Rare good news for Richard Burr
Normally when I’m skeptical of a poll it’s because it’s from a firm I don’t trust or because I don’t think its methodology makes it predictive of the actual election. But here we have Rasmussen Reports polling likely voters, and it’s by far the best poll I’ve seen for Republican Richard Burr in the North Carolina Senate race against Democrat Elaine Marshall.
The vaunted youth vote gets a cold dose of reality
This video, from the U.S. Senate campaign of Rep. Roy Blunt, who is running against MO Sec’y of State Robin Carnahan for Sen Kit Bond’s seat, caught my eye for several reasons: I went to the University of Missouri, which is strongly represented in the vid One of my kids is a college student, and the other one soon will be I was amused by | Read More »
Robin Carnahan is in real trouble
It’s already bad enough for Democrat Robin Carnahan that she hasn’t led a poll this year, but since primaries Republican Roy Blunt’s lead has been growing. In the likely voter polls he now leads by 6, 7, and now 10 in the latest Rasmussen.
Meet Eric Wargotz (R CAND, MD-SEN).
Eric is one of the candidates running in next week’s primary: he’s the one who did the (accurate) Barbara Mikulski as ‘Political Insidersaurus‘ campaign ad recently. We interviewed him yesterday on the primary and the race: Eric’s site is here, and his Political Insidersaurus site is here. Moe Lane Crossposted to Moe Lane.
Sometimes a candidate is more than we expect
During the California Senate primary, my major criticisms of Carly Fiorina were that she had no public track record to back her on the issues, and that as a novice campaigner she was liable to make mistakes and lose a winnable race. During the race I didn’t quite give her the Tom Campbell treatment, but I gave Chuck DeVore all the support I could. During | Read More »
, Barack Obama
, Bill Brady
, Carly Fiorina
, Charlie Crist
, Chuck Devore
, Harry Reid
, Kendrick Meek
, Marco Rubio
, Mark Kirk
, Sharron Angle
, Tom Campbell
Rasmussen: Castle greatly outperforms O’Donnell
I’m definitely a latecomer to following the Delaware Senate primary between Republicans Mike Castle and Christine O’Donnell, but now that I’m aware of it, it’s striking to me just how differently the two candidates perform in the new Rasmussen poll featuring each candidate against Democrat Chris Coons.
SurveyUSA: Paul well ahead in Kentucky
SurveyUSA is no fly-by-night operation in polling. They’ve been around a while, they have a reputation, and a great many newspapers seem use them to poll local House races. So we can’t dismiss their continuing series of polls which look very good for Republicans, including this new Kentucky Senate poll for the Louisville Courier-Journal with Republican Randal Paul seeming to overwhelm Democrat Jack Conway.
Binnie fades but Ayotte still the clear leader
New Hampshire apparently tries to hard in Presidential years to have its primaries first, that it tires and has to have its Senate primaries last. So we’re still on primary watch for that state, and it looks like the Republican race has shifted again. Kelly Ayotte still leads the primary race to decide Democrat Paul Hodes’s opponent, but it appears the race for second is | Read More »
A Friendly Note to Liberty.com
Promoted from the diaries by Aaron Gardner Yeah, I am an O’Donnell supporter and I am promoting this. Being a player in politics requires you to be mature, Liberty.Com wasn’t. The ad was atrocious and it may have single handedly destroyed any chance for O’Donnell. I will be writting a small defense of O’Donnell over the weekend, as a contrast to Erick – though I | Read More »
Dino Rossi’s lead confirmed
When the first major post-primary poll came out for the Washington Senate race, some questioned whether it was skewed toward Republican Dino Rossi over Democrat Patty Murray, or if it was simply an outlier. But now we have confirmation that Rossi does appear to have a lead at this point, though perhaps not as large as SurveyUSA showed.
Boo-Hoo. Icky Conservatives Might Upset The Senate.
Funny, several friends and I were joking earlier today that pretty soon the elites and their media friends would take a new angle on Ken Buck, Rand Paul, Mike Lee, Sharron Angle, etc. Instead of calling them fringe, which is getting harder and harder to do given their successes, the media would instead contrast them to Tom Coburn and Jim DeMint, alleging that these people | Read More »
Extrapolating about the Delaware Senate primary
All the talk in your typical Senate analysis this year has assumed Republican Mike Castle will beat Democrat Chris Coons in the Delaware Senate race, but the fact is there’s still a GOP primary in progress. It’s forgivable to forget about that primary when polling of the primary is scarce, and PPP and Rasmussen hold Coons under 40, but let’s extrapolate from the PPP poll | Read More »
PPP: Miller, Murkowski both lead general
Public Policy Polling jumped out ahead to poll the Alaska Senate race even as Republican Lisa Murkowski tries to drag out her primary defeat at the hands of Joe Miller. PPP also checked up on what might happen if Murkowski somehow were able to dislodge the Libertarian nominee and take that party’s line on the ballot in November.
Buck *invited* by Romanoff, actually.
Acts of civility all around, really: Andrew Romanoff (former Democratic candidate for CO-SEN) decently invited Ken Buck (R CAND, CO-SEN) to his birthday party, and Ken graciously accepted that invite. The birthday party was also a debt retirement party – the Colorado (and national, of course) Democratic establishment of course has no intention of encouraging future challengers to their anointed picks – so Ken’s present | Read More »
Marco Rubio (R CAND, FL-SEN) brings it.
I’ve got a request for Kendrick Meek (D CAND, FL-SEN). Rep. Meek, please watch this week’s Republican response video by Marco Rubio: …then show me what you’ve got to match that. Go right ahead and try to impress me. Because I heard that you’re just a legacy Congressman who got his job because your mommy didn’t want her seat anymore – and that you’ve never | Read More »