43% 39% 4 (7) Social Security 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Abortion 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Economy 39% 48% (9) 39% | Read More »
Sean Trende of Real Clear Politics – an underrated blogger, possibly because RCP is such a good site generally that its bloggers get overshadowed – still holds his opinion from April that the House is going to flip big in November: The bottom line is that Democrats are on pace for an ugly November. They’re increasingly running out of time to change the dynamic, and | Read More »
I almost wish I hadn’t written this: it would have been perfect for this Rasmussen poll on Obamacare. Support for repeal of the new national health care plan has jumped to its highest level ever. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 63% of U.S. voters now favor repeal of the plan passed by congressional Democrats and signed into law by President Obama | Read More »
I’ve been trying to do this post for a few days (Rasmussen usually puts these numbers up before it does a formal article). Short version: eight out of ten for the GOP, but the Democrats made up lost territory across the board. Apr-10 Mar-10 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 37% 53% (16) 9 Education 43% 39% 4 | Read More »
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