The August Rasmussen Trust Numbers.

    The latest Rasmussen trust numbers are out, after what was an odd formatting thing that made me decide to stop reporting them until things settled down.  Short version: Rasmussen has replaced Abortion with Afghanistan in the top ten category; the GOP won all ten, including that perennial heartbreaker Government Ethics; and the numbers nonetheless show a shift away from July’s numbers, mostly because July’s numbers | Read More »

    The August Rasmussen Trust Numbers.

    The latest Rasmussen trust numbers are out, after what was an odd formatting thing that made me decide to stop reporting them until things settled down.  Short version: Rasmussen has replaced Abortion with Afghanistan in the top ten category; the GOP won all ten, including that perennial heartbreaker Government Ethics; and the numbers nonetheless show a shift away from July’s numbers, mostly because July’s numbers | Read More »

    The BP Spill as a Black Swan Event

    For context in understanding the oil spill, and to help answer the question “How could it possibly be this bad?”, I recommend a book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. The BP spill is a textbook example of what Taleb calls a Black Swan Event. The event is a surprise (to the observer). The event has a major | Read More »

    The BP Spill as a Black Swan Event

    For context in understanding the oil spill, and to help answer the question “How could it possibly be this bad?”, I recommend a book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. The BP spill is a textbook example of what Taleb calls a Black Swan Event. The event is a surprise (to the observer). The event has a major | Read More »

    Gallup whispers DOOM in 2010.

    With less than four months to go before the fall elections, the greatest growth industry in the country right now is the tea importation business: everybody who has any interest in the November results is trying his or her hand at precognition.  Gallup is no exception: This year’s low approval ratings for Congress are a potentially ominous sign for President Obama and the Democratic majority | Read More »

    Gallup whispers DOOM in 2010.

    With less than four months to go before the fall elections, the greatest growth industry in the country right now is the tea importation business: everybody who has any interest in the November results is trying his or her hand at precognition.  Gallup is no exception: This year’s low approval ratings for Congress are a potentially ominous sign for President Obama and the Democratic majority | Read More »

    The May Rasmussen trust numbers.

    There’s no article up on them yet, but the raw numbers are available here. May 2010 April 2010 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 41% 48% (7) – Education 40% 43% (3) 43% 39% 4 (7) Social Security 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Abortion 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Economy 39% 48% (9) 39% | Read More »

    The May Rasmussen trust numbers.

    There’s no article up on them yet, but the raw numbers are available here. May 2010 April 2010 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 41% 48% (7) – Education 40% 43% (3) 43% 39% 4 (7) Social Security 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Abortion 40% 42% (2) 40% 42% (2) – Economy 39% 48% (9) 39% | Read More »

    Rasmussen: Support for Obamacare repeal almost 2-to-1.

    I almost wish I hadn’t written this: it would have been perfect for this Rasmussen poll on Obamacare. Support for repeal of the new national health care plan has jumped to its highest level ever. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 63% of U.S. voters now favor repeal of the plan passed by congressional Democrats and signed into law by President Obama | Read More »

    Rasmussen: Support for Obamacare repeal almost 2-to-1.

    I almost wish I hadn’t written this: it would have been perfect for this Rasmussen poll on Obamacare. Support for repeal of the new national health care plan has jumped to its highest level ever. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 63% of U.S. voters now favor repeal of the plan passed by congressional Democrats and signed into law by President Obama | Read More »

    The April Rasmussen Trust numbers.

    I’ve been trying to do this post for a few days (Rasmussen usually puts these numbers up before it does a formal article). Short version: eight out of ten for the GOP, but the Democrats made up lost territory across the board. Apr-10 Mar-10 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 37% 53% (16) 9 Education 43% 39% 4 | Read More »

    The April Rasmussen Trust numbers.

    I’ve been trying to do this post for a few days (Rasmussen usually puts these numbers up before it does a formal article). Short version: eight out of ten for the GOP, but the Democrats made up lost territory across the board. Apr-10 Mar-10 Issue Dem GOP Diff Dem GOP Diff Shift Health Care 41% 48% (7) 37% 53% (16) 9 Education 43% 39% 4 | Read More »

    When average isn’t average

    USA Today is reporting that the average taxpayer paid just 9% of their income in taxes in 2009, the lowest level since 1950. Federal, state and local taxes — including income, property, sales and other taxes — consumed 9.2% of all personal income in 2009, the lowest rate since 1950, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports. That rate is far below the historic average of | Read More »

    What Gallup *didn’t* do with their enthusiasm poll.

    Gallup just published a poll on voter enthusiasm, broken down by age. The main point – younger voters are showing fairly typical enthusiasm levels towards the 2010 elections (i.e., low ones) – is interesting (and entertaining), but there’s another important bit that did not get particularly addressed. And it’s an even more entertaining point.

    Rasmussen succumbs to snark.

    Rasmussen usually makes a good-faith effort to avoid being sardonic, but sometimes they just can’t help themselves (bolding mine): …voters are closely divided over Congress’ most important role: 49% say it’s passing good legislation, while 43% see it as preventing bad legislation from becoming law. That’s why 39% of voters say it’s a good thing in today’s political climate to be the Party of No. | Read More »