538 Election Model Predicts Brown Win

By: Dan Perrin (Diary)  |  January 18th at 08:17 PM  | 

The election is tomorrow today, and we should not (see comments below) in the words of earlgrey, “get ahead of ourselves.” Everyone in Massachusetts — GO VOTE! Having said that, this may be of interest: Via Drudge, from RealClearPolitics: Polls are overwhelmingly predicting a Brown win. The FiveThirtyEight model of predicting Senate races: “which correctly predicted the outcome of all 35 Senate races in 2008, | Read More »

Barney Frank Denies Seat-Scott-Late Plot, Sec. of State Spokesman: Could be March before Scott Seated, if he Wins

By: Dan Perrin (Diary)  |  January 13th at 02:25 PM  | 

Watch the video here. Frank blames right-wing sources for spreading this rumor, like theAssociated Press: “The stakes are so high Democrats won’t rule out taking as long as a month to certify the election results — should Brown win — to prevent a Republican from assuming the seat until the Senate completes its work on Kennedy’s hallmark legislation.” A more recent AP story is here, | Read More »