Florida Senate Update
We have a pair of polls to look at updating us on the Florida Senate race, a general election carpet bomb from Rasmussen, and a peek at the race between the Democrats in the primary from PPP. Unfortunately, what we don’t have is any clarity.
Abortion will not drive California elections this year
The Orange County Register ran a doom and gloom article on abortion, saying that a Field Poll release suggests abortion will drive statewide elections this year. This is important because Carly Fiorina is a three-exception pro-life Republican. But there’s one big, honking problem with that theory, and the Register‘s Dena Bunis even mentions it: Among Boxer supporters, 82 percent support abortion rights. Of those who | Read More »
More good news for Rob Portman
Since I tried to tell Rob Portman his business, and suggested he was emphasizing the wrong issues in his campaign, two polls have come out covering the Ohio Senate race. Both by Rasmussen, the late June poll had Portman up 4, and now Rasmussen’s July poll has Portman up 6. I clearly picked the wrong moment to speak up!
TARP, Roy, Robin and the Republicans
Things looked very grim for the financial markets in 2008. Things were occurring very rapidly and few really understood what was going on during those weeks (here is a reminder of the turmoil that went on during that period) I saw a number of articles and emails that indicated that there could be a massive collapse of financial institutions that made the 1929 Black Tuesday, | Read More »
Reid leads, or Mason Dixon understating Angle again?
In the runup to the Nevada GOP primary, Mason-Dixon and the Las Vegas Review-Journal understated Sharron Angle’s support by 8 points, and cut her 14 point win almost in half to 8. Now the pair releases their first post-primary poll. Are they gauging Angle’s support accurately this time?
Rasmussen: road to 51 no longer runs through CA/CT.
People are paying a lot of attention to the House right now, but there’s something interesting going on in the Senate. And in some ways it should worry the Democrats more. Let’s start by taking a look at Rasmussen’s state of the Senate races right now: U.S. Senate Snapshot: Held/Solid Democratic 48 Leans Democratic 1 Toss-Up 9 Leans Republican 3 Held/Solid Republican 39
Is Rasmussen biased toward the Republicans? Not in California.
Certain critics either say or imply that Rasmussen Reports is skewed toward Republicans, just because this cycle he predicted early that the 2010 electorate would look nothing like that of 2008. But that’s not the same as having a partisan bias, and in fact, comparing the latest Rasmussen poll of the California Senate race with SurveyUSA hints there is no such partisan bias to be | Read More »
Fisher without Bait: tales of the 2Q in Ohio.
The 2nd quarter results are in for Rob Portman (R) and Lee Fisher (d), and it’s not… actually, it’s quite pretty. Portman brought in almost three times as much cash (2.65 million vs. 1 million) and has an almost nine-to-one advantage in cash-on-hand right now (8.8 million to 1 million). I originally got the latter’s details via email: for some reason, Fisher isn’t bragging about | Read More »
Rubio battles back
For a while the polling of the Florida Senate race had many people thinking that Charlie Crist, newly minted Independent, was running away with it. I disagreed and assumed his bump in the polls was driven by heavy coverage of his party switch and of his oil spill inspections. Rasmussen’s latest just might bear that out as Marco Rubio takes a fresh lead.
Fiorina also makes it close in California
Following up on yesterday’s Field release which saw Democrats bleeding the Latino vote in California, this poll of the Senate race brings more personal bad news for Barbara Boxer: her job approval ratings have sunk underwater, joining her personal favorability ratings.
Whitman makes it close in California
Before the primary, for a while when Meg Whitman was campaigning and Jerry Brown did not have to, Whitman took a lead in the race for Governor in California. It didn’t last, but the latest Field Poll is good news for her, and not just because it shows her with only a one point deficit.
, Barbara Boxer
, Carly Fiorina
, Field Poll
, Jerry Brown
, Meg Whitman
, Proposition 8
, San Francisco Chronicle
What is going on in Kentucky?
With the help of the Real Clear Politics, here are the last few polls of the Kentucky Senate race. PPP: Randal Paul +1. RR: Paul +25. SUSA: Paul +6. RR: Paul +8, Paul +7. And now we have PPP: Tie. Why is PPP running so much further toward Jack Conway than the other two pollsters?
Alexi Giannoulias (D), call your office.
I understand that the man is desperate to escape to Washington, DC – but the bills are piling up. And I am not being figurative in the slightest: Even by the standards of this deficit-ridden state, Illinois’s comptroller, Daniel W. Hynes, faces an ugly balance sheet. Precisely how ugly becomes clear when he beckons you into his office to examine his daily briefing memo. He | Read More »
Fisher leads Portman despite Ohio rejecting the PPACA
We have two new polls to look at on the Ohio Senate race, one from Quinnipiac University and the other from Public Policy Polling. The results are very similar, so I think it’s pretty safe to say that for the moment, Lee Fisher leads Rob Portman, though by a hair.
Kansas Senate: Moran up big, Democrats split
SurveyUSA polls usually bring a wealth of information to those of us without any sort of subscription, but this poll the Kansas Senate primary was conducted for KWCH and we apparently don’t get to see the usual large tables SurveyUSA churns out. We do get to see who’s winning and who’s losing though, so let’s check on that.
, Charles Schollenberger
, David Haley
, Jerry Moran
, Lisa Johnston
, Robert Conroy
, Todd Tiahrt