@BarackObama breaks through the 40% floor. …Downwards.
Feast your eyes on this one, folks: Mark this day: Obama’s approval hits the 30s in RCP for the 1st time. http://t.co/GJLlsJDYKI pic.twitter.com/ZbfCHS6pi6 — Dan McLaughlin (@baseballcrank) December 3, 2013 For those without picture access, it shows that Barack Obama has dipped below an average 40% job approval rating on RCP. That more or less means that any policy-making that the Democrats want to | Read More »
2012 shaping up like 2004, on the Generic Congressional Ballot level.
I spent perhaps a bit too much time this morning trying to put the spreadsheet below into graphical form: Pollster Time R D R +/- NPR Oct 3/4 43 43 0 NPR Sept 4/4 45 48 -3 Politico Oct 4/4 46 45 1 Politico Oct 3/4 46 46 0 Politico Oct 2/4 44 46 -2 Politico Oct 1/4 45 46 -1 Politico Sept 4/4 44 | Read More »
The short version is… it’s doable. Barely.
RCP: November continues to loom for Democrats.
Sean Trende of Real Clear Politics – an underrated blogger, possibly because RCP is such a good site generally that its bloggers get overshadowed – still holds his opinion from April that the House is going to flip big in November: The bottom line is that Democrats are on pace for an ugly November. They’re increasingly running out of time to change the dynamic, and | Read More »