Fear of the Missing White Voters
RealClearPolitics election analyst Sean Trende has come under coordinated red-hot rhetorical fire from the Left for his thesis that one of the major causes of Mitt Romney’s loss in 2012 was that a disproportionate number of white voters – mostly downscale whites outside the South – stayed home. Much of the criticism of Trende’s thesis is based on deliberately misreading his policy prescriptions – but | Read More »
@SeanTrende has made a remarkably rookie mistake in this demographics post. #notreally
…Which is to say: Sean apparently assumed that it was reasonable to expect good-faith disagreement from Democratic demographers. In my recent four-part series on demographic changes, the 2012 elections and immigration reform, I suggested that census data and exit polls reveal that some 6 million white voters opted to sit out last November’s election. The data show these non-voters were not primarily Southerners or evangelicals, | Read More »
The Lost Majority
Download Podcast | iTunes | Podcast Feed On today’s edition of Coffee and Markets, Pejman Yousefzadeh and Kevin Holtsberry are joined by Sean Trende to discuss his book The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government is Up for Grabs–and Who Will Take It, why gaining electoral majorities is a very difficult task, and why conventional wisdom is often wrong. We’re brought to you as | Read More »
RedState Review: The Lost Majority.
Sean Trende of Real Clear Politics is one of the better analysts of basic political trends out there, so I was looking forward to his new book The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs – and Who Will Take It. I was fortunate enough to snag a review copy for RedState, and found it to be a fairly persuasive argument | Read More »
RCP’s Sean Trende: Obama’s not in great re-election shape.
Mind you, Sean’s not saying that Obama’s in bad re-election shape, either: he’s currently scoring the President at essentially 50/50, with the slightest edge against the man. But he’s definitely out to demolish some of the current Democratic talking points. Short version (and this is only Part One): The popular correlation between incumbency and re-election falls apart if you look at it too long; If | Read More »