It’s official: the last remaining ostensibly politically viable member of the once-powerful Carnahan dynasty has decided to not seek a third term. I say ‘ostensibly’ because it was actually unclear that Robin Carnahan was ever going to recover from her humiliating shellacking at the hands of Roy Blunt in last year’s MO-SEN race (13 points is pretty bad). And I say ‘last remaining’ because her | Read More »
The below is being floated as a potential redistricting map for Missouri: I’ll summarize the changes as follows: Missouri loses a district, thanks to the 2010 Census. On the Republican side, Vicki Hartzler is liking this map least: she had some R areas taken away from her and given to Emanuel Cleaver, and has been given some D areas from Luetkemeyer. On the other hand, | Read More »
It’s been a good week to be a Republican in Missouri. Senator-elect Roy Blunt soundly defeated MO Secretary of State Robin Carnahan, beating her by 13 percentage points statewide, and winning every county in Missouri except St. Louis (city and county) and Jackson (Kansas City). Republican candidates scored wins in most parts of the state except the Democrat strongholds mentioned above, where incumbents such as | Read More »
Ah Missouri. Robin Carnahan is the Secretary of State of Missouri — the person who oversees elections: Missouri officials say they are working to resolve a problem that has prevented local election workers from accessing the statewide voter registration computer system. Local election officials said they have been unable to access the information most of the day. As a result, election workers in Kansas City | Read More »
Robin Carnahan is clearly afraid of talking to radio hosts who will be less than coddling of her campaign. She has been avoiding going on one radio show in particular. KMOX host Mark Reardon has been trying to get the Senate Candidate onto his show for many months now. After a while, when reasoned attempts at scheduling an interview fail, what else is one to | Read More »
The writing is on the wall for Missouri Democrats. Their chances of winning the Senate seat currently held by Republican Kit Bond certainly qualify for the “slim to none” category. This was recognized by national Democrats with the recent decision to cancel much of their reserved air space for advertising. A few weeks ago, Bill S had a great piece about Carnahan running an outdated | Read More »
Today, the Washington Post’s columnist Chris Cillizza makes a somewhat odd claim in his column “The Fix”: Missouri Secretary of State Robin Carnahan’s (D) Senate campaign will announce $2.1 million raised in the third quarter, a campaign source tells The Fix, bringing it near parity with Rep. Roy Blunt’s (R) more than $2 million raised. Outside groups are spending heavily for Blunt, but this remains | Read More »
The video is largely self-explanatory, but here is the time-line, with links. Tom Carnahan owns a company called Wind Capital Group, which (unsurprisingly) produces wind energy. Wind power is a type of alternate energy beloved of environmental fundamentalists except when it’s in sight of private Nantucket compounds, or controlled by Native Americans. Although this might change, as the motivating/indulging force in each case died last | Read More »
Good evening. We have a great deal of new polling that’s flooded in. Much of it is interesting too, so rather than pick and choose which polls I’ll cover in depth and which I will omit, instead I’ll give a quick look at all the good ones. We’ve got Senate races in Nevada, Connecticut, West Virginia, Ohio, New York, Missouri, and Delaware, plus races for | Read More »
In the 2010 campaign for U.S. Senator from Missouri, it’s ironic that MO Sec’y of State Robin Carnahan would criticize Rep. Roy Blunt for connecting her to President Barack Obama, when she seems intent on connecting Blunt to a GOP congress that hasn’t existed for four years. This, in an election that has been identified by virtually every major media outlet as a “referendum on | Read More »
It’s already bad enough for Democrat Robin Carnahan that she hasn’t led a poll this year, but since primaries Republican Roy Blunt’s lead has been growing. In the likely voter polls he now leads by 6, 7, and now 10 in the latest Rasmussen.
Busy day today, but I couldn’t let go without comment this new poll by Missouri State University for KY3 of the Missouri Senate race. Even if its findings weren’t entirely out of step with the rest of the polling world, the details of the poll carry a number of warnings that it’s not very accurate.
From Unlikely Voter: PPP has delivered a poll on the Missouri Senate race for Daily Kos, and I’m seeing genuine anger at the results, which are now filtered for those likely to vote in November. As Kos says, “So what’s going on? Our old friend, the intensity gap.”
Hearken back to a couple of weeks ago, when I noted how MO Sec’y of State Robin Carnahan has attempted to use TARP as a way to smear MO Congressman Roy Blunt. Blunt and Carnahan are seeking the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Missouri’s Sen. Kit Bond. One of the sources for that post, an article from the Sedalia (MO) Democrat, noted that Ms. | Read More »
From Unlikely Voter: In my estimation, Missouri Republicans have underperformed. The state doesn’t strike me as especially friendly to Democrats, and failed to swing for Obama, but Republicans there ought to do better than they have. I think Roy Blunt may be opening the kind of lead I expect in that state, after months of concern and close polling.
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