2012 shaping up like 2004, on the Generic Congressional Ballot level.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  October 30th at 03:00 PM  | 

I spent perhaps a bit too much time this morning trying to put the spreadsheet below into graphical form: Pollster Time R D R +/- NPR Oct 3/4 43 43 0 NPR Sept 4/4 45 48 -3 Politico Oct 4/4 46 45 1 Politico Oct 3/4 46 46 0 Politico Oct 2/4 44 46 -2 Politico Oct 1/4 45 46 -1 Politico Sept 4/4 44 | Read More »

To 51.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  September 14th at 10:30 PM  | 

The short version is… it’s doable. Barely.

RCP: November continues to loom for Democrats.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  June 22nd at 08:53 AM  | 

Sean Trende of Real Clear Politics – an underrated blogger, possibly because RCP is such a good site generally that its bloggers get overshadowed – still holds his opinion from April that the House is going to flip big in November: The bottom line is that Democrats are on pace for an ugly November. They’re increasingly running out of time to change the dynamic, and | Read More »